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Al Ahli vs Al Wakrah Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 03 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game94.2
Al Ahli
Qatar
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.9/10
Above normal
6.0/10
Above normal
Al Wakrah
Qatar
Position#4
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game81.4
QatarQBL· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2026-27
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al Wakrah
03 Dec 2026
AL A v AL W
upcoming
24 Dec 2025
AL A88
AL W80
12 Dec 2024
AL A97
AL W68
05 Dec 2023
AL A92
AL W70
09 Mar 2023
AL A92
AL W78
19 Mar 2022
AL A80
AL W82
29 Jan 2022
AL A83
AL W60
22 Dec 2020
AL A69
AL W83
25 Jan 2020
AL A77
AL W81
16 Jan 2019
AL A68
AL W73
19 Dec 2018
AL A68
AL W71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Al Wakrah win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Muharraq
#2
L
73-90
73
90
-17
no box
A26/03
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
85avg 79
H28/03
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
69-96
69
96
-27
no box
H29/03
Premier League
Al Sadd
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
65avg 79
H30/03
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
63-102
63
102
-39
no box
A01/04
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#7
L
68-76
68
76
-8
54avg 79
H13/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
75-74
75
74
+1
68avg 79
H22/10
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
101-114
101
114
-13
91avg 79
A27/10
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
L
85-106
85
106
-21
72avg 79
H31/10
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
L
91-101
91
101
-10
no box
A02/11
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-24
26-24
20-19
18-23
19-20
22-22
25-25
22-26
17-24
16-18
19-29
17-25
18-26
29-24
15-15
11-15
21-27
15-28
9-32
18-15
10-23
19-17
24-17
15-19
10-18
24-20
20-20
21-16
24-26
13-28
28-28
36-32
17-25
27-27
15-32
26-22
20-32
26-22
26-26
19-21
171.8Avg total
78.6Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.094.2178.2-10.220%
Season at home (3)76.085.3161.3-9.333%
Season away (2)96.0107.5203.5-11.50%
Last 10 (10)78.693.2171.8-14.610%
Last 5 (5)84.094.2178.2-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)74.684.6159.3-10.024%
vs Similar (5)71.075.6146.6-4.620%
vs Weaker (8)91.977.8169.6+14.1100%
This opponent (Al Wakrah) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al WakrahQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWakrah
Date
Competition
Al Khor
#9
W
102-78
102
78
+24
no box
A14/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
H19/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
73avg 72
H24/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
86-72
86
72
+14
no box
H31/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
73-85
73
85
-12
59avg 72
H02/02
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
76-62
76
62
+14
72avg 72
H13/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
73-63
73
63
+10
69avg 72
A24/10
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
L
69-77
69
77
-8
68avg 72
A26/10
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
79-111
79
111
-32
71avg 72
H29/10
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
W
103-94
103
94
+9
no box
H14/11
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
30-21
24-19
25-27
29-19
19-20
12-20
16-21
23-23
26-20
19-23
24-19
21-20
18-9
30-20
17-23
17-16
22-26
11-22
23-21
16-19
13-18
19-14
28-11
18-11
17-13
23-20
15-19
25-19
14-20
22-19
8-19
18-35
21-24
21-27
19-25
24-20
32-31
24-27
23-16
163.6Avg total
82.9Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.081.4161.4-1.460%
Season at home (3)86.089.0175.0-3.067%
Season away (2)71.070.0141.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)82.980.7163.6+2.260%
Last 5 (5)80.081.4161.4-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.493.1172.4-13.719%
vs Similar (7)81.475.4156.9+6.071%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)85.677.6163.1+8.086%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.0-8.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.0-8.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
Al AhliAl Wakrah
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Muharraq
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A26/03
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H28/03
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H29/03
Premier League
Al Sadd
#3
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H30/03
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A01/04
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#7
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H13/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H22/10
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A27/10
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H31/10
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A02/11
QBL
85.7Avg total
38.2Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.542.080.6-3.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.180.2+0.127%-
Last 30 away (15)36.944.080.9-7.133%-
Last 10 (10)38.247.585.7-9.30%-
Last 5 (5)38.047.685.6-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)34.843.278.0-8.412%-
vs Similar (5)38.440.879.2-2.420%-
vs Weaker (8)46.540.486.9+6.175%-
This opponent (Al Wakrah) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al WakrahLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Khor
#9
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A14/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H19/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H31/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/02
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H13/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A24/10
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A26/10
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H29/10
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H14/11
QBL
82.1Avg total
42.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.182.0-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.242.283.4-1.147%-
Last 30 away (13)38.241.980.2-3.738%-
Last 10 (10)42.639.582.1+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.081.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.646.584.1-8.919%-
vs Similar (7)42.637.379.9+5.371%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.436.979.3+5.671%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
35%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.222.0
53.4%
51.6%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.3
33.7%
30.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws15.910.8
67.9%
68.0%10.8
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Wakrahtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Wakrah: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
35%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.2
49.3%
51.6%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.9
31.8%
30.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.713.6
76.8%
68.0%13.6
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
LLLWLLLLLL
Al Wakrah
WLLWWLWWLW
#8
League position
#4
-4.9
Net rating
-13.5
92.6
Offensive rating
92.5
97.5
Defensive rating
106.0
52.3%
Effective FG%
48.6%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
14.4%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.7%
3-point %
31.8%
57.5%
Assist %
65.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.6 · 92.5Defence97.5 · 106.0Shooting52.3% · 48.6%3-point %33.7% · 31.8%Ball care14.4% · 15.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al Wakrah
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Al Ahli wins
2
Al Wakrah wins
DateGameScore
02/02/26Al Wakrah v Al Ahli73-85
24/12/25Al Ahli v Al Wakrah88-80
30/10/25Al Wakrah v Al Ahli66-61
22/01/25Al Wakrah v Al Ahli68-77
12/12/24Al Ahli v Al Wakrah97-68
20/01/24Al Wakrah v Al Ahli54-81
05/12/23Al Ahli v Al Wakrah92-70
29/04/23Al Wakrah v Al Ahli79-81
09/03/23Al Ahli v Al Wakrah92-78
19/03/22Al Ahli v Al Wakrah80-82
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26AQatar Sports91-101
31/10/26HAl-Rayyan85-106
27/10/26AAl Arabi101-114
22/10/26HAl Khor75-74
13/10/26HAl Gharafa68-76
01/04/26AAl Muharraq63-102
30/03/26HAl Sadd73-80
29/03/26HAl Muharraq69-96
28/03/26HAl-Rayyan88-93
26/03/26AAl Muharraq73-90
Al Wakrahlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HQatar Sports103-94
29/10/26HAl Arabi79-111
26/10/26AAl Gharafa69-77
24/10/26AAl Khor73-63
13/10/26HAl Shamal76-62
02/02/26HAl Ahli73-85
31/01/26HAl Shamal86-72
24/01/26HQatar Sports92-85
19/01/26HAl Shamal76-80
14/01/26AAl Khor102-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
QBL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game84.076.096.0
Allowed / game94.285.3107.5
Point differential-10.2-9.3-11.5
Avg total178.2161.3203.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Wakrah
QBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game80.086.071.0
Allowed / game81.489.070.0
Point differential-1.4-3.0+1.0
Avg total161.4175.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Arabi65183%93.280.2+13.0
2 Al Sadd54180%94.472.0+22.4
3 Al-Rayyan54180%86.079.6+6.4
4 Al Wakrah53260%80.081.4-1.4
5 Qatar Sports63350%90.292.0-1.8
6 Al Shamal73443%80.383.0-2.7
7 Al Gharafa73443%79.984.7-4.9
8 Al Ahli51420%84.094.2-10.2
9 Al Khor6060%73.590.2-16.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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