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Al-Rayyan vs Al Gharafa Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 101-82
28-15 20-19 34-22 19-26
Position#2
Record8-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game95.9
Allowed / game81.8
Al-Rayyan 🏆
Qatar
vs
Al Gharafa
Qatar
Position#7
Record2-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game98.7
QatarQBL· Ahmed bin Ali Stadium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Al-Rayyan v Al Gharafa
12 Nov 2026
AL-R v AL G
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
AL-R101
AL G82
12 Dec 2024
AL-R122
AL G85
11 Nov 2023
AL-R88
AL G79
04 May 2023
AL-R85
AL G68
16 Nov 2021
AL-R73
AL G83
13 Dec 2020
AL-R63
AL G105
17 Dec 2019
AL-R80
AL G77
07 Feb 2019
AL-R94
AL G98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al-Rayyan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Gharafa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al-RayyanQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Rayyan
Date
Competition
Al Arabi
#2
L
86-92
86
92
-6
65avg 83
A07/04
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
97-86
97
86
+11
90avg 83
H20/10
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
W
91-71
91
71
+20
90avg 83
H27/10
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
92-65
92
65
+27
91avg 83
H30/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
94-81
94
81
+13
86avg 83
A05/11
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
W
106-90
106
90
+16
102avg 83
A04/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
87-90
87
90
-3
78avg 83
A10/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
97-83
97
83
+14
97avg 83
H13/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
93-83
93
83
+10
80avg 83
A20/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
W
106-87
106
87
+19
99avg 83
H25/12
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
15-22
21-25
25-20
24-18
31-27
18-21
24-20
27-22
20-11
25-16
19-22
24-19
24-19
22-13
22-14
23-23
33-18
19-14
19-26
30-16
29-24
29-23
18-27
15-27
21-13
22-23
29-27
24-10
29-23
25-26
19-24
14-25
23-25
31-12
25-21
23-30
26-15
28-14
29-28
177.7Avg total
94.9Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)95.981.8177.7+14.189%
Season at home (5)96.678.4175.0+18.2100%
Season away (4)95.086.0181.0+9.075%
Last 10 (10)94.982.8177.7+12.180%
Last 5 (5)97.886.6184.4+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.078.0155.0-1.00%
vs Similar (2)96.588.5185.0+8.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)92.976.8169.7+16.185%
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al GharafaQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGharafa
Date
Competition
Al Khor
#9
W
87-70
87
70
+17
86avg 76
H13/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
83-98
83
98
-15
74avg 76
A22/10
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
L
116-124 OT
116
124
-8
107avg 76
H25/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
87-86
87
86
+1
78avg 76
H01/11
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
84-95
84
95
-11
70avg 76
A08/11
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
90-106
90
106
-16
76avg 76
H04/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
76-68
76
68
+8
66avg 76
A08/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
79-102
79
102
-23
67avg 76
H11/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
L
99-111
99
111
-12
89avg 76
A15/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
77-98
77
98
-21
62avg 76
A25/12
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
19-17
21-11
27-18
17-26
26-21
20-32
20-19
27-16
23-18
26-30
15-27
23-25
19-26
21-18
24-17
24-19
25-32
18-19
17-25
16-30
24-29
23-29
27-18
15-20
19-11
21-20
21-17
18-28
24-13
13-29
24-32
23-19
18-33
26-24
32-35
17-19
19-25
16-27
25-27
183.6Avg total
87.8Scored
95.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.998.7186.6-10.822%
Season at home (4)93.0104.5197.5-11.525%
Season away (5)83.894.0177.8-10.220%
Last 10 (10)87.895.8183.6-8.030%
Last 5 (5)84.297.0181.2-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)81.394.2175.5-12.810%
vs Similar (2)87.081.5168.5+5.5100%
vs Weaker (8)87.482.0169.4+5.462%
This opponent (Al-Rayyan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
Al-RayyanAl Gharafa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al-RayyanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Arabi
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A07/04
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H20/10
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H27/10
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H30/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A05/11
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
W
59-40
59
40
+19
A04/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A10/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H13/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A20/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H25/12
QBL
89.2Avg total
48.0Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.738.083.7+7.777%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.536.883.2+9.881%-
Last 30 away (14)44.839.484.2+5.471%-
Last 10 (10)48.041.289.2+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)46.841.688.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.025.050.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (2)42.542.585.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)46.738.184.9+8.681%-
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al GharafaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Khor
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H13/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A22/10
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H25/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H01/11
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A08/11
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
H04/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A08/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H11/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A15/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A25/12
QBL
86.7Avg total
41.6Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.443.784.1-3.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.944.683.6-5.721%-
Last 30 away (16)41.742.984.6-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)41.645.186.7-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.645.484.0-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)40.043.983.8-3.925%-
vs Similar (2)41.039.580.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (8)41.244.585.8-3.238%-
This opponent (Al-Rayyan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al-Rayyantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Rayyan: 93.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.427.2
57.4%
54.5%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.3
32.6%
33.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws16.111.6
72.0%
73.4%11.6
They take 75.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Gharafatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Gharafa: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.120.5
49.9%
54.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.7
34.8%
33.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws24.216.7
69.0%
73.4%16.7
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al-Rayyan
WWWLWWWWWL
Al Gharafa
LLLWLLWLLW
#2
League position
#7
+15.3
Net rating
-10.0
118.4
Offensive rating
105.8
103.1
Defensive rating
115.8
54.2%
Effective FG%
50.8%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
12.7%
Turnover %
17.0%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.6%
3-point %
34.8%
55.3%
Assist %
48.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence118.4 · 105.8Defence103.1 · 115.8Shooting54.2% · 50.8%3-point %32.6% · 34.8%Ball care12.7% · 17.0%Off. rebounds32.8% · 27.9%Free throws0.21 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Al-Rayyan   ■ Al Gharafa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Al-Rayyan wins
3
Al Gharafa wins
DateGameScore
04/12/25Al Gharafa v Al-Rayyan90-106
20/01/25Al Gharafa v Al-Rayyan82-93
12/12/24Al-Rayyan v Al Gharafa122-85
24/12/23Al Gharafa v Al-Rayyan80-89 OT
11/11/23Al-Rayyan v Al Gharafa88-79
04/05/23Al-Rayyan v Al Gharafa85-68
01/03/23Al Gharafa v Al-Rayyan56-68
14/02/22Al Gharafa v Al-Rayyan120-68
16/11/21Al-Rayyan v Al Gharafa73-83
09/01/21Al Gharafa v Al-Rayyan93-83
Al-Rayyanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/25HAl Arabi106-87
20/12/25AAl Sadd93-83
13/12/25HAl Wakrah97-83
10/12/25AAl Arabi87-90
04/12/25AAl Gharafa106-90
05/11/25AAl Khor94-81
30/10/25HAl Shamal92-65
27/10/25HAl Ahli91-71
20/10/25HQatar Sports97-86
07/04/25AAl Arabi86-92
Al Gharafalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/25AAl Sadd77-98
15/12/25AQatar Sports99-111
11/12/25HAl Sadd79-102
08/12/25AAl Wakrah76-68
04/12/25HAl-Rayyan90-106
08/11/25AAl Arabi84-95
01/11/25HAl Khor87-86
25/10/25HAl Shamal116-124 OT
22/10/25AAl Ahli83-98
13/03/25HAl Khor87-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al-Rayyan
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%100%75%
Points / game95.996.695.0
Allowed / game81.878.486.0
Point differential+14.1+18.2+9.0
Avg total177.7175.0181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+89%100%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Gharafa
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game87.993.083.8
Allowed / game98.7104.594.0
Point differential-10.8-11.5-10.2
Avg total186.6197.5177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan98189%95.981.8+14.1
2 Al Arabi97278%95.088.3+6.7
3 Al Sadd96367%89.883.6+6.2
4 Al Ahli106460%89.780.7+9.0
5 Al Wakrah95456%81.481.9-0.4
6 Al Shamal105550%86.986.7+0.2
7 Al Gharafa92722%87.998.7-10.8
8 Qatar Sports102820%83.995.9-12.0
9 Al Khor91811%79.191.8-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al-Rayyan28203419101
Al Gharafa1519222682
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