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Al-Hilal vs Al-Fateh Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 81-71
19-17 17-18 21-21 24-15
Position#1
Record15-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game101.1
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#6
Record9-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game83.5
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 19· Hall of the Ministry of Sports
Other2023-24
Meetings · Al-Hilal v Al-Fateh
11 Mar 2024
AL-H81
AL-F71
06 Jan 2023
AL-H92
AL-F85
25 Oct 2021
AL-H97
AL-F63
14 Apr 2021
AL-H76
AL-F65
05 Mar 2021
AL-H72
AL-F79
10 Jan 2020
AL-H89
AL-F93
18 Dec 2018
AL-H77
AL-F82
22 Apr 2018
AL-H95
AL-F101
25 Jan 2018
AL-H100
AL-F104
24 Mar 2017
AL-H87
AL-F88
26 Dec 2015
AL-H70
AL-F60
05 Mar 2015
AL-H61
AL-F102
14 Dec 2013
AL-H73
AL-F75
19 Nov 2012
AL-H63
AL-F65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al-Hilal winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al-Fateh winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al-HilalSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Hilal
Date
Competition
Al Ittihad
#2
L
81-88
81
88
-7
67avg 95
A23/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
83-86
83
86
-3
77avg 95
H29/12
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
83-112
83
112
-29
68avg 95
A01/01
Premier League
Al Taawon
#12
W
114-84
114
84
+30
98avg 95
A05/01
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
101-85
101
85
+16
105avg 95
A19/01
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
86-80 OT
86
80
+6
no box
H22/01
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
91-76
91
76
+15
88avg 95
A26/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
99-85
99
85
+14
101avg 95
H02/02
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
136-90
136
90
+46
142avg 95
A05/02
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
109-68
109
68
+41
117avg 95
A08/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
23-23
21-15
14-26
30-22
18-23
20-22
15-19
13-27
19-34
25-26
26-25
24-26
23-21
27-20
40-17
19-27
35-12
23-21
24-25
29-16
13-22
13-19
19-17
16-18
30-17
20-21
25-20
30-24
27-23
27-12
15-26
39-20
31-23
40-18
26-29
25-18
25-13
30-21
29-16
183.7Avg total
98.3Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)101.178.8179.9+22.283%
Season at home (8)100.470.2170.6+30.188%
Season away (10)101.685.7187.3+15.980%
Last 10 (10)98.385.4183.7+12.970%
Last 5 (5)104.279.8184.0+24.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)79.081.5160.5-2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)96.578.3174.7+18.277%
This opponent (Al-Fateh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-FatehSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Fateh
Date
Competition
Dbae
#11
W
112-54
112
54
+58
124avg 88
A22/12
Premier League
Al Taawon
#12
W
97-62
97
62
+35
102avg 88
H29/12
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
99-74
99
74
+25
103avg 88
A01/01
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
78-75
78
75
+3
83avg 88
H12/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
L
97-102
97
102
-5
91avg 88
A19/01
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
104-83
104
83
+21
113avg 88
H22/01
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
63avg 88
H26/01
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
L
88-94
88
94
-6
88avg 88
A02/02
Premier League
Ohod
#5
L
89-92
89
92
-3
81avg 88
A05/02
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
W
80-71
80
71
+9
85avg 88
H08/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-15
26-12
36-16
16-11
31-24
18-11
20-12
28-15
30-13
20-23
23-20
26-18
17-19
16-22
23-12
22-22
26-22
17-22
22-33
32-25
30-26
16-22
31-24
27-11
19-18
18-31
17-17
16-22
27-17
27-30
24-24
10-23
30-12
25-23
14-26
20-31
24-14
17-26
15-16
24-15
170.9Avg total
91.4Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)90.883.5174.3+7.350%
Season at home (9)89.680.2169.8+9.367%
Season away (9)92.086.8178.8+5.233%
Last 10 (10)91.479.5170.9+11.960%
Last 5 (5)86.285.6171.8+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)79.589.8169.2-10.225%
vs Similar (8)82.185.8167.9-3.625%
vs Weaker (18)93.177.7170.8+15.483%
This opponent (Al-Hilal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +8.8+8.8Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.8+2.8
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +8.8+8.8Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.8+2.8
Al-HilalAl-Fateh
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al-HilalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ittihad
#2
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A23/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H29/12
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
32-61
32
61
-29
A01/01
Premier League
Al Taawon
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A05/01
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A19/01
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H22/01
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A26/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H02/02
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
70-43
70
43
+27
A05/02
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A08/03
Premier League
92.5Avg total
49.2Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.838.986.7+9.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.735.384.0+13.593%-
Last 30 away (15)46.942.589.4+4.553%-
Last 10 (10)49.243.392.5+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)53.038.891.8+14.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)42.838.281.0+4.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)48.639.087.6+9.773%-
This opponent (Al-Fateh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-FatehLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dbae
#11
W
60-27
60
27
+33
A22/12
Premier League
Al Taawon
#12
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H29/12
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A01/01
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H12/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A19/01
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H22/01
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H26/01
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A02/02
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A05/02
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H08/03
Premier League
87.0Avg total
46.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.940.185.0+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.940.384.2+3.753%-
Last 30 away (15)45.939.985.8+6.173%-
Last 10 (10)46.840.287.0+6.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.643.890.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.045.884.8-6.825%-
vs Similar (8)44.543.988.4+0.650%-
vs Weaker (18)46.437.183.6+9.378%-
This opponent (Al-Hilal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al-Hilaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Hilal: 99.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.024.7
60.2%
53.6%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.812.7
41.2%
32.3%38.1
🏀 Free throws15.311.6
75.8%
68.3%11.6
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al-Fatehtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Fateh: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.824.2
62.4%
53.6%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.611.0
39.9%
32.3%33.0
🏀 Free throws13.29.6
72.7%
68.3%9.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al-Hilal
WWWWWWWLLL
Al-Fateh
WLLLWLWWWW
#1
League position
#6
+18.9
Net rating
+15.7
123.0
Offensive rating
115.8
104.2
Defensive rating
100.1
60.9%
Effective FG%
61.3%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
14.5%
Turnover %
19.8%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.20
41.2%
3-point %
39.9%
59.6%
Assist %
69.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence123.0 · 115.8Defence104.2 · 100.1Shooting60.9% · 61.3%3-point %41.2% · 39.9%Ball care14.5% · 19.8%Off. rebounds27.1% · 29.0%Free throws0.21 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Al-Hilal   ■ Al-Fateh
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Al-Hilal wins
5
Al-Fateh wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23Al-Fateh v Al-Hilal101-108 OT
06/01/23Al-Hilal v Al-Fateh92-85
07/10/22Al-Fateh v Al-Hilal102-85
17/01/22Al-Fateh v Al-Hilal77-100
25/10/21Al-Hilal v Al-Fateh97-63
14/04/21Al-Hilal v Al-Fateh76-65
05/03/21Al-Hilal v Al-Fateh72-79
18/12/20Al-Fateh v Al-Hilal89-85 OT
10/01/20Al-Hilal v Al-Fateh89-93
25/10/19Al-Fateh v Al-Hilal89-78
Al-Hilallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/24AAl Salam109-68
05/02/24ADbae136-90
02/02/24HAl Safa of Safwa99-85
26/01/24AAl Khaleej91-76
22/01/24HOhod86-80 OT
19/01/24AAl Wehda101-85
05/01/24AAl Taawon114-84
01/01/24AAl Nasr83-112
29/12/23HAl Ahli83-86
23/12/23AAl Ittihad81-88
Al-Fatehlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/24HAl Nasr80-71
05/02/24AOhod89-92
02/02/24AAl Ittihad88-94
26/01/24HAl Ahli70-88
22/01/24HAl Khaleej104-83
19/01/24AAl Safa of Safwa97-102
12/01/24HAl Wehda78-75
01/01/24AAl Salam99-74
29/12/23HAl Taawon97-62
22/12/23ADbae112-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al-Hilal
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %83%88%80%
Points / game101.1100.4101.6
Allowed / game78.870.285.7
Point differential+22.2+30.1+15.9
Avg total179.9170.6187.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+72%75%70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %11%12%10%
Al-Fateh
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game90.889.692.0
Allowed / game83.580.286.8
Point differential+7.3+9.3+5.2
Avg total174.3169.8178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %11%11%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Ittihad1816289%91.477.7+13.7
2 Al Nasr1916384%89.274.2+14.9
3 Al-Hilal1815383%101.178.8+22.2
4 Al Ahli1915479%89.273.1+16.2
5 Ohod1812667%86.381.1+5.3
6 Al-Fateh189950%90.883.5+7.3
7 Al Wehda1991047%84.684.1+0.5
8 Al Salam1971237%71.879.6-7.7
9 Al Safa of Safwa1961332%79.687.8-8.3
10 Al Khaleej1951426%80.186.2-6.2
11 Dbae1921711%70.199.3-29.3
12 Al Taawon190190%68.594.6-26.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al-Hilal1917212481
Al-Fateh1718211571
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