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Akron vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 99-85
0-0 39-35 0-0 60-50
Position#14
Record22-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game74.5
Akron 🏆
USA
vs
Buffalo
USA
Position#180
Record16-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game75.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Akron v Buffalo
12 Mar 2026
AKRO73
BUFF70
24 Feb 2026
AKRO99
BUFF85
07 Mar 2025
AKRO88
BUFF70
12 Jan 2024
AKRO76
BUFF59
09 Mar 2023
AKRO101
BUFF77
18 Feb 2023
AKRO86
BUFF66
10 Mar 2022
AKRO70
BUFF68
01 Feb 2022
AKRO v BUFF
upcoming
01 Jan 2022
AKRO88
BUFF76
23 Feb 2021
AKRO v BUFF
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
AKRO74
BUFF77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akron winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkronUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#325
W
104-89
104
89
+15
H17/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
82-63
82
63
+19
A20/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
86-65
86
65
+21
A24/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H28/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
69-52
69
52
+17
H30/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A03/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A07/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
99-92
99
92
+7
H14/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A18/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
78-65
78
65
+13
A20/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
52-51
0-0
52-38
0-0
43-27
0-0
39-36
0-0
48-26
0-0
38-39
0-0
41-49
0-0
50-32
0-0
38-29
0-0
31-23
0-0
31-27
0-0
35-37
0-0
29-35
0-0
40-44
0-0
44-43
0-0
55-49
0-0
53-34
0-0
37-39
0-0
40-36
0-0
38-29
155.7Avg total
83.4Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)89.474.5163.9+15.081%
Season at home (16)95.677.0172.6+18.688%
Season away (11)80.570.8151.3+9.673%
Last 10 (10)83.472.3155.7+11.190%
Last 5 (5)80.474.6155.0+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)77.487.4164.8-10.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)89.873.6163.4+16.192%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
102-105 OT
102
105
-3
A17/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
63-82
63
82
-19
H20/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H24/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A28/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
83-95
83
95
-12
H31/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H03/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A07/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A12/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H17/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
A21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
48-46
0-0
40-42
0-0
27-43
0-0
36-39
0-0
29-38
0-0
38-30
0-0
39-32
0-0
50-46
0-0
31-46
0-0
52-49
0-0
35-38
0-0
36-35
0-0
24-40
0-0
45-41
0-0
30-27
0-0
33-26
0-0
35-29
0-0
35-43
0-0
29-34
0-0
39-34
155.2Avg total
76.3Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.675.0153.6+3.659%
Season at home (14)78.676.3154.9+2.450%
Season away (13)78.573.6152.2+4.969%
Last 10 (10)76.378.9155.2-2.630%
Last 5 (5)71.872.2144.0-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.282.9162.1-3.638%
vs Similar (13)77.877.2155.0+0.554%
vs Weaker (8)76.467.6144.0+8.875%
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +1.9+1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +1.9+1.9
AkronBuffalo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AkronLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#325
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H17/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A20/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A24/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H28/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H30/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A03/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A07/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H14/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A18/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A20/02
NCAA
77.6Avg total
41.9Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.536.078.5+6.573%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.237.381.6+6.972%-
Last 30 away (12)39.934.073.9+5.975%-
Last 10 (10)41.935.777.6+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.074.4+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)35.443.679.0-8.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.834.978.7+8.983%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A17/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H20/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H24/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A28/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H31/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H03/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A07/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H17/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A21/02
NCAA
70.0Avg total
32.7Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.435.571.9+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.436.772.1-1.231%-
Last 30 away (14)37.634.171.6+3.571%-
Last 10 (10)32.737.370.0-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)30.633.664.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.941.075.9-6.125%-
vs Similar (13)33.635.669.2-2.038%-
vs Weaker (8)40.829.570.2+11.288%-
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Akron wins
0
Buffalo wins
DateGameScore
20/01/26Buffalo v Akron63-82
08/03/25Akron v Buffalo88-70
22/01/25Buffalo v Akron58-90
17/02/24Buffalo v Akron62-73
13/01/24Akron v Buffalo76-59
09/03/23Akron v Buffalo101-77
19/02/23Akron v Buffalo86-66
01/02/23Buffalo v Akron64-81
10/03/22Akron v Buffalo70-68
01/01/22Akron v Buffalo88-76
Akronlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26ABall State78-65
18/02/26AWestern Michigan90-73
14/02/26HUMass99-92
07/02/26ATroy69-79
03/02/26AEastern Michigan66-64
30/01/26HKent State69-52
28/01/26HToledo91-81
24/01/26AOhio86-65
20/01/26ABuffalo82-63
17/01/26HWestern Michigan104-89
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26AUMass86-82 OT
17/02/26HNorthern Illinois70-72
12/02/26ABall State63-53
07/02/26ASouth Alabama69-81
03/02/26HMiami (Ohio)71-73
31/01/26HOhio83-95
28/01/26ABowling Green89-78
24/01/26HUMass67-68
20/01/26HAkron63-82
17/01/26AMiami (Ohio)102-105 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akron
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW81%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWLWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %81%88%73%
Points / game89.495.680.5
Allowed / game74.577.070.8
Point differential+15.0+18.6+9.6
Avg total163.9172.6151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+74%81%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW59%
HomeLLLLL50%
AwayLWLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %59%50%69%
Points / game78.678.678.5
Allowed / game75.076.373.6
Point differential+3.6+2.4+4.9
Avg total153.6154.9152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%21%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)25% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %7%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)28280100%91.674.1+17.5
2 Akron2722581%89.474.5+15.0
3 Kent State2719870%85.479.9+5.5
4 Buffalo27161159%78.675.0+3.6
5 Bowling Green28161257%81.871.2+10.5
6 UMass28151354%80.977.3+3.6
7 Ohio28151354%77.176.6+0.5
8 Toledo27141352%81.377.5+3.8
9 Northern Illinois2691735%70.976.2-5.3
10 Eastern Michigan29101934%70.973.4-2.6
11 Central Michigan2791833%73.676.6-3.1
12 Western Michigan2791833%74.679.9-5.3
13 Ball State2781930%66.070.3-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Akron03906099
Buffalo03505085
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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