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Aktobe vs Tigers-KazATU Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 85-54
21-13 20-11 23-14 21-16
Position#4
Record6-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game67.0
Aktobe 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Position#10
Record5-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game77.5
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tigers-KazATU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktobe
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 71
H24/12
National League
Almaty
#4
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A08/03
National League
Almaty
#4
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A09/03
National League
Arlans
#11
W
94-84
94
84
+10
95avg 71
H08/11
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
76-56
76
56
+20
77avg 71
A09/11
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
103-63
103
63
+40
101avg 71
H10/11
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
108-64
108
64
+44
108avg 71
A11/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
58-65
58
65
-7
45avg 71
A27/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
66-58
66
58
+8
55avg 71
H28/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
82-79
82
79
+3
78avg 71
A29/11
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
18-25
15-15
22-22
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
19-22
27-20
31-21
17-21
19-11
20-15
22-18
15-12
28-8
23-13
25-11
27-31
28-13
25-16
27-14
28-21
9-14
21-25
14-16
14-10
17-5
15-21
13-12
21-20
30-17
19-20
15-24
18-18
124.7Avg total
66.0Scored
58.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.967.0150.9+16.986%
Season at home (3)87.768.3156.0+19.3100%
Season away (4)81.066.0147.0+15.075%
Last 10 (10)66.058.7124.7+7.360%
Last 5 (5)83.465.8149.2+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)68.874.6143.5-5.826%
vs Similar (4)91.589.2180.8+2.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)85.472.3157.7+13.171%
This opponent (Tigers-KazATU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tigers-KazATUKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTigers-KazATU
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
82-80 OT
82
80
+2
60avg 58
H22/10
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
78-79
78
79
-1
61avg 58
A23/10
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
86-53
86
53
+33
78avg 58
H24/10
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
65-105
65
105
-40
50avg 58
A25/10
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
75-55
75
55
+20
62avg 58
H14/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
83-81
83
81
+2
69avg 58
A15/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
68-49
68
49
+19
61avg 58
H16/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
64-83
64
83
-19
50avg 58
A17/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
33-111
33
111
-78
5avg 58
A18/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
79-82
79
82
-3
62avg 58
H29/11
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
18-16
14-16
15-23
20-20
18-24
15-17
25-18
25-18
21-10
24-15
16-10
9-24
21-27
15-31
20-23
25-12
15-9
16-10
19-24
19-21
28-20
14-29
22-11
19-6
16-14
21-9
12-20
10-34
15-14
14-13
25-22
10-35
8-30
11-23
4-23
17-30
20-19
24-15
18-18
149.1Avg total
71.3Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.477.5148.8-6.145%
Season at home (5)78.063.8141.8+14.280%
Season away (6)65.888.8154.7-23.017%
Last 10 (10)71.377.8149.1-6.550%
Last 5 (5)65.481.2146.6-15.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)64.684.7149.3-20.17%
vs Similar (7)78.169.3147.4+8.971%
vs Weaker (9)69.854.8124.6+15.0100%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.8+7.8Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.8+7.8Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
AktobeTigers-KazATU
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H24/12
National League
Arlans
#11
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H08/11
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A09/11
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
51-21
51
21
+30
H10/11
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A11/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A27/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H28/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A29/11
Higher League
74.6Avg total
42.0Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)40.938.979.7+2.046%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.638.178.7+2.653%-
Last 30 away (11)41.240.181.3+1.136%-
Last 10 (8)42.032.674.6+9.475%-
Last 5 (5)43.030.473.4+12.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.740.579.2-1.829%-
vs Similar (4)44.844.289.0+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.931.775.6+12.186%-
This opponent (Tigers-KazATU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tigers-KazATULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H22/10
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A23/10
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H24/10
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A25/10
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
40-21
40
21
+19
H14/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A15/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H16/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A17/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
18-65
18
65
-47
A18/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H29/11
Higher League
76.3Avg total
36.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.438.773.2-4.345%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.737.071.7-2.346%-
Last 30 away (16)34.240.174.4-5.944%-
Last 10 (10)36.140.276.3-4.150%-
Last 5 (5)32.444.677.0-12.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)29.745.975.6-16.27%-
vs Similar (7)40.436.176.6+4.371%-
vs Weaker (8)37.528.465.9+9.188%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Aktobe wins
0
Tigers-KazATU wins
DateGameScore
29/11/25Tigers-KazATU v Aktobe79-82
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25ATigers-KazATU82-79
28/11/25HBars Petropavlovsk66-58
27/11/25ABars Petropavlovsk58-65
11/11/25AAiRom108-64
10/11/25HAiRom103-63
09/11/25AArlans76-56
08/11/25HArlans94-84
09/03/25AAlmaty0-20
08/03/25AAlmaty0-20
24/12/24HTobol Kostanay73-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25HAktobe79-82
18/11/25ABars Petropavlovsk33-111
17/11/25AKaraganda64-83
16/11/25HPavlodar68-49
15/11/25AKaraganda83-81
14/11/25HPavlodar75-55
25/10/25ABars Petropavlovsk65-105
24/10/25HTobol Kostanay 286-53
23/10/25AChelSU Kostanay78-79
22/10/25HTobol Kostanay 282-80 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game83.987.781.0
Allowed / game67.068.366.0
Point differential+16.9+19.3+15.0
Avg total150.9156.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tigers-KazATU
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL45%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%80%17%
Points / game71.478.065.8
Allowed / game77.563.888.8
Point differential-6.1+14.2-23.0
Avg total148.8141.8154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %9%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan14140100%90.159.3+30.9
2 Bars Petropavlovsk1211192%87.855.3+32.4
3 Shymkent1412286%98.671.3+27.4
4 Aktobe76186%83.967.0+16.9
5 Atyrau 21410471%75.171.3+3.9
6 Arlans74357%75.071.6+3.4
7 ChelSU Kostanay148657%76.478.7-2.3
8 Tigers-KazATU115645%71.477.5-6.1
9 BC Almaty 2104640%71.373.7-2.4
10 CHAMP1ON103730%68.175.9-7.8
11 Karaganda92722%71.883.1-11.3
12 Tobol Kostanay 21421214%70.184.9-14.8
13 AiRom71614%66.483.9-17.4
14 Kaspiy Aktau 2141137%55.282.9-27.6
15 Pavlodar9090%50.692.9-42.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aktobe2120232185
Tigers-KazATU1311141654
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