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Al-Rayyan vs Al Ahli Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 78-84 (OT)
17-17 22-15 16-23 19-19 4-10
Position#1
Record10-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game98.4
Allowed / game75.5
Al-Rayyan
Qatar
vs
Al Ahli 🏆
Qatar
Position#5
Record7-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game79.5
QatarQBL· Ahmed bin Ali Stadium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli
23 Mar 2026
AL-R93
AL A69
27 Oct 2025
AL-R91
AL A71
17 Mar 2025
AL-R87
AL A79
25 Jan 2025
AL-R78
AL A84
09 Jan 2024
AL-R84
AL A89
02 Jan 2024
AL-R69
AL A77
17 May 2023
AL-R77
AL A74
05 Dec 2021
AL-R91
AL A111
06 Dec 2020
AL-R94
AL A99
31 Dec 2019
AL-R88
AL A75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al-Rayyan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al-RayyanQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Rayyan
Date
Competition
Qatar Sports
#7
W
106-64
106
64
+42
104avg 87
A09/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
W
122-85
122
85
+37
114avg 87
H12/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
83-74
83
74
+9
72avg 87
A16/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
89-55
89
55
+34
89avg 87
A23/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
78-64
78
64
+14
69avg 87
A26/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
112-80
112
80
+32
112avg 87
H29/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
78-79
78
79
-1
55avg 87
H01/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
W
103-83
103
83
+20
96avg 87
A11/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
107-81
107
81
+26
100avg 87
H15/01
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
90avg 87
A20/01
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
22-11
35-17
23-17
31-13
25-27
30-20
36-25
21-18
19-18
25-23
18-15
17-19
25-9
23-5
24-22
19-10
17-25
22-15
20-14
37-27
24-11
25-17
26-25
23-21
12-16
19-23
24-19
26-25
34-17
23-24
20-17
33-23
20-16
23-21
31-21
24-25
28-13
28-21
13-23
171.8Avg total
97.1Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)98.475.5173.8+22.991%
Season at home (5)106.081.6187.6+24.480%
Season away (6)92.070.3162.3+21.7100%
Last 10 (10)97.174.7171.8+22.490%
Last 5 (5)98.681.0179.6+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.878.9151.7-6.133%
vs Similar (1)84.089.0173.0-5.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.874.6165.3+16.275%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
99-79
99
79
+20
104avg 78
H03/01
Premier League
Al Arabi
#2
W
76-74
76
74
+2
70avg 78
A04/01
QBL
Al-Ahli Dubai
#2
L
88-91
88
91
-3
no box
A13/01
WASL
Al Khor
#9
W
74-73
74
73
+1
67avg 78
A15/01
QBL
Al Najma
#7
L
97-99
97
99
-2
no box
A17/01
Premier League
Al Sadd
#3
L
86-108
86
108
-22
63avg 78
H18/01
QBL
Al Bashaer
#14
W
87-67
87
67
+20
no box
H20/01
WASL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
77-68
77
68
+9
72avg 78
A22/01
QBL
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
109-49
109
49
+60
108avg 78
A24/01
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
58-88
58
88
-30
no box
H24/01
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
25-18
28-12
19-28
15-18
21-20
22-25
18-11
21-16
18-22
23-31
26-22
12-20
15-14
20-27
27-12
22-21
28-25
26-35
21-18
27-31
16-23
19-26
24-28
22-11
24-17
17-13
24-26
22-17
13-17
22-17
20-17
24-14
30-13
30-4
25-18
10-18
16-20
13-28
19-22
164.7Avg total
85.1Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.979.5159.5+0.464%
Season at home (5)80.479.8160.2+0.660%
Season away (6)79.579.3158.8+0.267%
Last 10 (10)85.179.6164.7+5.560%
Last 5 (5)83.476.0159.4+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)76.885.7162.5-8.833%
vs Similar (7)82.792.9175.6-10.10%
vs Weaker (17)89.171.4160.5+17.8100%
This opponent (Al-Rayyan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
Al-RayyanAl Ahli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al-RayyanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qatar Sports
#7
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A09/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H12/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A16/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A23/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A26/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
61-38
61
38
+23
H29/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H01/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
W
60-42
60
42
+18
A11/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H15/01
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A20/01
QBL
84.6Avg total
48.3Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.937.078.8+4.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.536.278.7+6.353%-
Last 30 away (15)41.237.778.9+3.567%-
Last 10 (10)48.336.384.6+12.090%-
Last 5 (5)52.238.891.0+13.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.337.670.9-4.222%-
vs Similar (1)47.034.081.0+13.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.536.982.3+8.675%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H03/01
Premier League
Al Arabi
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A04/01
QBL
Al-Ahli Dubai
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A13/01
WASL
Al Khor
#9
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A15/01
QBL
Al Najma
#7
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A17/01
Premier League
Al Sadd
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H18/01
QBL
Al Bashaer
#14
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H20/01
WASL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A22/01
QBL
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
54-27
54
27
+27
A24/01
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H24/01
Premier League
78.4Avg total
40.8Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.678.1+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.535.877.3+5.764%-
Last 30 away (16)39.639.278.8+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.837.678.4+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.836.277.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.040.577.5-3.533%-
vs Similar (7)36.943.079.9-6.129%-
vs Weaker (17)43.234.477.6+8.976%-
This opponent (Al-Rayyan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al-Rayyantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Rayyan: 96.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.823.0
60.8%
51.6%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.013.5
34.6%
31.6%40.5
🏀 Free throws13.39.6
72.2%
68.2%9.6
They take 76.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.225.1
51.0%
51.6%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.7
30.7%
31.6%20.1
🏀 Free throws20.414.1
69.1%
68.2%14.1
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al-Rayyan
WWWLWWWWWW
Al Ahli
LWWWLLWLWW
#1
League position
#5
+27.8
Net rating
+9.6
121.6
Offensive rating
107.2
93.7
Defensive rating
97.5
56.3%
Effective FG%
49.5%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
11.5%
Turnover %
16.0%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.6%
3-point %
30.7%
54.2%
Assist %
51.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence121.6 · 107.2Defence93.7 · 97.5Shooting56.3% · 49.5%3-point %34.6% · 30.7%Ball care11.5% · 16.0%Off. rebounds30.4% · 33.4%Free throws0.17 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Al-Rayyan   ■ Al Ahli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Al-Rayyan wins
6
Al Ahli wins
DateGameScore
16/12/24Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan74-83
09/01/24Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli84-89
02/01/24Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli69-77
19/11/23Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan73-65
14/11/23Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan88-98
17/05/23Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli77-74
05/04/23Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan54-96
05/02/22Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan99-79
05/12/21Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli91-111
06/12/20Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli94-99 OT
Al-Rayyanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/25AAl Gharafa93-82
15/01/25HQatar Sports107-81
11/01/25AAl Shamal103-83
01/01/25HAl Arabi78-79
29/12/24HAl Wakrah112-80
26/12/24AAl Sadd78-64
23/12/24AAl Khor89-55
16/12/24AAl Ahli83-74
12/12/24HAl Gharafa122-85
09/12/24AQatar Sports106-64
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/25HAl Muharraq58-88
24/01/25AAl Khowildiah109-49
22/01/25AAl Wakrah77-68
20/01/25HAl Bashaer87-67
18/01/25HAl Sadd86-108
17/01/25AAl Najma97-99
15/01/25AAl Khor74-73
13/01/25AAl-Ahli Dubai88-91
04/01/25AAl Arabi76-74
03/01/25HAl Safa of Safwa99-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al-Rayyan
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW91%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %91%80%100%
Points / game98.4106.092.0
Allowed / game75.581.670.3
Point differential+22.9+24.4+21.7
Avg total173.8187.6162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+82%80%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Ahli
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%60%67%
Points / game79.980.479.5
Allowed / game79.579.879.3
Point differential+0.4+0.6+0.2
Avg total159.5160.2158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan1110191%98.475.5+22.9
2 Al Sadd118373%87.382.2+5.1
3 Al Arabi96367%80.677.6+3.0
4 Al Ahli117464%79.979.5+0.4
5 Al Shamal116555%85.887.7-1.9
6 Qatar Sports114736%80.585.4-4.8
7 Al Gharafa113827%85.090.0-5.0
8 Al Khor102820%66.675.0-8.4
9 Al Wakrah112918%76.187.5-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Al-Rayyan17221619478
Al Ahli171523191084
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