Tulane faces Jackson State on 5 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Tulane the clear favourite, giving it a 92% chance of winning because of its 1-0 record, 100.0 points per game and 98.0 allowed per game, the best figures among the two teams; Jackson State sits at 0-1 with 42.0 points per game and 76.0 allowed per game. Tulane's lone game was a 100-98 win over UT Martin at home, while Jackson State's single outing was a 42-76 loss to Texas Tech on the road. The teams have not met before, so there is no head-to-head history to consider. Pythia projects a 83-67 score, with a 150.3 total, and a 63% probability that Tulane will cover the -12.5 line; the over on the 153.5 total has a 42% chance, and the game has a 2% chance of going into overtime. The matchup ends with Tulane's dominant offensive numbers and Jackson State's struggling defence, setting the stage for a decisive win.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Tulane winLost
92.0%fair 1.09
Best odds1.12
Implied85.7%
Edge+6.3pp
Jackson State winWon
8.0%fair 12.46
Best odds6.75
Implied14.3%
Edge-6.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 04 Nov 06:58 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Tulane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 147.5Actual: Over 147.5
Over 147.5
56.7%
@ 1.47-7.9pp
Under 147.5
43.3%
@ 2.75+7.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.40
Under
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.50
Over/Under 152.5 · main lineActual: Over 152.5
Over 152.5
44.4%
@ 1.91-5.6pp
Under 152.5
55.6%
@ 2.00+5.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
WilliamHill
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Under
Bet365
2.00
Marathon Be
1.91
Betano
1.91
WilliamHill
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
Over/Under 157.5Actual: Over 157.5
Over 157.5
32.7%
@ 2.40-6.3pp
Under 157.5
67.3%
@ 1.54+6.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.35
Under
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.50
📊 3. Team Totals
Tulane total 79Actual: Tulane over 79
Over 79
67.4%
Under 79
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tulane total 83 · main lineActual: Tulane over 83
Over 83
51.2%
@ 1.87+1.5pp
Under 83
48.8%
@ 1.85-1.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Tulane total 87Actual: Tulane under 87
Over 87
34.8%
Under 87
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jackson State total 66Actual: Jackson State over 66
Over 66
53.9%
Under 66
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jackson State total 70 · main lineActual: Jackson State over 70
Over 70
37.5%
@ 1.85-12.7pp
Under 70
62.5%
@ 1.87+12.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Jackson State total 74Actual: Jackson State over 74
Over 74
23.4%
Under 74
76.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Tulane -15Actual: Jackson State +15
TULA -15
54.4%
@ 2.50+16.9pp
JACK +15
45.6%
@ 1.50-16.9pp
Best 5 market prices
TULA
Bet365
2.50
JACK
Bet365
1.50
Spread Tulane -12 · main lineActual: Jackson State +12
TULA -12
65.1%
@ 1.95+15.1pp
JACK +12
34.9%
@ 1.93-15.1pp
Best 5 market prices
TULA
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.86
JACK
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.86
Bet365
1.80
Spread Tulane -9Actual: Jackson State +9
TULA -9
74.7%
@ 1.57+15.8pp
JACK +9
25.3%
@ 2.25-15.8pp
Best 5 market prices
TULA
Bet365
1.57
JACK
Bet365
2.25
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
TulaneJackson State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Jackson State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jackson StateLast 10 – 2nd half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida A&M
#245
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H14/02
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A21/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A28/02
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H04/03
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H06/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H11/03
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A12/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#85
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A03/11
NCAA
78.6Avg total
37.1Scored
41.5Allowed
2nd half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 80.5
Last 30 (30)
36.9
43.3
80.1
-6.4
33%
50%
Last 30 at home (13)
41.7
42.2
83.8
-0.5
54%
62%
Last 30 away (17)
33.2
44.1
77.3
-10.9
18%
41%
Last 10 (10)
37.1
41.5
78.6
-4.4
40%
30%
Last 5 (5)
35.2
38.2
73.4
-3.0
40%
20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)
36.1
43.1
79.2
-7.0
31%
46%
vs Similar (2)
33.5
49.0
82.5
-15.5
0%
50%
vs Weaker (2)
50.5
39.5
90.0
+11.0
100%
100%
This opponent (Tulane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: Jackson State win
TULA win
no forecast
@ 1.35
JACK win
no forecast
@ 3.25
2nd half Spread Tulane -4.5 · main lineActual: Jackson State +4.5
TULA -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
JACK +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
2nd half Over/Under 80.5 · main lineActual: Over 80.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Jackson State (regulation)
TULA
no forecast
@ 1.39
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.50
JACK
no forecast
@ 3.25
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Tulane -9
74.7%
1.57
Bet365
1.57
-
-
-
-
+15.8pp
Lost
Tulane -9.5
72.5%
1.60
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.57
-
-
-
+14.7pp
Lost
Tulane -8.5
75.5%
1.52
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.50
-
-
-
+14.5pp
Lost
Tulane -8
77.6%
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
-
+14.2pp
Lost
Tulane -7
80.3%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+14.0pp
Lost
Tulane -7.5
78.2%
1.44
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
+13.6pp
Lost
Tulane -10
71.7%
1.65
Bet365
1.66
Pinnacle
1.63
-
-
-
+13.0pp
Lost
Tulane -6.5
80.8%
1.36
Bet365
1.37
Betano
1.35
-
-
-
+12.9pp
Lost
Tulane -6
82.8%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+12.8pp
Lost
Jackson State under 72.5
71.0%
1.55
Betano
1.55
-
-
-
-
+12.5pp
Lost
Jackson State under 74.5
77.3%
1.42
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.38
-
-
-
+12.4pp
Lost
Tulane -5.5
83.2%
1.30
Bet365
1.31
Betano
1.29
-
-
-
+12.1pp
Lost
Tulane -5
85.1%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
+12.0pp
Lost
Jackson State under 73.5
74.2%
1.45
Betano
1.45
-
-
-
-
+11.9pp
Lost
Jackson State under 76.5
82.7%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+11.2pp
Lost
Tulane (regulation)
90.8%
1.13
Betano
1.14
Marathon Bet
1.12
-
-
-
+11.2pp
Lost
Jackson State under 75.5
80.1%
1.31
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
-
+11.1pp
Lost
Tulane -4
87.2%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+11.0pp
Lost
Tulane -4.5
85.4%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+10.9pp
Lost
Tulane -3.5
87.4%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+9.7pp
Lost
Jackson State under 78.5
87.1%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+9.3pp
Lost
Tulane -1.5
90.9%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+8.6pp
Lost
Jackson State under 80.5
90.7%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+8.4pp
Lost
Under 160
73.1%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+6.9pp
Lost
Under 159
71.0%
1.45
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
-
+6.8pp
Lost
Jackson State under 81.5
92.1%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+6.6pp
Lost
Tulane win
92.0%
1.11
Marathon Bet
1.12
Betano
1.12
Pinnacle
1.12
Bet365
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
+6.3pp
Lost
Jackson State under 82.5
93.4%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+6.2pp
Lost
Tulane +3.5
94.8%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+6.1pp
Won
Under 159.5
71.6%
1.40
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.40
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Lost
Under 160.5
73.7%
1.36
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Lost
Overtime: no
98.1%
1.02
Betano
1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
-
-
-
+5.7pp
-
Under 161
75.1%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+5.7pp
Lost
Tulane +8.5
97.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.5pp
Won
Under 161.5
75.6%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+5.2pp
Lost
Tulane over 73.5
83.9%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+4.4pp
Won
Under 178.5
95.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.2pp
Won
Under 163.5
79.3%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+4.0pp
Lost
Tulane over 72.5
86.2%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+3.9pp
Won
Tulane over 75.5
78.5%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+3.7pp
Won
Tulane under 99.5
94.9%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.7pp
Won
Tulane over 69.5
91.8%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Won
Tulane over 77.5
72.1%
1.33
Bet365
1.35
Betano
1.32
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Won
Tulane over 71.5
88.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Won
Under 173.5
92.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+3.2pp
Won
Under 168.5
86.9%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+3.1pp
Lost
Tulane under 97.5
92.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.8pp
Won
Tulane under 95.5
89.1%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+1.6pp
Won
Tulane under 93.5
84.9%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+0.5pp
Won
Tulane under 88.5
70.2%
1.30
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
-
+0.4pp
Won
Tulane under 91.5
79.7%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+0.2pp
Won
Tulane under 92.5
82.5%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+0.2pp
Won
Over 128.5
91.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.1pp
Won
Tulane under 89.5
73.6%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
-1.2pp
Won
Jackson State over 54.5
89.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-2.9pp
Won
Over 133.5
85.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-4.3pp
Won
Jackson State over 56.5
85.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-5.5pp
Won
Over 138.5
76.6%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-7.7pp
Won
Jackson State over 58.5
80.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-8.6pp
Won
Jackson State over 60.5
74.1%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-12.0pp
Won
Jackson State over 61.5
70.7%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-12.4pp
Won
Free daily update
Get it on Telegram
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which
predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our
Cookie Policy.
Manage Cookies
Strictly Necessary
Always Active
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the
pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the
operation of our website.
Session and security cookies, your logged-in state, your
subscription status, and the record of this cookie choice itself. These cannot be switched
off because the site cannot be delivered without them.
Functionality Cookies
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site
behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to
build a profile of you.
Your preferred tours and filters, which notices you have dismissed, your
theme choice, and display preferences you have chosen. Kept for up to two years, and you
can clear them from your browser at any time.
These are what "Essential Only" keeps. Choosing "Allow Necessary Cookies
Only" inside this panel switches them off as well.
Performance Cookies
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to
produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics
internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them
our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Which pages and predictions are read, how long pages take to
load, and which features are used, including Google Analytics. Reported in
aggregate, never sold, and not used to identify you personally when you are not signed in.
These are off unless you switch them on here or choose "Accept All".
Third Party Marketing/Targeting
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include
limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the
effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they
will not be adjusted to your interests.
Set by our advertising partners. Switching these off does not
reduce the number of adverts you see; it only makes them less relevant to you.
🔒
A Pro feature
Filtering, slicing and choosing dates are part of Pro -
unlock every pick, all slicers, Challenger/ITF boards, set scores and games markets.