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Al Wakrah vs Al Sadd Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 78-86
Projected total 163.7
Postponed
Position#6
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game78.2
Al Wakrah
Qatar
Vs
23%
77%
■ AL W 23%■ AL S 77%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.9/10
Above normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Al Sadd
Qatar
Position#2
Record3-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game71.5
QatarQBL· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2026-27
Meetings · Al Wakrah v Al Sadd
07 Nov 2026
AL W v AL S
upcoming
20 Oct 2025
AL W83
AL S91
23 Dec 2024
AL W75
AL S86
13 Dec 2023
AL W83
AL S74
02 Dec 2023
AL W79
AL S77
11 Apr 2023
AL W85
AL S117
06 Mar 2022
AL W81
AL S89
17 Nov 2021
AL W78
AL S87
20 Dec 2020
AL W82
AL S69
11 Dec 2019
AL W118
AL S77
06 Feb 2019
AL W83
AL S72
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Al Wakrah will host Al Sadd on 7 November 2026 in the QBL, with the model favouring Al Sadd at 77% to win over Al Wakrah's 23%. Al Sadd's season record of 3-1, 87.5 points per game and 71.5 allowed per game, and their unbeaten road run of 2-0 with 96.0 points scored and 74.0 allowed, underpin this edge, while Al Wakrah's 2-2 record, 74.2 points scored and 78.2 allowed per game, and a 1-1 home record with 77.5 points scored and 86.5 allowed, show a more balanced but less dominant performance. In the last five games, Al Sadd won four and lost one, including a 90-69 win over Al-Rayyan and a 102-79 victory over Al Khor, whereas Al Wakrah's last five saw two wins and three losses, with a 73-63 win over Al Khor but losses to Al Arabi and Al Gharafa. Their head-to-head history shows Al Sadd winning eight of ten encounters, most recently 97-94 on 7 January 2026. The Pythia model projects a final score of 78-86, a total of 163.7 points, and a 4% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Wakrah win
23.0%fair 4.34
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Al Sadd win
77.0%fair 1.30
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al WakrahQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWakrah
Date
Competition
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
71-103
71
103
-32
56avg 72
H10/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
102-78
102
78
+24
no box
A14/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
H19/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
73avg 72
H24/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
86-72
86
72
+14
no box
H31/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
73-85
73
85
-12
59avg 72
H02/02
QBL
Al Shamal
#5
W
76-62
76
62
+14
72avg 72
H13/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
73-63
73
63
+10
69avg 72
A24/10
QBL
Al Gharafa
#4
L
69-77
69
77
-8
68avg 72
A26/10
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
79-111
79
111
-32
71avg 72
H29/10
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-29
15-21
22-23
23-30
23-11
30-21
24-19
25-27
29-19
19-20
12-20
16-21
23-23
26-20
19-23
24-19
21-20
18-9
30-20
17-23
17-16
22-26
11-22
23-21
16-19
13-18
19-14
28-11
18-11
17-13
23-20
15-19
25-19
14-20
22-19
8-19
18-35
21-24
21-27
19-25
161.3Avg total
79.7Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.278.2152.5-4.050%
Season at home (2)77.586.5164.0-9.050%
Season away (2)71.070.0141.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)79.781.6161.3-1.950%
Last 5 (5)74.079.6153.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.291.2170.4-12.124%
vs Similar (6)78.075.8153.8+2.250%
vs Weaker (7)85.677.6163.1+8.086%
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al SaddQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSadd
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#4
L
65-79
65
79
-14
no box
H17/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
61avg 83
H28/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
W
76-60
76
60
+16
no box
A31/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
78-95
78
95
-17
62avg 83
A23/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
74-76
74
76
-2
63avg 83
H28/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
W
80-73
80
73
+7
72avg 83
A30/03
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
102-65
102
65
+37
54avg 83
H10/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
102-79
102
79
+23
96avg 83
A17/10
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
W
90-69
90
69
+21
87avg 83
A27/10
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
56-73
56
73
-17
no box
H01/11
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-21
18-22
17-15
21-21
17-18
24-24
19-23
15-24
26-17
13-15
21-13
16-15
18-25
22-20
20-20
18-30
22-16
10-28
25-13
17-19
26-18
24-29
15-15
15-11
18-16
21-19
33-17
30-13
19-17
30-16
29-25
24-21
19-15
21-15
18-24
32-15
13-17
17-20
8-20
18-16
155.6Avg total
79.8Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.571.5159.0+16.075%
Season at home (2)79.069.0148.0+10.050%
Season away (2)96.074.0170.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.875.8155.6+4.050%
Last 5 (5)86.071.8157.8+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.991.0168.9-13.111%
vs Similar (7)82.179.9162.0+2.371%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)97.680.7178.3+16.993%
This opponent (Al Wakrah) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 165.5
Over 165.5
45.0%
Under 165.5
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170.5
Over 170.5
33.4%
Under 170.5
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 175.5
Over 175.5
23.4%
Under 175.5
76.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Al Wakrah total 81
Over 81
36.3%
Under 81
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Al Wakrah total 85
Over 85
22.8%
Under 85
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Al Wakrah total 89
Over 89
13.1%
Under 89
86.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Al Sadd total 81.5
Over 81.5
67.4%
Under 81.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Al Sadd total 85.5
Over 85.5
52.1%
Under 85.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Al Sadd total 89.5
Over 89.5
36.5%
Under 89.5
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Al Wakrah -3
AL W -3
16.6%
AL S +3
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
AL W
No market prices yet.
AL S
No market prices yet.
Spread Al Wakrah 0
AL W 0
23.0%
AL S 0
77.0%
Best 5 market prices
AL W
No market prices yet.
AL S
No market prices yet.
Spread Al Wakrah +3
AL W +3
29.9%
AL S -3
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
AL W
No market prices yet.
AL S
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
Al WakrahAl Sadd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al WakrahLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
26-50
26
50
-24
H10/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A14/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H19/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H31/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/02
QBL
Al Shamal
#5
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H13/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A24/10
QBL
Al Gharafa
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A26/10
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H29/10
QBL
79.0Avg total
39.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.241.981.1-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.241.781.9-1.444%-
Last 30 away (14)37.942.280.1-4.336%-
Last 10 (10)39.639.479.0+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.240.276.4-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.145.983.1-8.818%-
vs Similar (6)41.236.577.7+4.767%-
vs Weaker (7)42.436.979.3+5.671%-
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al SaddLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#4
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H17/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H28/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A31/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A23/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H28/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A30/03
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A17/10
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A27/10
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H01/11
QBL
77.5Avg total
38.7Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.883.7+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.839.278.0-0.354%-
Last 30 away (17)45.942.188.0+3.871%-
Last 10 (10)38.738.877.5-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.636.478.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.243.283.4-3.044%-
vs Similar (7)41.141.482.6-0.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.439.084.4+6.479%-
This opponent (Al Wakrah) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Wakrahtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Wakrah: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
35%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.2
49.3%
52.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.9
31.8%
31.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.713.6
76.8%
67.4%13.6
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Saddtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Sadd: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
35%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.4
53.4%
52.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.4
35.1%
31.0%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.614.6
83.0%
67.4%14.6
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Wakrah
LLWWLWWLWL
Al Sadd
LWWWWLLWLL
#6
League position
#2
-13.5
Net rating
+3.8
92.5
Offensive rating
100.0
106.0
Defensive rating
96.2
48.6%
Effective FG%
53.1%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
15.1%
Turnover %
12.9%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.8%
3-point %
35.1%
65.3%
Assist %
65.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.5 · 100.0Defence106.0 · 96.2Shooting48.6% · 53.1%3-point %31.8% · 35.1%Ball care15.1% · 12.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Al Wakrah   ■ Al Sadd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Al Wakrah wins
8
Al Sadd wins
DateGameScore
07/01/26Al Sadd v Al Wakrah97-94
20/10/25Al Wakrah v Al Sadd83-91
30/01/25Al Sadd v Al Wakrah95-76
23/12/24Al Wakrah v Al Sadd75-86
13/12/23Al Wakrah v Al Sadd83-74
02/12/23Al Wakrah v Al Sadd79-77
03/05/23Al Sadd v Al Wakrah101-51
11/04/23Al Wakrah v Al Sadd85-117
09/03/22Al Sadd v Al Wakrah79-78
06/03/22Al Wakrah v Al Sadd81-89
Al Wakrahlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HAl Arabi79-111
26/10/26AAl Gharafa69-77
24/10/26AAl Khor73-63
13/10/26HAl Shamal76-62
02/02/26HAl Ahli73-85
31/01/26HAl Shamal86-72
24/01/26HQatar Sports92-85
19/01/26HAl Shamal76-80
14/01/26AAl Khor102-78
10/01/26HAl-Rayyan71-103
Al Saddlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HAl Arabi56-73
27/10/26AAl-Rayyan90-69
17/10/26AAl Khor102-79
10/10/26HQatar Sports102-65
30/03/26AAl Ahli80-73
28/03/26HAl Arabi74-76
23/03/26AAl Arabi78-95
31/01/26AAl Ahli76-60
28/01/26HAl Arabi75-89
17/01/26HAl Ahli65-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Wakrah
QBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game74.277.571.0
Allowed / game78.286.570.0
Point differential-4.0-9.0+1.0
Avg total152.5164.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Sadd
QBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game87.579.096.0
Allowed / game71.569.074.0
Point differential+16.0+10.0+22.0
Avg total159.0148.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Arabi54180%94.681.0+13.6
2 Al Sadd43175%87.571.5+16.0
3 Al-Rayyan43175%85.080.2+4.8
4 Al Gharafa53260%81.283.4-2.2
5 Al Shamal63350%81.376.5+4.8
6 Al Wakrah42250%74.278.2-4.0
7 Qatar Sports42250%86.292.0-5.8
8 Al Ahli51420%84.094.2-10.2
9 Al Khor5050%72.087.8-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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