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Al Ahli vs AlUla Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-98
23-24 16-18 20-24 21-32
Position#3
Record13-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game94.6
Allowed / game70.6
Al Ahli
Saudi Arabia
vs
AlUla 🏆
Saudi Arabia
Position#2
Record12-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game102.1
Allowed / game73.0
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 15· Al-Ahli Sports Club
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AlUla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Wakrah
#8
W
77-68
77
68
+9
72avg 78
A22/01
QBL
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
109-49
109
49
+60
108avg 78
A24/01
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
58-88
58
88
-30
no box
H24/01
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#1
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
76avg 78
A25/01
QBL
Al-Fateh
#5
W
97-69
97
69
+28
96avg 78
A27/01
Premier League
Al Manama
#3
W
84-76
84
76
+8
no box
H28/01
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
102-64
102
64
+38
110avg 78
H31/01
Premier League
Al Najma
#7
L
66-75
66
75
-9
no box
H31/01
Premier League
Al Shamal
#4
L
63-68
63
68
-5
49avg 78
H01/02
QBL
Al Manama
#6
W
65-56
65
56
+9
no box
A03/02
WASL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
13-17
22-17
20-17
24-14
30-13
30-4
25-18
10-18
16-20
13-28
19-22
17-17
15-22
23-16
19-19
20-19
28-20
21-20
28-10
19-26
25-17
19-23
21-10
24-13
19-19
29-16
30-16
14-16
21-23
14-15
17-21
19-13
16-19
21-23
7-13
17-12
19-16
19-14
10-14
149.6Avg total
80.5Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)94.670.6165.3+24.093%
Season at home (7)101.372.6173.9+28.7100%
Season away (7)88.068.7156.7+19.386%
Last 10 (10)80.569.1149.6+11.470%
Last 5 (5)76.067.8143.8+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)76.785.3162.0-8.733%
vs Similar (9)79.386.9166.2-7.611%
vs Weaker (15)89.571.1160.6+18.3100%
This opponent (AlUla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlUlaSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlUla
Date
Competition
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
110-57
110
57
+53
112avg 101
H06/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
80-85
80
85
-5
67avg 101
H13/12
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
64-67
64
67
-3
54avg 101
A16/12
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
88-57
88
57
+31
88avg 101
A20/12
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
W
128-96
128
96
+32
128avg 101
H27/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
103-70
103
70
+33
104avg 101
H30/12
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#5
W
102-76
102
76
+26
107avg 101
A03/01
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
85-55
85
55
+30
92avg 101
H24/01
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
133-89
133
89
+44
136avg 101
H27/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
102-79
102
79
+23
94avg 101
A31/01
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-13
26-10
27-16
28-18
16-23
15-24
20-21
29-17
16-22
18-16
19-11
11-18
28-14
22-16
13-15
25-12
21-11
32-20
33-30
42-35
24-21
24-14
31-12
24-23
29-12
23-19
26-21
24-24
24-12
22-16
19-14
20-13
31-11
38-30
38-24
26-24
24-19
28-24
30-11
20-25
172.6Avg total
99.5Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)102.173.0175.1+29.186%
Season at home (7)106.776.1182.9+30.686%
Season away (7)97.469.9167.3+27.686%
Last 10 (10)99.573.1172.6+26.480%
Last 5 (5)105.073.8178.8+31.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (14)102.173.0175.1+29.186%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +8.4+8.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +8.1+8.1Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +4.0+4.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +8.4+8.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +8.1+8.1Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +4.0+4.0
Al AhliAlUla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Wakrah
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A22/01
QBL
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
54-27
54
27
+27
A24/01
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H24/01
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A25/01
QBL
Al-Fateh
#5
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A27/01
Premier League
Al Manama
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H28/01
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H31/01
Premier League
Al Najma
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H31/01
Premier League
Al Shamal
#4
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H01/02
QBL
Al Manama
#6
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A03/02
WASL
73.9Avg total
38.8Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.777.1+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.736.076.7+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)38.139.377.5-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)38.835.173.9+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)38.634.873.4+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.541.876.3-7.317%-
vs Similar (9)37.841.879.6-4.044%-
vs Weaker (15)42.433.575.9+8.980%-
This opponent (AlUla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlUlaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
55-23
55
23
+32
H06/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H13/12
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A16/12
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A20/12
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H27/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H30/12
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#5
W
52-31
52
31
+21
A03/01
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H24/01
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
69-41
69
41
+28
H27/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A31/01
Premier League
83.7Avg total
49.0Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)50.534.284.7+16.386%-
Last 30 at home (7)50.635.686.1+15.086%-
Last 30 away (7)50.432.983.3+17.686%-
Last 10 (10)49.034.783.7+14.380%-
Last 5 (5)53.435.689.0+17.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (14)50.534.284.7+16.386%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.924.6
51.4%
50.2%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.4
34.6%
30.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.314.1
73.1%
67.8%14.1
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AlUlatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AlUla: 106.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.226.6
66.2%
50.2%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.213.8
40.4%
30.3%41.4
🏀 Free throws17.112.2
71.3%
67.8%12.2
They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
WLLWWWWLWW
AlUla
WWWWWWWLLW
#3
League position
#2
+16.4
Net rating
+39.3
109.4
Offensive rating
129.3
93.0
Defensive rating
89.9
51.5%
Effective FG%
63.6%
43.9%
Opp. effective FG%
43.6%
16.3%
Turnover %
16.1%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.6%
3-point %
40.4%
53.4%
Assist %
57.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 129.3Defence93.0 · 89.9Shooting51.5% · 63.6%3-point %34.6% · 40.4%Ball care16.3% · 16.1%Off. rebounds31.8% · 35.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Al Ahli   ■ AlUla
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Al Ahli wins
0
AlUla wins
DateGameScore
13/12/24AlUla v Al Ahli80-85
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/25AAl Manama65-56
01/02/25HAl Shamal63-68
31/01/25HAl Najma66-75
31/01/25HAl Salam102-64
28/01/25HAl Manama84-76
27/01/25AAl-Fateh97-69
25/01/25AAl-Rayyan84-78 OT
24/01/25HAl Muharraq58-88
24/01/25AAl Khowildiah109-49
22/01/25AAl Wakrah77-68
AlUlalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/25AAl Safa of Safwa102-79
27/01/25HOhod133-89
24/01/25HAl Khaleej85-55
03/01/25AAl-Fateh102-76
30/12/24HAl Khowildiah103-70
27/12/24HAl Nasr128-96
20/12/24AAl Salam88-57
16/12/24AAl Ittihad64-67
13/12/24HAl Ahli80-85
06/12/24HAl Safa of Safwa110-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game94.6101.388.0
Allowed / game70.672.668.7
Point differential+24.0+28.7+19.3
Avg total165.3173.9156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%100%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AlUla
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWLWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %86%86%86%
Points / game102.1106.797.4
Allowed / game73.076.169.9
Point differential+29.1+30.6+27.6
Avg total175.1182.9167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%86%86%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Ittihad14140100%88.965.4+23.6
2 Al Ahli1413193%94.670.6+24.0
3 AlUla1412286%102.173.0+29.1
4 Al Nasr1510567%93.682.7+10.9
5 Al-Fateh146843%77.783.5-5.8
6 Al Salam145936%77.383.1-5.9
7 Al Khaleej1441029%67.879.3-11.5
8 Al Safa of Safwa1541127%72.987.4-14.5
9 Ohod1531220%74.599.6-25.1
10 Al Khowildiah151147%66.487.5-21.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli2316202180
AlUla2418243298
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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