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Al-Rayyan vs Al Gharafa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 88-79
22-23 18-11 18-23 30-22
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game59.0
vs
Position#4
Record2-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game80.7
QatarQBL· Ahmed bin Ali Stadium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Al-Rayyan v Al Gharafa
12 Nov 2026
AL-R v AL G
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
AL-R101
AL G82
12 Dec 2024
AL-R122
AL G85
11 Nov 2023
AL-R88
AL G79
04 May 2023
AL-R85
AL G68
16 Nov 2021
AL-R73
AL G83
13 Dec 2020
AL-R63
AL G105
17 Dec 2019
AL-R80
AL G77
07 Feb 2019
AL-R94
AL G98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al-Rayyan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Gharafa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al-RayyanQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Rayyan
Date
Competition
Al Gharafa
#7
W
85-68
85
68
+17
no box
H04/05
QBL
Al Sadd
#2
W
70-55
70
55
+15
no box
H08/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#4
W
74-66
74
66
+8
no box
A11/05
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
H17/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#4
W
65-58
65
58
+7
no box
A20/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
no box
A23/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#4
W
100-82
100
82
+18
no box
H25/05
QBL
Al Shamal
#3
W
75-68
75
68
+7
no box
H27/05
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
76-57
76
57
+19
69avg 68
H31/10
QBL
Al Wakrah
#6
W
74-61
74
61
+13
66avg 68
A07/11
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
16-18
24-13
24-17
12-14
21-17
16-9
21-15
25-11
19-19
19-10
11-26
24-20
19-17
12-22
22-15
18-15
7-15
17-16
23-12
19-22
24-18
11-24
19-11
21-26
30-13
30-16
19-27
19-14
20-12
20-16
16-26
24-12
8-21
23-7
21-17
19-13
17-21
17-18
21-9
143.3Avg total
76.9Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.059.0134.0+16.0100%
Season at home (1)76.057.0133.0+19.0100%
Season away (1)74.061.0135.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.966.4143.3+10.590%
Last 5 (5)79.668.6148.2+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.691.6170.2-13.038%
vs Similar (5)77.671.4149.0+6.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)79.268.7147.9+10.582%
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al GharafaQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGharafa
Date
Competition
Al Shamal
#3
L
62-73
62
73
-11
no box
A23/04
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
A26/04
QBL
Al Sadd
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
no box
H29/04
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
no box
A04/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#4
L
68-101
68
101
-33
no box
H08/05
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
L
53-59
53
59
-6
no box
A13/05
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
86-53
86
53
+33
no box
H17/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
L
60-78
60
78
-18
54avg 76
A28/10
QBL
Al Shamal
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
72avg 76
H31/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
95-86
95
86
+9
100avg 76
A07/11
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
18-13
9-27
19-15
20-10
17-19
28-23
20-25
20-26
10-20
17-21
28-17
20-21
18-16
13-24
17-24
10-24
13-26
22-23
23-28
17-14
6-15
16-14
14-16
28-16
14-16
25-10
19-11
20-11
12-24
14-22
14-21
25-15
12-21
20-24
22-18
23-15
19-16
24-24
29-31
150.5Avg total
73.1Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.080.7158.7-2.767%
Season at home (1)79.078.0157.0+1.0100%
Season away (2)77.582.0159.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)73.177.4150.5-4.340%
Last 5 (5)74.670.8145.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)74.184.1158.2-10.042%
vs Similar (10)74.977.1152.0-2.250%
vs Weaker (8)90.271.1161.4+19.188%
This opponent (Al-Rayyan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
Al-RayyanAl Gharafa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al-RayyanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Gharafa
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H04/05
QBL
Al Sadd
#2
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H08/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A11/05
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H17/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#4
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A20/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A23/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#4
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H25/05
QBL
Al Shamal
#3
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H27/05
QBL
Al Khor
#9
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H31/10
QBL
Al Wakrah
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A07/11
QBL
72.1Avg total
38.3Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.278.2-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.537.578.1+3.062%-
Last 30 away (17)37.940.478.4-2.541%-
Last 10 (10)38.333.872.1+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.234.474.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.548.984.4-13.412%-
vs Similar (5)42.634.677.2+8.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)39.735.975.6+3.853%-
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al GharafaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Shamal
#3
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A23/04
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A26/04
QBL
Al Sadd
#2
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H29/04
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A04/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#4
L
23-50
23
50
-27
H08/05
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A13/05
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H17/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A28/10
QBL
Al Shamal
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H31/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A07/11
QBL
69.4Avg total
33.8Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.237.576.7+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.038.677.6+0.456%-
Last 30 away (14)39.436.375.6+3.157%-
Last 10 (10)33.835.669.4-1.860%-
Last 5 (5)35.232.667.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.140.277.2-3.142%-
vs Similar (10)36.237.573.7-1.350%-
vs Weaker (8)46.033.579.5+12.588%-
This opponent (Al-Rayyan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al-Rayyantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Rayyan: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀51%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.5 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.014.5
50.0%
49.4%29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.512.5
33.3%
29.4%37.5
🏀 Free throws14.07.5
53.6%
68.0%7.5
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 56% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Gharafatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Gharafa: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.324.0
52.9%
49.4%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.35.0
22.4%
29.4%15.0
🏀 Free throws20.714.3
69.4%
68.0%14.3
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/3 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al-Rayyan
WWWWLWWWWW
Al Gharafa
WWLWLLLLWL
#3
League position
#4
+21.1
Net rating
-3.3
97.5
Offensive rating
94.6
76.4
Defensive rating
97.9
50.0%
Effective FG%
46.6%
36.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
14.5%
Turnover %
24.4%
19.3%
Off. rebound %
38.2%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.3%
3-point %
22.4%
61.1%
Assist %
63.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 94.6Defence76.4 · 97.9Shooting50.0% · 46.6%3-point %33.3% · 22.4%Ball care14.5% · 24.4%Off. rebounds19.3% · 38.2%Free throws0.21 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Al-Rayyan   ■ Al Gharafa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Al-Rayyan wins
7
Al Gharafa wins
Al-Rayyanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/23AAl Wakrah74-61
31/10/23HAl Khor76-57
27/05/23HAl Shamal75-68
25/05/23HQatar Sports100-82
23/05/23AQatar Sports73-75
20/05/23AQatar Sports65-58
17/05/23HAl Ahli77-74
11/05/23AQatar Sports74-66
08/05/23HAl Sadd70-55
04/05/23HAl Gharafa85-68
Al Gharafalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/23AAl Khor95-86
31/10/23HAl Shamal79-78
28/10/23AQatar Sports60-78
17/05/23HAl Wakrah86-53
13/05/23AAl Ahli53-59
08/05/23HQatar Sports68-101
04/05/23AAl-Rayyan68-85
29/04/23HAl Sadd75-84
26/04/23AAl Khor85-77
23/04/23AAl Shamal62-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al-Rayyan
QBL 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game75.076.074.0
Allowed / game59.057.061.0
Point differential+16.0+19.0+13.0
Avg total134.0133.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Gharafa
QBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game78.079.077.5
Allowed / game80.778.082.0
Point differential-2.7+1.0-4.5
Avg total158.7157.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan220100%75.059.0+16.0
2 Qatar Sports220100%79.063.5+15.5
3 Al Arabi220100%80.069.5+10.5
4 Al Gharafa32167%78.080.7-2.7
5 Al Ahli31233%77.377.7-0.3
6 Al Shamal31233%75.076.0-1.0
7 Al Wakrah1010%61.074.0-13.0
8 Al Khor3030%70.084.3-14.3
9 Al Sadd1010%56.072.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al-Rayyan2218183088
Al Gharafa2311232279
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