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Alabama State vs Miss. Valley St. Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 92-55
0-0 42-25 0-0 50-30
Position#330
Record8-17
FormLWLLW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Position#372
Record1-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.2
Allowed / game84.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alabama State v Miss. Valley St.
02 Jan 2027
ALAB v MISS
upcoming
16 Feb 2026
ALAB92
MISS55
04 Jan 2025
ALAB84
MISS55
19 Feb 2024
ALAB61
MISS46
02 Jan 2023
ALAB70
MISS61
14 Feb 2022
ALAB71
MISS85
08 Feb 2021
ALAB65
MISS68
11 Jan 2020
ALAB81
MISS75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miss. Valley St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alabama StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#306
L
64-75
64
75
-11
H10/01
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H13/01
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H19/01
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
95-80
95
80
+15
A24/01
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
L
64-96
64
96
-32
A27/01
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
L
54-69
54
69
-15
H31/01
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H03/02
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A07/02
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A10/02
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H14/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
27-37
0-0
37-38
0-0
38-32
0-0
43-34
0-0
32-33
0-0
37-40
0-0
52-45
0-0
43-35
0-0
29-43
0-0
35-53
0-0
29-29
0-0
25-40
0-0
29-35
0-0
50-31
0-0
21-18
0-0
26-39
0-0
37-35
0-0
31-34
0-0
34-33
0-0
45-28
141.2Avg total
70.0Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)73.478.4151.7-5.032%
Season at home (8)81.469.8151.1+11.662%
Season away (17)69.682.4152.0-12.818%
Last 10 (10)70.071.2141.2-1.240%
Last 5 (5)65.464.4129.8+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.981.8150.7-12.817%
vs Similar (13)71.275.5146.8-4.354%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)84.468.8153.2+15.660%
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
L
51-71
51
71
-20
H06/01
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A10/01
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
L
51-84
51
84
-33
A13/01
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
L
63-79
63
79
-16
H17/01
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
L
48-62
48
62
-14
H20/01
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A28/01
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H31/01
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
L
81-97
81
97
-16
H07/02
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H10/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A14/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
19-35
0-0
32-36
0-0
37-32
0-0
32-38
0-0
24-41
0-0
27-43
0-0
30-34
0-0
33-45
0-0
17-35
0-0
31-27
0-0
32-41
0-0
37-39
0-0
24-30
0-0
46-48
0-0
38-45
0-0
43-52
0-0
25-36
0-0
41-38
0-0
31-29
0-0
34-43
140.0Avg total
63.3Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)64.284.9149.2-20.74%
Season at home (9)67.777.7145.3-10.011%
Season away (16)62.389.0151.3-26.70%
Last 10 (10)63.376.7140.0-13.40%
Last 5 (5)70.280.2150.4-10.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)61.683.7145.3-22.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alabama State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -8.1-8.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -5.3-5.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -8.1-8.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -5.3-5.3
Alabama StateMiss. Valley St.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alabama StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#306
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H10/01
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H13/01
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H19/01
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A24/01
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A27/01
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H31/01
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H03/02
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
W
21-18
21
18
+3
A07/02
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A10/02
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H14/02
NCAA
66.8Avg total
32.8Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.537.172.6-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (10)37.834.872.6+3.040%-
Last 30 away (20)34.438.272.6-3.950%-
Last 10 (10)32.834.066.8-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)30.030.060.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.738.773.3-4.058%-
vs Similar (13)33.937.070.9-3.123%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)41.633.675.2+8.080%-
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
L
19-35
19
35
-16
H06/01
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A10/01
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A13/01
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H17/01
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
L
17-35
17
35
-18
H20/01
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A28/01
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H31/01
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H07/02
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H10/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A14/02
NCAA
63.5Avg total
27.7Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.139.467.5-11.417%-
Last 30 at home (12)30.535.265.8-4.825%-
Last 30 away (18)26.442.268.7-15.811%-
Last 10 (10)27.735.863.5-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)30.036.266.2-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)27.739.967.5-12.214%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alabama State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HArkansas-Pine Bluff79-61
10/02/26ASouthern Univ.68-69
07/02/26AGrambling St.47-57
03/02/26HFlorida A&M79-66
31/01/26HBethune-Cookman54-69
27/01/26ATexas Southern64-96
24/01/26APrairie View A&M95-80
19/01/26HAlabama A&M Bulldogs69-73
13/01/26HAlcorn State81-66
10/01/26HJackson State64-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AAlabama A&M Bulldogs65-72
10/02/26HAlcorn State66-74
07/02/26HJackson State81-97
31/01/26HArkansas-Pine Bluff70-78
28/01/26ASouthern Univ.69-80
20/01/26HFlorida A&M48-62
17/01/26HBethune-Cookman63-79
13/01/26ATexas Southern51-84
10/01/26APrairie View A&M69-70
06/01/26HAlabama A&M Bulldogs51-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW32%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayLWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25817
Win %32%62%18%
Points / game73.481.469.6
Allowed / game78.469.882.4
Point differential-5.0+11.6-12.8
Avg total151.7151.1152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%62%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miss. Valley St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL4%
HomeLLLLL11%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25916
Win %4%11%0%
Points / game64.267.762.3
Allowed / game84.977.789.0
Point differential-20.7-10.0-26.7
Avg total149.2145.3151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs25141156%70.771.6-0.9
2 Bethune-Cookman25131252%74.376.9-2.6
3 Southern Univ.25121348%80.678.7+1.9
4 Grambling St.24111346%70.970.6+0.3
5 Arkansas-Pine Bluff25111444%77.782.5-4.8
6 Florida A&M2281436%68.176.9-8.8
7 Prairie View A&M2591636%81.280.9+0.3
8 Texas Southern2381535%74.679.6-5.0
9 Alabama State2581732%73.478.4-5.0
10 Jackson State2581732%69.485.5-16.1
11 Alcorn State2461825%66.482.2-15.8
12 Miss. Valley St.251244%64.284.9-20.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alabama State04205092
Miss. Valley St.02503055
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