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Al Ahli vs Al-Fateh Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 99-74
23-23 26-13 29-19 21-19
Position#3
Record3-0
FormLWWLW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game58.0
Al Ahli 🏆
Saudi Arabia
vs
Position#5
Record0-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game100.0
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 4· Al-Ahli Sports Club
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al-Fateh
02 Dec 2024
AL A99
AL-F74
06 Nov 2023
AL A96
AL-F77
26 Sep 2022
AL A72
AL-F61
18 Mar 2022
AL A89
AL-F85
25 Dec 2020
AL A57
AL-F65
11 Apr 2019
AL A76
AL-F80
19 Jan 2019
AL A56
AL-F75
01 Dec 2017
AL A73
AL-F84
09 Dec 2016
AL A84
AL-F87
29 Apr 2016
AL A68
AL-F76
12 Dec 2015
AL A77
AL-F83
02 Dec 2014
AL A65
AL-F76
09 Nov 2013
AL A89
AL-F87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al-Fateh winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Manama
#1
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
A13/05
Premier League
Al Manama
#1
L
76-89
76
89
-13
no box
H15/05
Premier League
Al Manama
#1
W
90-87
90
87
+3
no box
A17/05
Premier League
Al Manama
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
H20/05
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
98-61
98
61
+37
no box
H18/10
Premier League
Kuwait SC
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
52avg 76
A21/10
WASL
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
75-51
75
51
+24
75avg 76
A25/10
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
102-62
102
62
+40
101avg 76
H28/10
Premier League
Al-Ahli Dubai
#2
L
73-76
73
76
-3
67avg 76
H05/11
WASL
Al Khor
#9
W
64-61
64
61
+3
51avg 76
H02/12
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
20-19
15-20
26-25
26-31
21-30
16-15
13-13
27-22
17-20
22-23
24-22
27-22
14-16
17-20
13-27
24-12
36-24
17-17
21-8
15-23
21-29
15-24
26-12
17-13
18-17
25-7
15-14
32-11
29-17
25-10
16-24
32-20
12-20
21-16
8-20
19-18
17-21
9-17
19-5
155.3Avg total
80.4Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.758.0149.7+33.7100%
Season at home (2)100.061.5161.5+38.5100%
Season away (1)75.051.0126.0+24.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.474.9155.3+5.550%
Last 5 (5)78.267.6145.8+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.289.1168.4-9.912%
vs Similar (11)83.678.5162.2+5.164%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.563.7153.2+25.791%
This opponent (Al-Fateh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-FatehSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Fateh
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
63avg 87
H26/01
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
L
88-94
88
94
-6
88avg 87
A02/02
Premier League
Ohod
#5
L
89-92
89
92
-3
81avg 87
A05/02
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
W
80-71
80
71
+9
85avg 87
H08/03
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
L
71-81
71
81
-10
62avg 87
A11/03
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
115-79
115
79
+36
no box
H15/03
Premier League
Al Taawon
#12
W
103-77
103
77
+26
106avg 87
A18/03
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
83-59
83
59
+24
81avg 87
H22/03
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
81-108
81
108
-27
52avg 87
A25/10
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
71avg 87
A28/10
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
18-31
17-17
16-22
27-17
27-30
24-24
10-23
30-12
25-23
14-26
20-31
24-14
17-26
15-16
24-15
17-19
18-17
21-21
15-24
35-18
31-16
31-19
18-26
31-16
22-18
17-21
33-22
22-13
23-13
27-24
11-9
25-32
19-20
22-25
15-31
21-27
9-22
29-21
23-22
170.3Avg total
86.2Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.5100.0181.5-18.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)81.5100.0181.5-18.50%
Last 10 (10)86.284.1170.3+2.140%
Last 5 (5)92.883.0175.8+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.395.5175.8-15.20%
vs Similar (5)81.686.8168.4-5.220%
vs Weaker (19)94.777.7172.5+17.084%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -4.0-4.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -4.0-4.0
Al AhliAl-Fateh
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Manama
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A13/05
Premier League
Al Manama
#1
L
47-61
47
61
-14
H15/05
Premier League
Al Manama
#1
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A17/05
Premier League
Al Manama
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H20/05
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H18/10
Premier League
Kuwait SC
#3
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A21/10
WASL
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A25/10
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
61-28
61
28
+33
H28/10
Premier League
Al-Ahli Dubai
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H05/11
WASL
Al Khor
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H02/12
QBL
85.1Avg total
44.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.238.782.9+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.538.987.4+9.773%-
Last 30 away (15)39.938.578.4+1.560%-
Last 10 (10)44.141.085.1+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.880.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.846.286.0-6.538%-
vs Similar (11)41.937.379.2+4.664%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)49.834.584.4+15.391%-
This opponent (Al-Fateh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-FatehLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H26/01
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A02/02
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A05/02
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H08/03
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A11/03
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
66-34
66
34
+32
H15/03
Premier League
Al Taawon
#12
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A18/03
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H22/03
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A25/10
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A28/10
Premier League
86.2Avg total
46.0Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.839.885.6+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.838.485.1+8.471%-
Last 30 away (16)44.941.186.0+3.862%-
Last 10 (10)46.040.286.2+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)47.639.086.6+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.746.585.2-7.817%-
vs Similar (5)46.043.489.4+2.680%-
vs Weaker (19)47.936.884.7+11.279%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.022.8
51.8%
50.2%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.3
34.3%
30.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.311.4
62.3%
67.8%11.4
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al-Fatehtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Fateh: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.5
58.7%
50.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.9
38.0%
30.3%32.7
🏀 Free throws13.09.0
69.2%
67.8%9.0
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
WLWWLWLWLL
Al-Fateh
LLWWWLWLLL
#3
League position
#5
+17.8
Net rating
+1.0
106.7
Offensive rating
109.1
88.8
Defensive rating
108.1
51.7%
Effective FG%
58.0%
43.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
15.5%
Turnover %
20.6%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.20
34.3%
3-point %
38.0%
48.2%
Assist %
63.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 109.1Defence88.8 · 108.1Shooting51.7% · 58.0%3-point %34.3% · 38.0%Ball care15.5% · 20.6%Off. rebounds29.2% · 27.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al-Fateh
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Al Ahli wins
6
Al-Fateh wins
DateGameScore
26/01/24Al-Fateh v Al Ahli70-88
06/11/23Al Ahli v Al-Fateh96-77
23/12/22Al-Fateh v Al Ahli70-67
26/09/22Al Ahli v Al-Fateh72-61
18/03/22Al Ahli v Al-Fateh89-85
13/12/21Al-Fateh v Al Ahli95-94 OT
28/03/21Al-Fateh v Al Ahli92-82
25/12/20Al Ahli v Al-Fateh57-65
12/04/19Al-Fateh v Al Ahli74-71
11/04/19Al Ahli v Al-Fateh76-80
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/24HAl Khor64-61
05/11/24HAl-Ahli Dubai73-76
28/10/24HAl Khowildiah102-62
25/10/24AAl Safa of Safwa75-51
21/10/24AKuwait SC77-88
18/10/24HAl Khaleej98-61
20/05/24HAl Manama71-85
17/05/24AAl Manama90-87
15/05/24HAl Manama76-89
13/05/24AAl Manama78-89
Al-Fatehlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/24AAl Nasr82-92
25/10/24AAlUla81-108
22/03/24HAl Salam83-59
18/03/24AAl Taawon103-77
15/03/24HDbae115-79
11/03/24AAl-Hilal71-81
08/03/24HAl Nasr80-71
05/02/24AOhod89-92
02/02/24AAl Ittihad88-94
26/01/24HAl Ahli70-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.7100.075.0
Allowed / game58.061.551.0
Point differential+33.7+38.5+24.0
Avg total149.7161.5126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al-Fateh
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game81.5-81.5
Allowed / game100.0-100.0
Point differential-18.5--18.5
Avg total181.5-181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AlUla440100%108.572.8+35.8
2 Al Ahli330100%91.758.0+33.7
3 Al Ittihad440100%85.271.0+14.2
4 Al Nasr43175%88.874.8+14.0
5 Al Safa of Safwa42250%68.074.0-6.0
6 Al Salam41325%82.884.8-2.0
7 Al-Fateh2020%81.5100.0-18.5
8 Al Khaleej3030%56.786.0-29.3
9 Ohod3030%74.0106.7-32.7
10 Al Khowildiah3030%64.398.3-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli2326292199
Al-Fateh2313191974
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