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Miss. Valley St. vs Alabama State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 69-89
38-41 31-48
Position#372
Record1-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.6
Allowed / game90.5
vs
Position#330
Record3-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game83.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Miss. Valley St. v Alabama State
03 Jan 2026
MISS69
ALAB89
17 Feb 2025
MISS56
ALAB79
06 Jan 2024
MISS51
ALAB54
13 Feb 2023
MISS76
ALAB70
03 Jan 2022
MISS75
ALAB84
12 Jan 2021
MISS51
ALAB64
11 Jan 2021
MISS v ALAB
upcoming
08 Feb 2020
MISS74
ALAB87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miss. Valley St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miss. Valley St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#158
L
75-81 OT
75
81
-6
A15/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A16/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A22/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
84-120
84
120
-36
A26/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A04/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
49-108
49
108
-59
A09/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
64-88
64
88
-24
H17/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
49-96
49
96
-47
A20/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
51-86
51
86
-35
A23/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
69-93
69
93
-24
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-36
33-29
32-41
41-39
22-39
48-47
35-52
49-68
29-30
23-36
21-55
28-53
40-43
24-45
17-54
32-42
22-42
29-44
34-43
35-50
154.0Avg total
63.6Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)64.690.5155.1-25.97%
Season at home (2)80.574.5155.0+6.050%
Season away (12)61.993.2155.1-31.30%
Last 10 (10)63.690.4154.0-26.80%
Last 5 (5)56.494.2150.6-37.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)58.684.0142.5-25.43%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alabama State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado
#183
L
66-94
66
94
-28
A18/11
NCAA
Air Force
#371
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A19/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
101-80
101
80
+21
H21/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A23/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A27/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A07/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A12/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
51-88
51
88
-37
A18/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
67-88
67
88
-21
A23/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
56-94
56
94
-38
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
22-46
44-48
39-32
25-34
59-45
42-35
37-28
31-55
51-38
36-55
35-30
29-44
39-52
38-33
25-50
26-38
33-42
34-46
31-49
25-45
154.6Avg total
70.1Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.383.7158.0-9.423%
Season at home (2)112.574.0186.5+38.5100%
Season away (11)67.485.5152.8-18.19%
Last 10 (10)70.184.5154.6-14.410%
Last 5 (5)63.085.8148.8-22.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.583.7153.3-14.227%
vs Similar (12)68.771.3140.0-2.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)81.163.1144.3+18.057%
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-19-9+0+9+191st half1st half: -15.1-15.11st half: -4.1-4.12nd half2nd half: -11.1-11.12nd half: -10.3-10.3
-19-9+0+9+191st half1st half: -15.1-15.11st half: -4.1-4.12nd half2nd half: -11.1-11.12nd half: -10.3-10.3
Miss. Valley St.Alabama State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miss. Valley St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#158
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A15/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A16/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A22/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A26/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A04/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
21-55
21
55
-34
A09/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H17/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
17-54
17
54
-37
A20/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A23/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A30/12
NCAA
71.9Avg total
28.4Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)26.138.965.1-12.820%-
Last 30 at home (11)29.633.362.9-3.645%-
Last 30 away (19)24.142.266.3-18.15%-
Last 10 (10)28.443.571.9-15.10%-
Last 5 (5)26.847.474.2-20.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)25.739.365.0-13.717%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alabama State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado
#183
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A18/11
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A19/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H21/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A23/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A27/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A07/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A12/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A18/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A23/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A30/12
NCAA
78.3Avg total
37.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.235.270.4-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (10)38.233.071.2+5.260%-
Last 30 away (20)33.636.470.0-2.745%-
Last 10 (10)37.141.278.3-4.150%-
Last 5 (5)32.644.677.2-12.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.539.574.0-4.955%-
vs Similar (12)33.534.768.2-1.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)39.029.668.6+9.471%-
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25AOklahoma69-93
23/12/25AWest Virginia51-86
20/12/25AFlorida State49-96
17/12/25HTarleton64-88
09/12/25AKansas State49-108
04/12/25ALouisiana Monroe52-66
26/11/25ATexas A&M84-120
22/11/25ACSU Bakersfield70-86
16/11/25AManhattan73-80
15/11/25AUtah Tech75-81 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25AMississippi St.56-94
23/12/25AMemphis67-88
18/12/25ACincinnati51-88
12/12/25AMissouri77-85
07/12/25AUT Martin64-74
27/11/25ANew Mexico87-93
23/11/25ASiu Edwardsville68-83
21/11/25HIU Indy101-80
19/11/25AAir Force64-66
18/11/25AColorado66-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miss. Valley St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL7%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14212
Win %7%50%0%
Points / game64.680.561.9
Allowed / game90.574.593.2
Point differential-25.9+6.0-31.2
Avg total155.1155.0155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %7%0%8%
Alabama State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13211
Win %23%100%9%
Points / game74.3112.567.4
Allowed / game83.774.085.5
Point differential-9.4+38.5-18.1
Avg total158.0186.5152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs137654%68.070.8-2.8
2 Grambling St.147750%72.572.4+0.1
3 Prairie View A&M145936%83.380.6+2.7
4 Southern Univ.134931%83.083.2-0.2
5 Bethune-Cookman1441029%72.385.4-13.1
6 Alabama State1331023%74.383.7-9.4
7 Arkansas-Pine Bluff1331023%78.890.5-11.7
8 Texas Southern112918%71.785.0-13.3
9 Florida A&M112918%66.283.6-17.5
10 Jackson State1421214%63.090.5-27.5
11 Alcorn State131128%65.491.1-25.7
12 Miss. Valley St.141137%64.690.5-25.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miss. Valley St.383169
Alabama State414889
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