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Al Arabi vs Al Ahli Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 74-76
18-15 20-21 25-22 11-18
Position#2
Record5-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game76.9
Al Arabi
Qatar
vs
Al Ahli 🏆
Qatar
Position#5
Record4-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game78.9
QatarQBL· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al Arabi v Al Ahli
27 Oct 2026
AL A114
AL A101
08 Jan 2026
AL A81
AL A66
04 Jan 2025
AL A74
AL A76
23 Jan 2024
AL A68
AL A61
03 May 2023
AL A68
AL A83
16 Feb 2022
AL A63
AL A90
10 Jan 2021
AL A91
AL A77
19 Jan 2020
AL A98
AL A72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Arabi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al ArabiQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArabi
Date
Competition
Al Ittihad
#8
L
64-86
64
86
-22
52avg 73
A29/10
WASL
Al Manama
#6
W
85-84
85
84
+1
81avg 73
A07/11
WASL
Al Khor
#9
W
67-54
67
54
+13
61avg 73
A07/12
QBL
Al Qadsia
#5
W
88-81
88
81
+7
86avg 73
H10/12
WASL
Al Shamal
#4
W
76-75
76
75
+1
66avg 73
H14/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
81-74
81
74
+7
72avg 73
H17/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
88-85
88
85
+3
81avg 73
A21/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
L
79-82
79
82
-3
75avg 73
A26/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
L
83-90
83
90
-7
72avg 73
H29/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
W
79-78
79
78
+1
78avg 73
A01/01
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
13-20
16-23
16-13
15-26
20-15
25-24
25-19
17-18
15-12
16-10
19-14
19-25
24-22
24-20
21-14
15-21
21-14
21-21
19-19
26-14
14-25
17-19
24-16
20-22
24-21
16-17
28-25
23-22
6-21
26-24
24-15
21-23
25-30
13-15
24-22
21-23
16-12
23-19
19-24
157.9Avg total
79.0Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.076.9155.9+2.171%
Season at home (3)80.079.7159.7+0.367%
Season away (4)78.274.8153.0+3.575%
Last 10 (10)79.078.9157.9+0.170%
Last 5 (5)82.081.8163.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.282.2165.5+1.075%
vs Similar (5)75.078.6153.6-3.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)81.170.5151.6+10.781%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Hala
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H21/12
Premier League
Al Shamal
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
73avg 80
A25/12
QBL
Al Ittihad
#11
W
88-68
88
68
+20
no box
H26/12
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
81-87
81
87
-6
74avg 80
A27/12
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#7
W
81-79
81
79
+2
77avg 80
H28/12
QBL
Al Khaleej
#6
W
82-65
82
65
+17
68avg 80
A30/12
Premier League
Al Manama
#3
L
67-86
67
86
-19
no box
A30/12
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#6
W
90-82
90
82
+8
80avg 80
A01/01
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
105-112
105
112
-7
no box
A02/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
99-79
99
79
+20
104avg 80
H03/01
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
16-23
18-25
24-18
19-19
19-25
23-19
21-29
19-16
24-17
22-19
23-16
10-27
23-15
23-20
25-25
16-17
18-23
18-22
29-17
14-18
22-20
16-12
30-15
10-18
13-20
25-23
19-25
26-11
15-27
24-22
25-22
25-29
19-38
32-18
29-27
27-21
25-18
28-12
19-28
168.7Avg total
85.7Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.978.9159.7+2.057%
Season at home (4)79.072.8151.8+6.275%
Season away (3)83.387.0170.3-3.733%
Last 10 (10)85.783.0168.7+2.760%
Last 5 (5)88.684.8173.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.987.8167.7-7.922%
vs Similar (5)76.285.6161.8-9.40%
vs Weaker (16)90.270.6160.8+19.6100%
This opponent (Al Arabi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
Al ArabiAl Ahli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al ArabiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ittihad
#8
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A29/10
WASL
Al Manama
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A07/11
WASL
Al Khor
#9
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A07/12
QBL
Al Qadsia
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H10/12
WASL
Al Shamal
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H14/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H17/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A21/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A26/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H29/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A01/01
QBL
79.0Avg total
37.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.137.276.3+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.938.278.1+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)38.336.274.5+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)37.441.679.0-4.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.242.681.8-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.241.281.5-1.025%-
vs Similar (5)36.640.076.6-3.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)39.535.875.3+3.862%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Hala
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H21/12
Premier League
Al Shamal
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A25/12
QBL
Al Ittihad
#11
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H26/12
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A27/12
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#7
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H28/12
QBL
Al Khaleej
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A30/12
Premier League
Al Manama
#3
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A30/12
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A01/01
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
44-67
44
67
-23
A02/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H03/01
Premier League
80.0Avg total
38.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.780.9+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.936.581.4+8.475%-
Last 30 away (14)38.941.380.2-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)38.441.680.0-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.244.083.2-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.644.985.4-4.344%-
vs Similar (5)34.040.674.6-6.620%-
vs Weaker (16)45.634.780.2+10.981%-
This opponent (Al Arabi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Arabitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Arabi: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.221.9
58.9%
51.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.26.9
24.5%
31.6%20.7
🏀 Free throws20.814.1
67.8%
68.2%14.1
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.425.7
54.2%
51.6%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.5
32.6%
31.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.515.4
71.6%
68.2%15.4
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Arabi
WLLWWWWWWL
Al Ahli
WLWLWWLWLW
#2
League position
#5
+4.3
Net rating
+13.3
105.6
Offensive rating
110.8
101.3
Defensive rating
97.5
49.3%
Effective FG%
52.5%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.1%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
24.5%
3-point %
32.6%
59.7%
Assist %
56.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 110.8Defence101.3 · 97.5Shooting49.3% · 52.5%3-point %24.5% · 32.6%Ball care16.5% · 15.1%Off. rebounds32.4% · 29.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Al Arabi   ■ Al Ahli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Al Arabi wins
4
Al Ahli wins
DateGameScore
23/01/24Al Arabi v Al Ahli68-61
13/12/23Al Ahli v Al Arabi79-70
29/10/23Al Ahli v Al Arabi83-88
03/05/23Al Arabi v Al Ahli68-83
28/03/23Al Ahli v Al Arabi77-87
16/02/22Al Arabi v Al Ahli63-90
13/11/21Al Ahli v Al Arabi89-78
10/01/21Al Arabi v Al Ahli91-77
09/12/20Al Ahli v Al Arabi61-81
19/01/20Al Arabi v Al Ahli98-72
Al Arabilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/25AAl-Rayyan79-78
29/12/24HAl Gharafa83-90
26/12/24AAl Wakrah79-82
21/12/24AQatar Sports88-85
17/12/24HAl Sadd81-74
14/12/24HAl Shamal76-75
10/12/24HAl Qadsia88-81
07/12/24AAl Khor67-54
07/11/24AAl Manama85-84
29/10/24AAl Ittihad64-86
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25HAl Safa of Safwa99-79
02/01/25AAl Muharraq105-112
01/01/25AAl Gharafa90-82
30/12/24AAl Manama67-86
30/12/24AAl Khaleej82-65
28/12/24HQatar Sports81-79
27/12/24AAl Ittihad81-87
26/12/24HAl Ittihad88-68
25/12/24AAl Shamal82-92
21/12/24HAl Hala82-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Arabi
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW71%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game79.080.078.2
Allowed / game76.979.774.8
Point differential+2.1+0.3+3.5
Avg total155.9159.7153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Ahli
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game80.979.083.3
Allowed / game78.972.887.0
Point differential+2.0+6.2-3.7
Avg total159.7151.8170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan87188%97.473.0+24.4
2 Al Sadd86275%84.080.0+4.0
3 Al Arabi75271%79.076.9+2.1
4 Al Ahli74357%80.978.9+2.0
5 Al Shamal74357%84.185.6-1.4
6 Qatar Sports83538%79.182.6-3.5
7 Al Wakrah72529%76.788.3-11.6
8 Al Khor71614%64.472.7-8.3
9 Al Gharafa71614%80.792.0-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Arabi1820251174
Al Ahli1521221876
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