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Al Ahli vs Al Arabi Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 82-88
19-26 29-15 17-24 17-23
Position#5
Record10-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game77.7
Al Ahli
Qatar
vs
Al Arabi 🏆
Qatar
Position#2
Record11-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game78.2
QatarQBL· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al Arabi
06 Dec 2025
AL A78
AL A85
13 Mar 2025
AL A82
AL A88
13 Dec 2023
AL A79
AL A70
29 Oct 2023
AL A83
AL A88
28 Mar 2023
AL A77
AL A87
13 Nov 2021
AL A89
AL A78
09 Dec 2020
AL A61
AL A81
10 Dec 2019
AL A70
AL A92
30 Jan 2019
AL A69
AL A88
22 Dec 2018
AL A94
AL A97
16 Jan 2017
AL A90
AL A68
27 Feb 2016
AL A107
AL A62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Arabi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Ittihad
#11
W
76-57
76
57
+19
no box
A07/02
Premier League
Al Manama
#6
L
97-100 OT
97
100
-3
no box
H10/02
WASL
Al Hala
#8
W
107-81
107
81
+26
no box
H28/02
Premier League
Al Manama
#6
L
69-75
69
75
-6
no box
A03/03
WASL
Ohod
#9
W
127-54
127
54
+73
133avg 80
A03/03
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#7
W
95-78
95
78
+17
94avg 80
A05/03
QBL
Al Nasr
#4
W
91-87
91
87
+4
79avg 80
A07/03
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
67-70
67
70
-3
no box
A08/03
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#6
W
81-66
81
66
+15
66avg 80
H10/03
QBL
Al Ittihad
#11
W
79-54
79
54
+25
no box
H12/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
26-13
21-9
16-12
17-18
26-25
25-23
21-23
30-10
29-21
27-17
21-33
16-18
30-18
12-19
11-20
36-9
31-22
32-13
28-10
29-15
22-19
25-22
19-22
19-21
17-24
26-13
29-29
14-19
22-20
19-13
12-18
17-17
25-16
20-17
19-16
16-12
30-9
20-18
13-15
161.1Avg total
88.9Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.177.7157.8+2.567%
Season at home (7)78.076.1154.1+1.957%
Season away (8)82.079.0161.0+3.075%
Last 10 (10)88.972.2161.1+16.770%
Last 5 (5)82.671.0153.6+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)78.386.7165.0-8.333%
vs Similar (6)80.786.2166.8-5.517%
vs Weaker (18)90.169.9160.1+20.289%
This opponent (Al Arabi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al ArabiQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArabi
Date
Competition
Al Ittihad
#8
L
81-85
81
85
-4
70avg 77
H07/01
WASL
Al Manama
#6
L
75-77
75
77
-2
60avg 77
H14/01
WASL
Al Shamal
#4
W
98-84
98
84
+14
90avg 77
A18/01
QBL
Al Qadsia
#5
L
77-89
77
89
-12
65avg 77
A21/01
WASL
Al Sadd
#3
W
93-83
93
83
+10
92avg 77
A25/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
105-95
105
95
+10
101avg 77
H29/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
89-70
89
70
+19
92avg 77
H27/02
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
103-76
103
76
+27
101avg 77
H03/03
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
W
97-71
97
71
+26
84avg 77
A06/03
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
63avg 77
H10/03
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
20-21
24-13
15-23
18-24
23-19
16-17
18-17
27-22
30-17
24-28
17-17
19-17
17-19
22-24
19-29
27-20
26-17
20-24
20-22
28-26
23-30
29-24
25-15
31-17
15-24
17-19
26-10
28-19
28-20
27-20
20-17
26-20
23-17
24-16
24-18
23-20
26-15
9-13
17-32
170.3Avg total
89.3Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.878.2164.0+7.673%
Season at home (8)85.879.5165.2+6.262%
Season away (7)85.976.7162.6+9.186%
Last 10 (10)89.381.0170.3+8.360%
Last 5 (5)93.878.4172.2+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.882.0161.8-2.250%
vs Similar (6)73.878.7152.5-4.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.076.4164.4+11.680%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +7.1+7.1Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +7.1+7.1Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
Al AhliAl Arabi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ittihad
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A07/02
Premier League
Al Manama
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H10/02
WASL
Al Hala
#8
W
59-31
59
31
+28
H28/02
Premier League
Al Manama
#6
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A03/03
WASL
Ohod
#9
W
67-31
67
31
+36
A03/03
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#7
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A05/03
QBL
Al Nasr
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A07/03
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/03
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#6
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H10/03
QBL
Al Ittihad
#11
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H12/03
Premier League
81.4Avg total
46.5Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.337.579.8+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.536.579.1+6.062%-
Last 30 away (17)42.238.280.4+4.065%-
Last 10 (10)46.534.981.4+11.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.234.476.6+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.543.879.3-8.30%-
vs Similar (6)41.042.083.0-1.067%-
vs Weaker (18)45.133.878.9+11.283%-
This opponent (Al Arabi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al ArabiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ittihad
#8
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H07/01
WASL
Al Manama
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H14/01
WASL
Al Shamal
#4
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A18/01
QBL
Al Qadsia
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A21/01
WASL
Al Sadd
#3
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A25/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H29/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H27/02
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H03/03
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A06/03
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H10/03
QBL
89.2Avg total
48.0Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.282.6+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.642.085.6+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)41.138.179.2+2.964%-
Last 10 (10)48.041.289.2+6.860%-
Last 5 (5)50.241.691.8+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.238.279.5+3.050%-
vs Similar (6)38.241.880.0-3.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.040.184.1+3.970%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 91.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.626.3
57.7%
51.6%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.1
33.2%
31.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.715.0
72.5%
68.2%15.0
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Arabitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Arabi: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.2
55.2%
51.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.8
33.8%
31.6%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.413.2
68.0%
68.2%13.2
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
WWLWWWLWLW
Al Arabi
LWWWWWLWLL
#5
League position
#2
+27.5
Net rating
+12.0
117.2
Offensive rating
116.4
89.6
Defensive rating
104.4
54.9%
Effective FG%
53.1%
42.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
15.3%
Turnover %
13.1%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.2%
3-point %
33.8%
53.2%
Assist %
62.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.2 · 116.4Defence89.6 · 104.4Shooting54.9% · 53.1%3-point %33.2% · 33.8%Ball care15.3% · 13.1%Off. rebounds32.8% · 32.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al Arabi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Al Ahli wins
5
Al Arabi wins
DateGameScore
04/01/25Al Arabi v Al Ahli74-76
23/01/24Al Arabi v Al Ahli68-61
13/12/23Al Ahli v Al Arabi79-70
29/10/23Al Ahli v Al Arabi83-88
03/05/23Al Arabi v Al Ahli68-83
28/03/23Al Ahli v Al Arabi77-87
16/02/22Al Arabi v Al Ahli63-90
13/11/21Al Ahli v Al Arabi89-78
10/01/21Al Arabi v Al Ahli91-77
09/12/20Al Ahli v Al Arabi61-81
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25HAl Ittihad79-54
10/03/25HAl Gharafa81-66
08/03/25AAl Muharraq67-70
07/03/25AAl Nasr91-87
05/03/25AQatar Sports95-78
03/03/25AOhod127-54
03/03/25AAl Manama69-75
28/02/25HAl Hala107-81
10/02/25HAl Manama97-100 OT
07/02/25AAl Ittihad76-57
Al Arabilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/25HAl-Rayyan75-80
06/03/25AAl Gharafa97-71
03/03/25HAl Wakrah103-76
27/02/25HAl Khor89-70
29/01/25HQatar Sports105-95
25/01/25AAl Sadd93-83
21/01/25AAl Qadsia77-89
18/01/25AAl Shamal98-84
14/01/25HAl Manama75-77
07/01/25HAl Ittihad81-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLWLLW57%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%57%75%
Points / game80.178.082.0
Allowed / game77.776.179.0
Point differential+2.5+1.9+3.0
Avg total157.8154.1161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Al Arabi
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayLWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %73%62%86%
Points / game85.885.885.9
Allowed / game78.279.576.7
Point differential+7.6+6.2+9.1
Avg total164.0165.2162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%38%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan1614288%93.774.8+18.9
2 Al Arabi1511473%85.878.2+7.6
3 Al Sadd1611569%89.783.6+6.1
4 Al Ahli1510567%80.177.7+2.5
5 Al Shamal169756%87.487.8-0.4
6 Al Gharafa1651131%82.487.1-4.6
7 Qatar Sports1641225%78.887.6-8.8
8 Al Wakrah1641225%77.488.3-10.9
9 Al Khor1631319%68.177.8-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli1929171782
Al Arabi2615242388
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