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Al Salam vs Al-Fateh Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 78-82
26-19 24-18 14-15 14-30
Position#7
Record3-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#5
Record2-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game83.0
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 9· Prince Nayef Sports City
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al Salam v Al-Fateh
27 Dec 2024
AL S78
AL-F82
01 Jan 2024
AL S74
AL-F99
30 Dec 2022
AL S57
AL-F80
05 Nov 2021
AL S97
AL-F91
05 Jan 2019
AL S64
AL-F65
16 Jan 2017
AL S56
AL-F71
27 Feb 2016
AL S69
AL-F82
25 Feb 2014
AL S79
AL-F88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Salam winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al-Fateh winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al SalamSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSalam
Date
Competition
Dbae
#11
L
97-112
97
112
-15
92avg 69
A18/03
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
L
59-83
59
83
-24
46avg 69
A22/03
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
74-105
74
105
-31
39avg 69
H18/10
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
108-68
108
68
+40
102avg 69
A25/10
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
81-94
81
94
-13
78avg 69
A01/11
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
L
68-72
68
72
-4
63avg 69
H02/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
80-87
80
87
-7
66avg 69
H06/12
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
72-66
72
66
+6
66avg 69
A13/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
92-59
92
59
+33
95avg 69
H16/12
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
57-88
57
88
-31
35avg 69
H20/12
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-31
21-31
21-26
21-24
13-22
13-23
24-27
9-11
15-24
24-36
15-21
20-24
26-18
27-26
31-10
24-14
15-27
25-18
15-28
26-21
26-20
19-17
13-15
10-20
22-33
21-22
18-15
19-17
20-16
21-18
11-16
20-16
28-22
24-10
16-13
24-14
14-28
16-22
15-13
12-25
162.2Avg total
78.8Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.079.9158.9-0.938%
Season at home (5)74.282.2156.4-8.020%
Season away (3)87.076.0163.0+11.067%
Last 10 (10)78.883.4162.2-4.630%
Last 5 (5)73.874.4148.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)72.990.3163.2-17.417%
vs Similar ◀ (5)77.070.2147.2+6.860%
vs Weaker (7)77.164.0141.1+13.171%
This opponent (Al-Fateh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-FatehSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Fateh
Date
Competition
Al Taawon
#12
W
103-77
103
77
+26
106avg 80
A18/03
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
83-59
83
59
+24
81avg 80
H22/03
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
81-108
81
108
-27
52avg 80
A25/10
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
71avg 80
A28/10
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
74-99
74
99
-25
69avg 80
A02/12
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
L
78-87
78
87
-9
65avg 80
H06/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
94-64
94
64
+30
95avg 80
H09/12
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
63avg 80
H13/12
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
L
72-79
72
79
-7
64avg 80
A16/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
69-55
69
55
+14
54avg 80
H20/12
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-16
22-18
17-21
33-22
22-13
23-13
27-24
11-9
25-32
19-20
22-25
15-31
21-27
9-22
29-21
23-22
23-23
13-26
19-29
19-21
25-27
22-18
13-16
18-26
25-20
24-8
24-16
21-20
18-20
20-12
15-20
15-28
25-15
25-11
10-23
12-30
19-12
14-12
20-12
16-19
160.4Avg total
80.4Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.283.0160.2-5.825%
Season at home (4)77.271.5148.8+5.850%
Season away (4)77.294.5171.8-17.20%
Last 10 (10)80.480.0160.4+0.440%
Last 5 (5)76.273.0149.2+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.094.0172.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)82.286.2168.4-4.020%
vs Weaker (17)93.575.3168.8+18.276%
This opponent (Al Salam) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -4.5-4.5
Al SalamAl-Fateh
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al SalamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dbae
#11
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A18/03
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A22/03
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
39-60
39
60
-21
H18/10
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A25/10
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A01/11
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H02/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H06/12
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A13/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H16/12
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H20/12
Premier League
88.8Avg total
42.4Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.242.580.8-4.334%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.943.181.0-5.333%-
Last 30 away (14)38.641.980.5-3.236%-
Last 10 (10)42.446.488.8-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.683.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)35.246.481.6-11.211%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.834.273.0+4.660%-
vs Weaker (6)47.037.884.8+9.283%-
This opponent (Al-Fateh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-FatehLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Taawon
#12
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A18/03
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H22/03
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A25/10
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A28/10
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A02/12
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H06/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H09/12
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H13/12
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
50-26
50
26
+24
A16/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H20/12
Premier League
79.0Avg total
42.5Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.538.784.2+6.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.737.383.0+8.573%-
Last 30 away (15)45.340.185.4+5.360%-
Last 10 (10)42.536.579.0+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.431.074.4+12.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.245.083.2-6.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)48.642.691.2+6.0100%-
vs Weaker (17)48.134.582.6+13.576%-
This opponent (Al Salam) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Salamtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Salam: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.5
52.9%
50.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.38.9
30.4%
30.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.513.7
70.3%
67.8%13.7
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al-Fatehtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Fateh: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.7
55.8%
50.2%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.0
32.1%
30.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.59.7
62.6%
67.8%9.7
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Salam
LWWLLLWLLL
Al-Fateh
WLLWLLLLWW
#7
League position
#5
-5.1
Net rating
+1.0
93.4
Offensive rating
103.4
98.5
Defensive rating
102.3
49.5%
Effective FG%
52.6%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
21.1%
Turnover %
20.5%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.4%
3-point %
32.1%
52.6%
Assist %
59.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence93.4 · 103.4Defence98.5 · 102.3Shooting49.5% · 52.6%3-point %30.4% · 32.1%Ball care21.1% · 20.5%Off. rebounds22.5% · 31.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Al Salam   ■ Al-Fateh
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Al Salam wins
9
Al-Fateh wins
DateGameScore
22/03/24Al-Fateh v Al Salam83-59
01/01/24Al Salam v Al-Fateh74-99
30/12/22Al Salam v Al-Fateh57-80
30/09/22Al-Fateh v Al Salam99-89
28/01/22Al-Fateh v Al Salam80-64
05/11/21Al Salam v Al-Fateh97-91 OT
05/01/19Al Salam v Al-Fateh64-65
27/11/18Al-Fateh v Al Salam103-70
16/01/17Al Salam v Al-Fateh56-71
27/02/16Al Salam v Al-Fateh69-82
Al Salamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24HAlUla57-88
16/12/24HAl Khowildiah92-59
13/12/24AAl Khaleej72-66
06/12/24HAl Ahli80-87
02/12/24HAl Safa of Safwa68-72
01/11/24AAl Ittihad81-94
25/10/24AOhod108-68
18/10/24HAl Nasr74-105
22/03/24AAl-Fateh59-83
18/03/24ADbae97-112
Al-Fatehlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24HAl Khowildiah69-55
16/12/24AAl Safa of Safwa72-79
13/12/24HAl Ittihad68-80
09/12/24HOhod94-64
06/12/24HAl Khaleej78-87
02/12/24AAl Ahli74-99
28/10/24AAl Nasr82-92
25/10/24AAlUla81-108
22/03/24HAl Salam83-59
18/03/24AAl Taawon103-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Salam
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%20%67%
Points / game79.074.287.0
Allowed / game79.982.276.0
Point differential-0.9-8.0+11.0
Avg total158.9156.4163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al-Fateh
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW25%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game77.277.277.2
Allowed / game83.071.594.5
Point differential-5.8+5.8-17.2
Avg total160.2148.8171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Ahli880100%94.472.0+22.4
2 Al Ittihad880100%84.266.5+17.8
3 AlUla86275%97.069.6+27.4
4 Al Nasr86275%95.880.9+14.9
5 Al Salam83538%79.079.9-0.9
6 Al Khaleej83538%69.279.2-10.0
7 Al Safa of Safwa83538%70.483.2-12.9
8 Al-Fateh82625%77.283.0-5.8
9 Ohod81712%73.0101.9-28.9
10 Al Khowildiah8080%65.289.2-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Salam2624141478
Al-Fateh1918153082
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