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Tigers-KazATU vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 68-49
19-6 16-14 21-9 12-20
Position#10
Record4-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#14
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game46.5
Allowed / game81.0
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tigers-KazATU v Pavlodar
05 May 2026
TIGE96
PAVL41
16 Nov 2025
TIGE68
PAVL49
14 Nov 2025
TIGE75
PAVL55
12 Mar 2023
TIGE75
PAVL79
14 Feb 2023
TIGE76
PAVL67
24 Dec 2022
TIGE73
PAVL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tigers-KazATU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tigers-KazATUKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTigers-KazATU
Date
Competition
ChelSU Kostanay
#5
W
69-61
69
61
+8
56avg 60
A08/04
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H09/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#6
W
70-69
70
69
+1
55avg 60
A10/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
72-74
72
74
-2
48avg 60
A21/10
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
82-80 OT
82
80
+2
60avg 60
H22/10
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
78-79
78
79
-1
61avg 60
A23/10
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
86-53
86
53
+33
78avg 60
H24/10
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
65-105
65
105
-40
50avg 60
A25/10
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
75-55
75
55
+20
62avg 60
H14/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
83-81
83
81
+2
69avg 60
A15/11
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
13-14
20-18
10-6
–
–
–
–
15-12
14-19
21-18
20-20
18-15
22-17
18-17
14-25
27-19
18-16
14-16
15-23
20-20
18-24
15-17
25-18
25-18
21-10
24-15
16-10
9-24
21-27
15-31
20-23
25-12
15-9
16-10
19-24
19-21
28-20
14-29
22-11
135.7Avg total
70.0Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.375.3152.6+2.057%
Season at home (3)81.062.7143.7+18.3100%
Season away (4)74.584.8159.2-10.225%
Last 10 (10)70.065.7135.7+4.370%
Last 5 (5)77.474.6152.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)68.083.0151.0-15.015%
vs Similar (8)75.472.1147.5+3.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)70.357.8128.1+12.689%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
74-105
74
105
-31
60avg 62
A15/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
64-96
64
96
-32
57avg 62
A16/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
69avg 62
A08/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
75-96
75
96
-21
67avg 62
A09/03
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
70-66 OT
70
66
+4
59avg 62
A11/03
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
68-82
68
82
-14
57avg 62
A12/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
78-104
78
104
-26
62avg 62
A04/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
91-105
91
105
-14
85avg 62
H05/04
National League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
55-75
55
75
-20
42avg 62
A14/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
38-87
38
87
-49
18avg 62
H15/11
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-38
25-16
24-23
15-28
19-21
14-25
15-20
16-30
25-22
11-26
21-12
17-14
21-29
16-16
17-29
21-22
10-18
25-16
15-8
13-21
15-20
15-25
21-22
17-15
20-31
15-26
20-26
23-21
26-33
31-20
11-23
23-29
12-25
9-15
10-16
24-19
11-28
10-22
8-14
9-23
159.0Avg total
69.2Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)46.581.0127.5-34.50%
Season at home (1)38.087.0125.0-49.00%
Season away (1)55.075.0130.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)69.289.8159.0-20.610%
Last 5 (5)66.090.6156.6-24.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)70.186.2156.3-16.113%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tigers-KazATU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -9.6-9.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -4.4-4.4
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -9.6-9.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -4.4-4.4
Tigers-KazATUPavlodar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tigers-KazATULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ChelSU Kostanay
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A08/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#6
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A10/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A21/10
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H22/10
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A23/10
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H24/10
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A25/10
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
40-21
40
21
+19
H14/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A15/11
Higher League
74.9Avg total
39.3Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.237.973.0-2.748%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.837.473.2-1.554%-
Last 30 away (16)34.638.272.9-3.644%-
Last 10 (9)39.335.674.9+3.867%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.077.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)31.242.874.0-11.715%-
vs Similar (8)38.137.075.1+1.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)38.830.669.4+8.188%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A15/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A16/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A08/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A09/03
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A11/03
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A12/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A04/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H05/04
National League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A14/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
21-50
21
50
-29
H15/11
Higher League
81.2Avg total
34.0Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.144.378.4-10.217%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.244.477.6-11.221%-
Last 30 away (16)34.944.279.1-9.412%-
Last 10 (10)34.047.281.2-13.220%-
Last 5 (5)32.849.081.8-16.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)34.144.378.4-10.217%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tigers-KazATU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tigers-KazATU wins
2
Pavlodar wins
DateGameScore
14/11/25Tigers-KazATU v Pavlodar75-55
12/03/23Tigers-KazATU v Pavlodar75-79
14/02/23Tigers-KazATU v Pavlodar76-67
24/12/22Tigers-KazATU v Pavlodar73-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25AKaraganda83-81
14/11/25HPavlodar75-55
25/10/25ABars Petropavlovsk65-105
24/10/25HTobol Kostanay 286-53
23/10/25AChelSU Kostanay78-79
22/10/25HTobol Kostanay 282-80 OT
21/10/25AChelSU Kostanay72-74
10/04/25ACHAMP1ON70-69
09/04/25HKaraganda20-0
08/04/25AChelSU Kostanay69-61
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HBars Petropavlovsk38-87
14/11/25ATigers-KazATU55-75
05/04/25HTobol Kostanay91-105
04/04/25ATobol Kostanay78-104
12/03/25AAstana 268-82
11/03/25AAstana 270-66 OT
09/03/25AKaspiy Aktau75-96
08/03/25AKaspiy Aktau79-82 OT
16/01/25AIrbis Almaty64-96
15/01/25AIrbis Almaty74-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tigers-KazATU
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game77.381.074.5
Allowed / game75.362.784.8
Point differential+2.0+18.3-10.2
Avg total152.6143.7159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %14%33%0%
Pavlodar
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game46.538.055.0
Allowed / game81.087.075.0
Point differential-34.5-49.0-20.0
Avg total127.5125.0130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bars Petropavlovsk880100%91.658.0+33.6
2 Aktobe440100%95.266.8+28.5
3 Turan10100100%85.761.6+24.1
4 Shymkent108280%97.071.5+25.5
5 Atyrau 2108280%78.267.0+11.2
6 Arlans74357%75.071.6+3.4
7 Tigers-KazATU74357%77.375.3+2.0
8 BC Almaty 2104640%71.373.7-2.4
9 ChelSU Kostanay104640%72.186.9-14.8
10 CHAMP1ON103730%68.175.9-7.8
11 AiRom71614%66.483.9-17.4
12 Kaspiy Aktau 2101910%56.084.0-28.0
13 Karaganda3030%65.382.7-17.3
14 Tobol Kostanay 2100100%68.293.8-25.6
15 Pavlodar2020%46.581.0-34.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tigers-KazATU1916211268
Pavlodar61492049
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