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Al Shamal vs Al Ahli Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game83.0
Al Shamal
Qatar
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
6.9/10
Above normal
Al Ahli
Qatar
Position#8
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game94.2
QatarQBL
Other2026-27
Meetings · Al Shamal v Al Ahli
05 Dec 2026
AL S v AL A
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
AL S73
AL A112
25 Dec 2024
AL S92
AL A82
23 Dec 2023
AL S81
AL A72
08 Nov 2023
AL S65
AL A82
06 Mar 2023
AL S88
AL A62
01 Dec 2021
AL S85
AL A82
19 Dec 2020
AL S86
AL A85
12 Jan 2020
AL S85
AL A64
19 Jan 2019
AL S84
AL A91
05 Jan 2019
AL S84
AL A74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Shamal win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Al Ahli win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al ShamalQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShamal
Date
Competition
Al Wakrah
#5
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
A19/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
108-82
108
82
+26
108avg 80
A26/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
L
72-86
72
86
-14
no box
A31/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#4
L
62-76
62
76
-14
50avg 80
A13/10
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
W
94-72
94
72
+22
100avg 80
H22/10
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
W
91-82
91
82
+9
84avg 80
A24/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
92-55
92
55
+37
94avg 80
H29/10
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
85-93
85
93
-8
no box
A03/11
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
L
64-81
64
81
-17
no box
H07/11
QBL
Al Sadd
#2
L
74-122
74
122
-48
no box
A12/11
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
20-19
20-12
21-16
30-22
29-21
24-19
25-20
20-21
9-18
20-30
23-17
19-16
18-13
14-19
11-28
25-20
23-22
18-14
28-16
23-22
25-29
20-14
23-17
28-15
24-12
23-15
17-13
18-31
26-18
18-25
23-19
11-24
20-19
12-12
21-26
9-40
14-32
23-31
28-19
164.7Avg total
82.2Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.383.0163.3-2.743%
Season at home (3)83.369.3152.7+14.067%
Season away (4)78.093.2171.2-15.225%
Last 10 (10)82.282.5164.7-0.350%
Last 5 (5)81.286.6167.8-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.593.0169.5-16.59%
vs Similar (8)81.981.0162.9+0.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)97.385.3182.5+12.082%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Muharraq
#2
L
73-90
73
90
-17
no box
A26/03
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
85avg 79
H28/03
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
69-96
69
96
-27
no box
H29/03
Premier League
Al Sadd
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
65avg 79
H30/03
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
63-102
63
102
-39
no box
A01/04
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#7
L
68-76
68
76
-8
54avg 79
H13/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
75-74
75
74
+1
68avg 79
H22/10
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
101-114
101
114
-13
91avg 79
A27/10
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
L
85-106
85
106
-21
72avg 79
H31/10
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
L
91-101
91
101
-10
no box
A02/11
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-24
26-24
20-19
18-23
19-20
22-22
25-25
22-26
17-24
16-18
19-29
17-25
18-26
29-24
15-15
11-15
21-27
15-28
9-32
18-15
10-23
19-17
24-17
15-19
10-18
24-20
20-20
21-16
24-26
13-28
28-28
36-32
17-25
27-27
15-32
26-22
20-32
26-22
26-26
19-21
171.8Avg total
78.6Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.094.2178.2-10.220%
Season at home (3)76.085.3161.3-9.333%
Season away (2)96.0107.5203.5-11.50%
Last 10 (10)78.693.2171.8-14.610%
Last 5 (5)84.094.2178.2-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)74.684.6159.3-10.024%
vs Similar (5)71.075.6146.6-4.620%
vs Weaker (8)91.977.8169.6+14.1100%
This opponent (Al Shamal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -8.0-8.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -8.0-8.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
Al ShamalAl Ahli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al ShamalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Wakrah
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A19/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
59-43
59
43
+16
A26/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A31/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#4
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A13/10
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H22/10
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A24/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H29/10
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A03/11
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H07/11
QBL
Al Sadd
#2
L
23-72
23
72
-49
A12/11
QBL
85.3Avg total
41.0Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.343.985.2-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.542.284.6+0.338%-
Last 30 away (17)40.445.285.6-4.829%-
Last 10 (10)41.044.385.3-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.648.488.0-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.846.183.9-8.318%-
vs Similar (8)39.442.081.4-2.625%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.243.089.2+3.255%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Muharraq
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A26/03
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H28/03
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H29/03
Premier League
Al Sadd
#3
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H30/03
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A01/04
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#7
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H13/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H22/10
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A27/10
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H31/10
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A02/11
QBL
85.7Avg total
38.2Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.542.080.6-3.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.180.2+0.127%-
Last 30 away (15)36.944.080.9-7.133%-
Last 10 (10)38.247.585.7-9.30%-
Last 5 (5)38.047.685.6-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)34.843.278.0-8.412%-
vs Similar (5)38.440.879.2-2.420%-
vs Weaker (8)46.540.486.9+6.175%-
This opponent (Al Shamal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Shamaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Shamal: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
35%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.123.6
58.9%
51.6%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.6
30.9%
30.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.013.6
71.6%
68.0%13.6
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
35%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.222.0
53.4%
51.6%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.3
33.7%
30.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws15.910.8
67.9%
68.0%10.8
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Shamal
LLLWWWLLWW
Al Ahli
LLLWLLLLLL
#6
League position
#8
+1.8
Net rating
-4.9
98.9
Offensive rating
92.6
97.1
Defensive rating
97.5
53.8%
Effective FG%
52.3%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.9%
3-point %
33.7%
59.3%
Assist %
57.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 92.6Defence97.1 · 97.5Shooting53.8% · 52.3%3-point %30.9% · 33.7%Ball care15.4% · 14.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Al Shamal   ■ Al Ahli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Al Shamal wins
5
Al Ahli wins
DateGameScore
27/12/25Al Shamal v Al Ahli73-112
10/12/25Al Ahli v Al Shamal77-62
01/02/25Al Ahli v Al Shamal63-68
25/12/24Al Shamal v Al Ahli92-82
23/12/23Al Shamal v Al Ahli81-72
08/11/23Al Shamal v Al Ahli65-82
06/05/23Al Ahli v Al Shamal76-68
06/03/23Al Shamal v Al Ahli88-62
24/02/22Al Ahli v Al Shamal70-68
01/12/21Al Shamal v Al Ahli85-82
Al Shamallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AAl Sadd74-122
07/11/26HAl-Rayyan64-81
03/11/26AAl Arabi85-93
29/10/26HAl Khor92-55
24/10/26AQatar Sports91-82
22/10/26HAl Gharafa94-72
13/10/26AAl Wakrah62-76
31/01/26AAl Wakrah72-86
26/01/26AAl Khor108-82
19/01/26AAl Wakrah80-76
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26AQatar Sports91-101
31/10/26HAl-Rayyan85-106
27/10/26AAl Arabi101-114
22/10/26HAl Khor75-74
13/10/26HAl Gharafa68-76
01/04/26AAl Muharraq63-102
30/03/26HAl Sadd73-80
29/03/26HAl Muharraq69-96
28/03/26HAl-Rayyan88-93
26/03/26AAl Muharraq73-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Shamal
QBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game80.383.378.0
Allowed / game83.069.393.2
Point differential-2.7+14.0-15.2
Avg total163.3152.7171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Ahli
QBL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game84.076.096.0
Allowed / game94.285.3107.5
Point differential-10.2-9.3-11.5
Avg total178.2161.3203.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Arabi65183%93.280.2+13.0
2 Al Sadd54180%94.472.0+22.4
3 Al-Rayyan54180%86.079.6+6.4
4 Al Wakrah53260%80.081.4-1.4
5 Qatar Sports63350%90.292.0-1.8
6 Al Shamal73443%80.383.0-2.7
7 Al Gharafa73443%79.984.7-4.9
8 Al Ahli51420%84.094.2-10.2
9 Al Khor6060%73.590.2-16.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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