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Al Shamal vs Al Ahli Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-112
12-31 30-13 6-37 25-31
Position#6
Record5-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game83.9
Al Shamal
Qatar
vs
Al Ahli 🏆
Qatar
Position#4
Record5-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game81.6
QatarQBL
Other2025-26
Meetings · Al Shamal v Al Ahli
05 Dec 2026
AL S v AL A
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
AL S73
AL A112
25 Dec 2024
AL S92
AL A82
23 Dec 2023
AL S81
AL A72
08 Nov 2023
AL S65
AL A82
06 Mar 2023
AL S88
AL A62
01 Dec 2021
AL S85
AL A82
19 Dec 2020
AL S86
AL A85
12 Jan 2020
AL S85
AL A64
19 Jan 2019
AL S84
AL A91
05 Jan 2019
AL S84
AL A74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Shamal winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al ShamalQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShamal
Date
Competition
Al Wakrah
#8
L
95-96
95
96
-1
91avg 80
A12/03
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
92-72
92
72
+20
83avg 80
H22/10
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
W
124-116 OT
124
116
+8
112avg 80
A25/10
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
65-92
65
92
-27
51avg 80
A30/10
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
L
80-81
80
81
-1
70avg 80
H03/11
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
82-72
82
72
+10
77avg 80
A06/11
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
105-80
105
80
+25
98avg 80
H06/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
62-77
62
77
-15
49avg 80
A10/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
74avg 80
H22/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
104-79
104
79
+25
101avg 80
A24/12
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
22-32
26-18
20-24
26-19
14-14
24-24
28-15
16-27
18-23
30-26
27-15
19-24
19-24
13-22
14-22
23-16
19-28
22-17
16-20
19-14
19-15
18-19
26-24
25-15
28-23
31-18
21-24
24-15
10-21
18-23
10-18
20-14
28-16
13-27
21-29
22-22
34-16
22-20
26-21
174.2Avg total
89.1Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.483.9172.3+4.656%
Season at home (4)89.879.8169.5+10.050%
Season away (5)87.487.2174.6+0.260%
Last 10 (10)89.185.1174.2+4.050%
Last 5 (5)87.078.8165.8+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.897.8174.5-21.08%
vs Similar (6)89.387.2176.5+2.250%
vs Weaker (12)94.283.8178.1+10.492%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Hala
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
no box
H11/11
Premier League
Al Manama
#4
L
57-61
57
61
-4
no box
H30/11
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
60-77
60
77
-17
no box
H05/12
Premier League
Al Arabi
#1
L
78-85
78
85
-7
60avg 78
H06/12
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
77-62
77
62
+15
68avg 78
H10/12
QBL
Al Najma
#6
L
74-77
74
77
-3
no box
A12/12
Premier League
Al Khor
#9
W
118-94
118
94
+24
114avg 78
A15/12
QBL
Nuwaidrad
#9
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
A18/12
Premier League
Al Wakrah
#5
W
88-80
88
80
+8
76avg 78
H24/12
QBL
Al Najma
#6
W
67-63
67
63
+4
no box
H24/12
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
24-15
19-22
15-18
18-10
20-23
11-12
8-16
8-13
14-14
18-22
20-28
17-15
19-24
17-27
25-19
15-24
21-10
23-18
18-10
18-17
19-16
17-25
20-19
26-27
33-11
32-25
27-31
28-17
18-20
25-21
17-22
26-20
21-12
19-22
22-26
15-22
16-9
13-15
23-17
153.9Avg total
78.6Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.281.6168.8+5.756%
Season at home (5)84.280.0164.2+4.260%
Season away (4)91.083.5174.5+7.550%
Last 10 (10)78.675.3153.9+3.360%
Last 5 (5)87.078.8165.8+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)72.680.1152.7-7.421%
vs Similar (8)80.177.5157.6+2.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)91.879.5171.2+12.288%
This opponent (Al Shamal) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
Al ShamalAl Ahli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al ShamalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Wakrah
#8
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A12/03
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H22/10
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A25/10
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A30/10
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H03/11
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A06/11
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H06/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A10/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H22/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A24/12
QBL
83.2Avg total
43.2Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.945.186.0-4.227%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.943.584.4-2.538%-
Last 30 away (17)40.946.487.3-5.518%-
Last 10 (10)43.240.083.2+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.834.280.0+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.948.787.6-9.817%-
vs Similar (6)40.342.883.2-2.517%-
vs Weaker (12)43.242.885.9+0.442%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Hala
#8
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H11/11
Premier League
Al Manama
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H30/11
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H05/12
Premier League
Al Arabi
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H06/12
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H10/12
QBL
Al Najma
#6
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A12/12
Premier League
Al Khor
#9
W
59-38
59
38
+21
A15/12
QBL
Nuwaidrad
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A18/12
Premier League
Al Wakrah
#5
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H24/12
QBL
Al Najma
#6
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H24/12
Premier League
73.5Avg total
39.7Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.877.8+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.436.675.1+1.859%-
Last 30 away (13)42.239.281.4+2.962%-
Last 10 (10)39.733.873.5+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)44.034.278.2+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.638.475.0-1.936%-
vs Similar (8)39.637.176.8+2.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)46.537.283.8+9.2100%-
This opponent (Al Shamal) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Shamaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Shamal: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.0
53.8%
54.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.410.9
33.6%
33.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws19.315.4
79.8%
73.4%15.4
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.923.5
52.3%
54.5%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.4
31.7%
33.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.914.3
68.4%
73.4%14.3
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Shamal
WLLWWLLWWL
Al Ahli
WWWWLWLLLW
#6
League position
#4
+4.7
Net rating
+5.9
109.7
Offensive rating
108.1
104.9
Defensive rating
102.2
52.2%
Effective FG%
50.6%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
14.9%
Turnover %
14.9%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.6%
3-point %
31.7%
54.7%
Assist %
51.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 108.1Defence104.9 · 102.2Shooting52.2% · 50.6%3-point %33.6% · 31.7%Ball care14.9% · 14.9%Off. rebounds24.9% · 30.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Al Shamal   ■ Al Ahli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Al Shamal wins
4
Al Ahli wins
DateGameScore
10/12/25Al Ahli v Al Shamal77-62
01/02/25Al Ahli v Al Shamal63-68
25/12/24Al Shamal v Al Ahli92-82
23/12/23Al Shamal v Al Ahli81-72
08/11/23Al Shamal v Al Ahli65-82
06/05/23Al Ahli v Al Shamal76-68
06/03/23Al Shamal v Al Ahli88-62
24/02/22Al Ahli v Al Shamal70-68
01/12/21Al Shamal v Al Ahli85-82
19/12/20Al Shamal v Al Ahli86-85
Al Shamallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/25AQatar Sports104-79
22/12/25HAl Arabi82-86
10/12/25AAl Ahli62-77
06/12/25HQatar Sports105-80
06/11/25AAl Sadd82-72
03/11/25HAl Wakrah80-81
30/10/25AAl-Rayyan65-92
25/10/25AAl Gharafa124-116 OT
22/10/25HAl Khor92-72
12/03/25AAl Wakrah95-96
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/25HAl Najma67-63
24/12/25HAl Wakrah88-80
18/12/25ANuwaidrad88-80
15/12/25AAl Khor118-94
12/12/25AAl Najma74-77
10/12/25HAl Shamal77-62
06/12/25HAl Arabi78-85
05/12/25HAl Muharraq60-77
30/11/25HAl Manama57-61
11/11/25HAl Hala79-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Shamal
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game88.489.887.4
Allowed / game83.979.887.2
Point differential+4.6+10.0+0.2
Avg total172.3169.5174.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %11%0%20%
Al Ahli
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW56%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game87.284.291.0
Allowed / game81.680.083.5
Point differential+5.7+4.2+7.5
Avg total168.8164.2174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan98189%95.981.8+14.1
2 Al Arabi97278%95.088.3+6.7
3 Al Sadd96367%89.883.6+6.2
4 Al Ahli95456%87.281.6+5.7
5 Al Shamal95456%88.483.9+4.6
6 Al Wakrah95456%81.481.9-0.4
7 Al Gharafa92722%87.998.7-10.8
8 Qatar Sports102820%83.995.9-12.0
9 Al Khor91811%79.191.8-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Shamal123062573
Al Ahli31133731112
← all games of the day
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