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Al Nasr vs Al Ahli Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 58-73
14-20 10-15 15-20 19-18
Position#4
Record16-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game74.2
vs
Al Ahli 🏆
Saudi Arabia
Position#3
Record15-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game73.1
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 20· Hall of the Ministry of Sports
Other2023-24
Meetings · Al Nasr v Al Ahli
07 Mar 2025
AL N87
AL A91
15 Mar 2024
AL N58
AL A73
18 Nov 2022
AL N71
AL A79
21 Jan 2022
AL N93
AL A90
01 Jan 2021
AL N83
AL A73
11 Jan 2019
AL N80
AL A81
18 Apr 2018
AL N73
AL A81
07 Dec 2017
AL N72
AL A64
02 Dec 2016
AL N89
AL A93
02 Jan 2016
AL N88
AL A86
25 Apr 2015
AL N71
AL A72
18 Apr 2015
AL N91
AL A79
20 Mar 2015
AL N82
AL A77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Nasr winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al NasrSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNasr
Date
Competition
Al Ittihad
#2
L
64-81
64
81
-17
56avg 83
H29/12
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
W
112-83
112
83
+29
111avg 83
H01/01
Premier League
Al Taawon
#12
W
89-70
89
70
+19
75avg 83
H12/01
Premier League
Ohod
#5
L
93-104 OT
93
104
-11
no box
A19/01
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
77-67
77
67
+10
74avg 83
H22/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
95-75
95
75
+20
95avg 83
A26/01
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
123-84
123
84
+39
120avg 83
A29/01
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
86-77
86
77
+9
75avg 83
H02/02
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
L
71-80
71
80
-9
52avg 83
A08/03
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
79-61
79
61
+18
64avg 83
H11/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
18-19
17-23
15-18
27-13
34-19
26-25
25-26
15-14
23-15
31-15
20-26
19-21
24-25
29-17
14-23
20-20
21-14
20-19
16-14
18-27
30-22
21-11
26-15
29-18
23-16
34-25
37-25
25-17
20-23
20-15
21-22
14-24
26-17
16-15
15-24
20-16
13-10
24-24
22-11
167.1Avg total
88.9Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)89.274.2163.4+14.984%
Season at home (10)86.471.3157.7+15.190%
Season away (9)92.277.4169.7+14.878%
Last 10 (10)88.978.2167.1+10.770%
Last 5 (5)90.875.4166.2+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.587.8168.2-7.250%
vs Similar ◀ (6)79.377.7157.0+1.750%
vs Weaker (16)89.971.6161.5+18.294%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al-Fateh
#6
W
88-70
88
70
+18
79avg 79
A26/01
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#3
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
H27/01
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#8
W
95-65
95
65
+30
71avg 79
H30/01
WASL
Al Salam
#9
W
104-93
104
93
+11
105avg 79
H02/02
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
90-62
90
62
+28
79avg 79
A05/02
Premier League
Kuwait SC
#3
L
83-91
83
91
-8
64avg 79
A12/02
WASL
Al Hala
#7
W
77-58
77
58
+19
no box
A06/03
Premier League
Ohod
#5
L
68-73
68
73
-5
58avg 79
A08/03
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
101-56
101
56
+45
110avg 79
H11/03
Premier League
Al Najma
#6
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
no box
A14/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
31-18
17-17
22-16
17-20
25-19
15-27
31-14
28-17
17-12
17-20
33-16
25-17
26-26
25-18
28-32
17-26
26-12
26-11
21-13
16-24
19-20
30-15
18-32
26-12
18-19
19-16
14-11
24-16
18-17
12-26
14-14
29-14
28-18
26-16
18-8
25-19
12-23
16-24
25-12
161.1Avg total
88.1Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)89.273.1162.3+16.279%
Season at home (9)94.375.3169.7+19.078%
Season away (10)84.671.0155.6+13.680%
Last 10 (10)88.173.0161.1+15.180%
Last 5 (5)83.272.0155.2+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.587.0171.5-2.550%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.277.9159.1+3.356%
vs Weaker (19)91.467.3158.6+24.189%
This opponent (Al Nasr) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +5.6+5.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +5.6+5.6
Al NasrAl Ahli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al NasrLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ittihad
#2
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H29/12
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
W
61-32
61
32
+29
H01/01
Premier League
Al Taawon
#12
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H12/01
Premier League
Ohod
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A19/01
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H22/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A26/01
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A29/01
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H02/02
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A08/03
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H11/03
Premier League
80.4Avg total
43.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.181.1+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.236.077.2+5.273%-
Last 30 away (15)42.742.384.9+0.433%-
Last 10 (10)43.337.180.4+6.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.638.081.6+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.644.584.1-4.912%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.539.278.7+0.333%-
vs Weaker (16)44.036.480.4+7.681%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al-Fateh
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A26/01
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H27/01
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#8
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H30/01
WASL
Al Salam
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H02/02
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A05/02
Premier League
Kuwait SC
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A12/02
WASL
Al Hala
#7
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A06/03
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A08/03
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H11/03
Premier League
Al Najma
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/03
Premier League
81.3Avg total
44.5Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.335.679.9+8.869%-
Last 30 at home (11)49.036.085.0+13.073%-
Last 30 away (18)41.535.376.8+6.267%-
Last 10 (10)44.536.881.3+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)43.036.479.4+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.046.086.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.940.078.9-1.133%-
vs Weaker (18)47.632.279.8+15.394%-
This opponent (Al Nasr) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Nasrtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Nasr: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.617.1
52.5%
53.6%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.513.4
37.7%
32.3%40.2
🏀 Free throws18.013.5
75.0%
68.3%13.5
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.223.9
54.1%
53.6%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.0
34.5%
32.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.310.6
65.0%
68.3%10.6
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Nasr
WLWWWWLWWL
Al Ahli
WWLWLWWWWW
#4
League position
#3
+18.0
Net rating
+26.9
114.4
Offensive rating
115.3
96.4
Defensive rating
88.5
54.6%
Effective FG%
53.1%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
13.1%
Turnover %
11.3%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.7%
3-point %
34.5%
52.8%
Assist %
59.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 115.3Defence96.4 · 88.5Shooting54.6% · 53.1%3-point %37.7% · 34.5%Ball care13.1% · 11.3%Off. rebounds22.8% · 31.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Al Nasr   ■ Al Ahli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Al Nasr wins
3
Al Ahli wins
DateGameScore
23/12/23Al Ahli v Al Nasr73-89
28/01/23Al Ahli v Al Nasr69-73
18/11/22Al Nasr v Al Ahli71-79
21/01/22Al Nasr v Al Ahli93-90
29/10/21Al Ahli v Al Nasr78-86
12/03/21Al Ahli v Al Nasr68-73
01/01/21Al Nasr v Al Ahli83-73
11/01/19Al Nasr v Al Ahli80-81
27/10/18Al Ahli v Al Nasr74-66
19/04/18Al Ahli v Al Nasr80-86
Al Nasrlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/24HAl Salam79-61
08/03/24AAl-Fateh71-80
02/02/24HAl Khaleej86-77
29/01/24ADbae123-84
26/01/24AAl Safa of Safwa95-75
22/01/24HAl Wehda77-67
19/01/24AOhod93-104 OT
12/01/24HAl Taawon89-70
01/01/24HAl-Hilal112-83
29/12/23HAl Ittihad64-81
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24AAl Najma87-82 OT
11/03/24HAl Wehda101-56
08/03/24AOhod68-73
06/03/24AAl Hala77-58
12/02/24AKuwait SC83-91
05/02/24AAl Safa of Safwa90-62
02/02/24HAl Salam104-93
30/01/24HAl Muharraq95-65
27/01/24HAl Ittihad88-80
26/01/24AAl-Fateh88-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Nasr
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW84%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWLWWL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %84%90%78%
Points / game89.286.492.2
Allowed / game74.271.377.4
Point differential+14.9+15.1+14.8
Avg total163.4157.7169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%60%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %5%0%11%
Al Ahli
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %79%78%80%
Points / game89.294.384.6
Allowed / game73.175.371.0
Point differential+16.2+19.0+13.6
Avg total162.3169.7155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%78%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Ittihad1917289%91.277.4+13.8
2 Al-Hilal1916384%100.078.4+21.6
3 Al Nasr1916384%89.274.2+14.9
4 Al Ahli1915479%89.273.1+16.2
5 Ohod1912763%85.681.4+4.2
6 Al-Fateh1991047%89.783.4+6.4
7 Al Wehda2091145%84.083.8+0.1
8 Al Salam2081240%72.579.5-7.0
9 Al Safa of Safwa1961332%79.687.8-8.3
10 Al Khaleej2061430%80.085.5-5.5
11 Dbae1921711%70.199.3-29.3
12 Al Taawon200200%69.094.1-25.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Nasr1410151958
Al Ahli2015201873
← all games of the day
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