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Al Ahli vs Al-Hilal Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 86-98
19-28 17-24 24-26 26-20
Position#3
Record16-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Position#1
Record17-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game99.2
Allowed / game77.5
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 21· Al-Ahli Sports Club
Other2023-24
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al-Hilal
18 Mar 2024
AL A86
AL-H98
14 Dec 2022
AL A76
AL-H72
05 Nov 2021
AL A83
AL-H89
25 Mar 2021
AL A67
AL-H88
30 Mar 2019
AL A79
AL-H76
23 Mar 2019
AL A80
AL-H77
22 Dec 2018
AL A57
AL-H82
15 Mar 2018
AL A79
AL-H68
25 Nov 2016
AL A76
AL-H70
23 Jan 2016
AL A78
AL-H68
08 Jan 2015
AL A83
AL-H71
18 Jan 2014
AL A77
AL-H79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al-Hilal winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Ittihad
#3
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
H27/01
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#8
W
95-65
95
65
+30
71avg 79
H30/01
WASL
Al Salam
#9
W
104-93
104
93
+11
105avg 79
H02/02
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
90-62
90
62
+28
79avg 79
A05/02
Premier League
Kuwait SC
#3
L
83-91
83
91
-8
64avg 79
A12/02
WASL
Al Hala
#7
W
77-58
77
58
+19
no box
A06/03
Premier League
Ohod
#5
L
68-73
68
73
-5
58avg 79
A08/03
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
101-56
101
56
+45
110avg 79
H11/03
Premier League
Al Najma
#6
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
no box
A14/03
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
W
73-58
73
58
+15
67avg 79
A15/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
25-19
15-27
31-14
28-17
17-12
17-20
33-16
25-17
26-26
25-18
28-32
17-26
26-12
26-11
21-13
16-24
19-20
30-15
18-32
26-12
18-19
19-16
14-11
24-16
18-17
12-26
14-14
29-14
28-18
26-16
18-8
25-19
12-23
16-24
25-12
20-14
15-10
20-15
18-19
158.4Avg total
86.6Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)88.472.3160.7+16.180%
Season at home (9)94.375.3169.7+19.078%
Season away (11)83.569.8153.4+13.782%
Last 10 (10)86.671.8158.4+14.880%
Last 5 (5)81.265.4146.6+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)84.587.0171.5-2.550%
vs Similar (10)80.475.9156.3+4.560%
vs Weaker (18)92.267.4159.7+24.889%
This opponent (Al-Hilal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-HilalSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Hilal
Date
Competition
Al Nasr
#4
L
83-112
83
112
-29
68avg 93
A01/01
Premier League
Al Taawon
#12
W
114-84
114
84
+30
98avg 93
A05/01
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
101-85
101
85
+16
105avg 93
A19/01
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
86-80 OT
86
80
+6
no box
H22/01
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
91-76
91
76
+15
88avg 93
A26/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
99-85
99
85
+14
101avg 93
H02/02
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
136-90
136
90
+46
142avg 93
A05/02
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
109-68
109
68
+41
117avg 93
A08/03
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
72avg 93
H11/03
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
W
85-59
85
59
+26
82avg 93
H15/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
19-34
25-26
26-25
24-26
23-21
27-20
40-17
19-27
35-12
23-21
24-25
29-16
13-22
13-19
19-17
16-18
30-17
20-21
25-20
30-24
27-23
27-12
15-26
39-20
31-23
40-18
26-29
25-18
25-13
30-21
29-16
19-17
17-18
21-21
24-15
12-16
26-12
26-16
21-15
179.5Avg total
98.5Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)99.277.5176.7+21.885%
Season at home (10)96.969.2166.1+27.790%
Season away (10)101.685.7187.3+15.980%
Last 10 (10)98.581.0179.5+17.590%
Last 5 (5)102.074.6176.6+27.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)82.784.3167.0-1.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)95.677.0172.6+18.778%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +4.4+4.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +4.4+4.4
Al AhliAl-Hilal
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ittihad
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H27/01
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#8
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H30/01
WASL
Al Salam
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H02/02
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A05/02
Premier League
Kuwait SC
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A12/02
WASL
Al Hala
#7
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A06/03
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A08/03
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H11/03
Premier League
Al Najma
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/03
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A15/03
Premier League
78.6Avg total
43.1Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.435.579.9+8.969%-
Last 30 at home (11)49.036.085.0+13.073%-
Last 30 away (18)41.635.276.7+6.467%-
Last 10 (10)43.135.578.6+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)43.032.475.4+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)40.046.086.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (10)38.538.476.9+0.140%-
vs Weaker (17)48.432.580.9+15.894%-
This opponent (Al-Hilal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-HilalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Nasr
#4
L
32-61
32
61
-29
A01/01
Premier League
Al Taawon
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A05/01
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A19/01
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H22/01
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A26/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H02/02
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
70-43
70
43
+27
A05/02
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A08/03
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H11/03
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H15/03
Premier League
87.6Avg total
47.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.638.385.9+9.377%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.635.282.8+12.494%-
Last 30 away (14)47.541.989.4+5.657%-
Last 10 (10)47.240.487.6+6.880%-
Last 5 (5)50.236.887.0+13.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)42.741.384.0+1.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)48.138.086.1+10.178%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.724.6
55.0%
53.6%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.7
33.2%
32.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws14.59.3
64.1%
68.3%9.3
They take 73.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al-Hilaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Hilal: 97.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.024.5
61.3%
53.6%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.312.3
38.1%
32.3%36.9
🏀 Free throws15.611.1
71.2%
68.3%11.1
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
WWWLWLWWWW
Al-Hilal
WWWWWWWWWL
#3
League position
#1
+25.6
Net rating
+20.0
115.6
Offensive rating
119.7
90.0
Defensive rating
99.7
53.0%
Effective FG%
59.4%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
11.1%
Turnover %
15.6%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.2%
3-point %
38.1%
55.4%
Assist %
59.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 119.7Defence90.0 · 99.7Shooting53.0% · 59.4%3-point %33.2% · 38.1%Ball care11.1% · 15.6%Off. rebounds32.0% · 28.7%Free throws0.20 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al-Hilal
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Al Ahli wins
5
Al-Hilal wins
DateGameScore
29/12/23Al-Hilal v Al Ahli83-86
14/12/22Al Ahli v Al-Hilal76-72
22/09/22Al-Hilal v Al Ahli81-96
28/01/22Al-Hilal v Al Ahli111-87
05/11/21Al Ahli v Al-Hilal83-89
25/03/21Al Ahli v Al-Hilal67-88
15/01/21Al-Hilal v Al Ahli76-68
30/03/19Al Ahli v Al-Hilal79-76
26/03/19Al-Hilal v Al Ahli68-61
23/03/19Al Ahli v Al-Hilal80-77
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/24AAl Nasr73-58
14/03/24AAl Najma87-82 OT
11/03/24HAl Wehda101-56
08/03/24AOhod68-73
06/03/24AAl Hala77-58
12/02/24AKuwait SC83-91
05/02/24AAl Safa of Safwa90-62
02/02/24HAl Salam104-93
30/01/24HAl Muharraq95-65
27/01/24HAl Ittihad88-80
Al-Hilallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/24HAl Ittihad85-59
11/03/24HAl-Fateh81-71
08/03/24AAl Salam109-68
05/02/24ADbae136-90
02/02/24HAl Safa of Safwa99-85
26/01/24AAl Khaleej91-76
22/01/24HOhod86-80 OT
19/01/24AAl Wehda101-85
05/01/24AAl Taawon114-84
01/01/24AAl Nasr83-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayWWWLW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %80%78%82%
Points / game88.494.383.5
Allowed / game72.375.369.8
Point differential+16.1+19.0+13.7
Avg total160.7169.7153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%78%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al-Hilal
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeLWWWW90%
AwayWWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %85%90%80%
Points / game99.296.9101.6
Allowed / game77.569.285.7
Point differential+21.8+27.7+15.9
Avg total176.7166.1187.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%80%70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %10%10%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Ittihad2118386%89.677.2+12.4
2 Al-Hilal2017385%99.277.5+21.8
3 Al Ahli2016480%88.472.3+16.1
4 Al Nasr2116576%86.674.9+11.7
5 Ohod2113862%85.981.1+4.8
6 Al-Fateh21111052%91.682.9+8.7
7 Al Wehda2091145%84.083.8+0.1
8 Al Salam2181338%73.681.0-7.4
9 Al Khaleej2171433%80.085.0-5.1
10 Al Safa of Safwa2061430%79.588.5-9.1
11 Dbae2131814%72.5100.0-27.5
12 Al Taawon210210%69.494.5-25.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli1917242686
Al-Hilal2824262098
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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