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Al Ahli vs Al-Rayyan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-93
19-20 22-22 25-25 22-26
Position#4
Record12-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game79.8
Al Ahli
Qatar
vs
Al-Rayyan 🏆
Qatar
Position#2
Record15-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game79.9
QatarQBLQBL - Semi-finals· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2025-26
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan
31 Oct 2026
AL A85
AL-R106
28 Mar 2026
AL A88
AL-R93
26 Jan 2026
AL A76
AL-R64
20 Mar 2025
AL A66
AL-R88
16 Dec 2024
AL A74
AL-R83
19 Nov 2023
AL A73
AL-R65
14 Nov 2023
AL A88
AL-R98
05 Apr 2023
AL A54
AL-R96
05 Feb 2022
AL A99
AL-R79
07 Jan 2020
AL A84
AL-R80
22 Jan 2019
AL A69
AL-R60
29 Dec 2018
AL A84
AL-R75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al-Rayyan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al-Rayyan
#2
W
76-64
76
64
+12
75avg 80
H26/01
QBL
Al Najma
#6
L
79-82
79
82
-3
no box
H27/01
Premier League
Al Sadd
#3
L
60-76
60
76
-16
no box
H31/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
92avg 80
A02/02
QBL
Nuwaidrad
#9
W
79-74
79
74
+5
no box
H05/02
Premier League
Al Manama
#4
W
78-67
78
67
+11
no box
A12/02
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
60-83
60
83
-23
no box
A20/02
Premier League
Al Hala
#8
L
68-79
68
79
-11
no box
H23/02
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
69-93
69
93
-24
55avg 80
A23/03
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
73-90
73
90
-17
no box
A26/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-9
23-11
14-19
15-25
19-25
18-23
19-18
23-16
17-26
15-13
13-21
15-16
16-17
26-22
22-11
21-23
26-25
15-18
22-19
16-12
15-13
15-23
27-15
21-16
7-15
13-20
17-28
23-20
17-21
21-21
13-17
17-20
20-25
20-24
11-24
18-20
9-24
26-24
20-19
18-23
150.8Avg total
72.7Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.279.8166.1+6.463%
Season at home (9)83.877.6161.3+6.267%
Season away (10)88.481.9170.3+6.560%
Last 10 (10)72.778.1150.8-5.440%
Last 5 (5)69.682.4152.0-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)69.575.1144.6-5.629%
vs Similar (5)72.274.4146.6-2.240%
vs Weaker (11)93.778.5172.3+15.2100%
This opponent (Al-Rayyan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-RayyanQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Rayyan
Date
Competition
Al Sadd
#3
W
93-83
93
83
+10
80avg 88
A20/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
W
106-87
106
87
+19
99avg 88
H25/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
W
101-82
101
82
+19
102avg 88
H29/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
105-90
105
90
+15
102avg 88
A03/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
101-80
101
80
+21
104avg 88
H07/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
103-71
103
71
+32
107avg 88
A10/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
92-83
92
83
+9
no box
A15/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
97-72
97
72
+25
91avg 88
A21/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
64-76
64
76
-12
50avg 88
A26/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
W
93-69
93
69
+24
89avg 88
H23/03
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
23-25
31-12
25-21
23-30
26-15
28-14
29-28
28-15
20-19
34-22
19-26
25-23
19-24
38-20
23-23
30-12
23-24
27-18
21-26
29-11
21-15
23-22
30-23
33-16
17-16
22-21
20-30
26-14
28-22
23-15
20-21
9-24
11-23
19-14
25-15
25-20
24-20
24-11
20-18
174.8Avg total
95.5Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)95.279.9175.2+15.388%
Season at home (8)97.277.9175.1+19.4100%
Season away (9)93.481.8175.2+11.778%
Last 10 (10)95.579.3174.8+16.290%
Last 5 (5)89.874.2164.0+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)96.588.5185.0+8.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)91.578.3169.8+13.282%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +10.0+10.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +10.0+10.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
Al AhliAl-Rayyan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al-Rayyan
#2
W
47-20
47
20
+27
H26/01
QBL
Al Najma
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H27/01
Premier League
Al Sadd
#3
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H31/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A02/02
QBL
Nuwaidrad
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H05/02
Premier League
Al Manama
#4
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A12/02
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A20/02
Premier League
Al Hala
#8
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H23/02
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A23/03
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A26/03
Premier League
76.1Avg total
36.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.238.077.2+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.935.775.6+4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.540.378.8-1.953%-
Last 10 (10)36.239.976.1-3.720%-
Last 5 (5)32.642.074.6-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)32.837.670.4-4.929%-
vs Similar (5)38.037.675.6+0.440%-
vs Weaker (11)47.838.786.5+9.191%-
This opponent (Al-Rayyan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-RayyanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Sadd
#3
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A20/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H25/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H29/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A03/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H07/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
50-26
50
26
+24
A10/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A15/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A21/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
20-47
20
47
-27
A26/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H23/03
QBL
84.7Avg total
45.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.938.884.7+7.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.536.983.4+9.787%-
Last 30 away (15)45.340.786.0+4.560%-
Last 10 (10)45.439.384.7+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.636.280.8+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)42.542.585.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.138.584.7+7.675%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.628.2
59.2%
54.5%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.4
31.8%
33.4%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.913.0
72.6%
73.4%13.0
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al-Rayyantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Rayyan: 95.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.628.2
59.2%
54.5%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.8
32.2%
33.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.612.5
71.0%
73.4%12.5
They take 74.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
LLLLWWWLLW
Al-Rayyan
WLWWWWWWWW
#4
League position
#2
+13.1
Net rating
+19.9
109.1
Offensive rating
112.8
96.0
Defensive rating
92.9
55.4%
Effective FG%
55.3%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
15.3%
Turnover %
11.1%
39.6%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.8%
3-point %
32.2%
51.1%
Assist %
60.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 112.8Defence96.0 · 92.9Shooting55.4% · 55.3%3-point %31.8% · 32.2%Ball care15.3% · 11.1%Off. rebounds39.6% · 30.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al-Rayyan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Al Ahli wins
5
Al-Rayyan wins
DateGameScore
23/03/26Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli93-69
26/01/26Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan76-64
27/10/25Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli91-71
20/03/25Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan66-88
17/03/25Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli87-79
25/01/25Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli78-84 OT
16/12/24Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan74-83
09/01/24Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli84-89
02/01/24Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli69-77
19/11/23Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan73-65
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/26AAl Muharraq73-90
23/03/26AAl-Rayyan69-93
23/02/26HAl Hala68-79
20/02/26AAl Muharraq60-83
12/02/26AAl Manama78-67
05/02/26HNuwaidrad79-74
02/02/26AAl Wakrah85-73
31/01/26HAl Sadd60-76
27/01/26HAl Najma79-82
26/01/26HAl-Rayyan76-64
Al-Rayyanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/26HAl Ahli93-69
26/01/26AAl Ahli64-76
21/01/26AQatar Sports97-72
15/01/26AAl Shamal92-83
10/01/26AAl Wakrah103-71
07/01/26HAl Khor101-80
03/01/26AAl Sadd105-90
29/12/25HAl Gharafa101-82
25/12/25HAl Arabi106-87
20/12/25AAl Sadd93-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL63%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %63%67%60%
Points / game86.283.888.4
Allowed / game79.877.681.9
Point differential+6.4+6.2+6.5
Avg total166.1161.3170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%56%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al-Rayyan
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %88%100%78%
Points / game95.297.293.4
Allowed / game79.977.981.8
Point differential+15.3+19.4+11.7
Avg total175.2175.1175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+82%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Arabi1816289%96.684.7+11.8
2 Al-Rayyan1715288%95.279.9+15.3
3 Al Ahli1912763%86.279.8+6.4
4 Al Sadd1911858%88.585.4+3.1
5 Al Wakrah189950%82.885.3-2.4
6 Al Shamal1771041%85.688.2-2.5
7 Al Gharafa1651131%92.5100.2-7.8
8 Qatar Sports1621412%84.797.7-13.0
9 Al Khor161156%84.198.6-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli1922252288
Al-Rayyan2022252693
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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