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Al Ahli vs Al Shamal Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 63-68
19-13 16-19 21-23 7-13
Position#5
Record8-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game79.4
Al Ahli
Qatar
vs
Al Shamal 🏆
Qatar
Position#4
Record7-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game86.8
QatarQBL· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al Shamal
10 Dec 2025
AL A77
AL S62
01 Feb 2025
AL A63
AL S68
06 May 2023
AL A76
AL S68
24 Feb 2022
AL A70
AL S68
17 Dec 2019
AL A71
AL S63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Shamal winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Sadd
#3
L
86-108
86
108
-22
63avg 80
H18/01
QBL
Al Bashaer
#14
W
87-67
87
67
+20
no box
H20/01
WASL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
77-68
77
68
+9
72avg 80
A22/01
QBL
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
109-49
109
49
+60
108avg 80
A24/01
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
58-88
58
88
-30
no box
H24/01
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#1
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
76avg 80
A25/01
QBL
Al-Fateh
#5
W
97-69
97
69
+28
96avg 80
A27/01
Premier League
Al Manama
#3
W
84-76
84
76
+8
no box
H28/01
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
102-64
102
64
+38
110avg 80
H31/01
Premier League
Al Najma
#7
L
66-75
66
75
-9
no box
H31/01
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-31
16-23
19-26
24-28
22-11
24-17
17-13
24-26
22-17
13-17
22-17
20-17
24-14
30-13
30-4
25-18
10-18
16-20
13-28
19-22
17-17
15-22
23-16
19-19
20-19
28-20
21-20
28-10
19-26
25-17
19-23
21-10
24-13
19-19
29-16
30-16
14-16
21-23
14-15
17-21
159.2Avg total
85.0Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.279.4159.7+0.867%
Season at home (5)80.479.8160.2+0.660%
Season away (7)80.179.1159.3+1.071%
Last 10 (10)85.074.2159.2+10.870%
Last 5 (5)86.672.4159.0+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.984.6162.4-6.743%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.489.2170.6-7.912%
vs Weaker (15)91.671.9163.5+19.7100%
This opponent (Al Shamal) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al ShamalQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShamal
Date
Competition
Qatar Sports
#7
W
87-83
87
83
+4
75avg 74
A17/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
W
84-78
84
78
+6
77avg 74
H21/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
92-82
92
82
+10
88avg 74
H25/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
69-68
69
68
+1
61avg 74
H28/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
99-101 OT
99
101
-2
88avg 74
A31/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
94-76
94
76
+18
87avg 74
H06/01
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
83-103
83
103
-20
74avg 74
H11/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
84-98
84
98
-14
80avg 74
H18/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
94-89
94
89
+5
92avg 74
H23/01
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
W
82-77
82
77
+5
72avg 74
A27/01
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
27-27
22-9
21-24
21-23
20-18
22-9
21-28
19-19
25-19
19-23
29-21
17-12
12-13
21-26
19-17
16-19
20-23
23-12
25-30
23-18
17-25
25-17
29-16
25-26
17-34
24-23
17-20
22-27
17-30
28-24
17-17
25-26
19-19
28-25
22-19
12-21
22-24
26-14
22-18
172.3Avg total
86.8Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.586.8172.3-1.358%
Season at home (7)85.784.9170.6+0.971%
Season away (5)85.289.6174.8-4.440%
Last 10 (10)86.885.5172.3+1.370%
Last 5 (5)87.488.6176.0-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.996.7172.5-20.813%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.987.4170.2-4.525%
vs Weaker (7)86.479.3165.7+7.1100%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
Al AhliAl Shamal
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Sadd
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H18/01
QBL
Al Bashaer
#14
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H20/01
WASL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A22/01
QBL
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
54-27
54
27
+27
A24/01
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H24/01
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A25/01
QBL
Al-Fateh
#5
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A27/01
Premier League
Al Manama
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H28/01
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H31/01
Premier League
Al Najma
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H31/01
Premier League
77.9Avg total
40.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.877.8+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.236.077.2+5.267%-
Last 30 away (15)38.939.578.4-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)40.637.377.9+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.478.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.340.376.6-4.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.143.081.1-4.938%-
vs Weaker (15)42.833.876.6+9.080%-
This opponent (Al Shamal) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al ShamalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qatar Sports
#7
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A17/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H21/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H25/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H28/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A31/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H06/01
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
42-60
42
60
-18
H11/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
39-57
39
57
-18
H18/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H23/01
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A27/01
QBL
83.9Avg total
39.3Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.145.383.4-7.217%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.644.682.2-6.924%-
Last 30 away (13)38.746.284.9-7.58%-
Last 10 (10)39.344.683.9-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)39.850.089.8-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.348.985.3-12.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.041.980.9-2.938%-
vs Weaker (7)40.941.482.3-0.629%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.926.1
53.4%
51.6%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.2
34.6%
31.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.114.2
74.3%
68.2%14.2
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Shamaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Shamal: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.023.0
52.3%
51.6%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.8
32.6%
31.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.413.8
64.5%
68.2%13.8
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
LWWWWLWWWL
Al Shamal
WWLLWLWWWW
#5
League position
#4
+17.5
Net rating
+2.4
112.3
Offensive rating
108.3
94.8
Defensive rating
105.9
52.9%
Effective FG%
51.0%
44.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.9%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.6%
3-point %
32.6%
51.4%
Assist %
55.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 108.3Defence94.8 · 105.9Shooting52.9% · 51.0%3-point %34.6% · 32.6%Ball care16.5% · 16.9%Off. rebounds33.6% · 34.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al Shamal
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Al Ahli wins
6
Al Shamal wins
DateGameScore
25/12/24Al Shamal v Al Ahli92-82
23/12/23Al Shamal v Al Ahli81-72
08/11/23Al Shamal v Al Ahli65-82
06/05/23Al Ahli v Al Shamal76-68
06/03/23Al Shamal v Al Ahli88-62
24/02/22Al Ahli v Al Shamal70-68
01/12/21Al Shamal v Al Ahli85-82
19/12/20Al Shamal v Al Ahli86-85
12/01/20Al Shamal v Al Ahli85-64
17/12/19Al Ahli v Al Shamal71-63
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/25HAl Najma66-75
31/01/25HAl Salam102-64
28/01/25HAl Manama84-76
27/01/25AAl-Fateh97-69
25/01/25AAl-Rayyan84-78 OT
24/01/25HAl Muharraq58-88
24/01/25AAl Khowildiah109-49
22/01/25AAl Wakrah77-68
20/01/25HAl Bashaer87-67
18/01/25HAl Sadd86-108
Al Shamallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/25AAl Gharafa82-77
23/01/25HQatar Sports94-89
18/01/25HAl Arabi84-98
11/01/25HAl-Rayyan83-103
06/01/25HAl Wakrah94-76
31/12/24AAl Sadd99-101 OT
28/12/24HAl Khor69-68
25/12/24HAl Ahli92-82
21/12/24HAl Gharafa84-78
17/12/24AQatar Sports87-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %67%60%71%
Points / game80.280.480.1
Allowed / game79.479.879.1
Point differential+0.8+0.6+1.0
Avg total159.7160.2159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Al Shamal
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW58%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%71%40%
Points / game85.585.785.2
Allowed / game86.884.989.6
Point differential-1.3+0.9-4.4
Avg total172.3170.6174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan1311285%95.674.5+21.1
2 Al Arabi118373%83.979.6+4.3
3 Al Sadd139469%87.582.5+5.0
4 Al Ahli128467%80.279.4+0.8
5 Al Shamal127558%85.586.8-1.3
6 Qatar Sports124833%81.887.0-5.2
7 Al Gharafa123925%84.389.3-5.0
8 Al Wakrah1331023%76.386.2-9.9
9 Al Khor1221017%65.376.0-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli191621763
Al Shamal1319231368
← all games of the day
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