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Alabama vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 103-101 (OT)
37-34 40-43 26-24
Position#11
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game63.7
Alabama 🏆
USA
vs
North Carolina
USA
Position#117
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Alabama v North Carolina
27 Nov 2022
ALAB103
NORT101
27 Nov 2019
ALAB67
NORT76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#81
L
71-87
71
87
-16
H03/03
NCAA
LSU
#93
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
A05/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H11/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
64-78
64
78
-14
H18/03
NCAA
Longwood
#101
W
75-54
75
54
+21
H08/11
NCAA
Liberty
#30
W
95-59
95
59
+36
H12/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A16/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
W
104-62
104
62
+42
H19/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A25/11
NCAA
Uconn
#29
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-37
31-50
38-36
34-36
38-28
38-54
36-41
28-37
34-26
41-28
40-31
55-28
32-22
33-33
51-39
53-23
42-37
39-33
30-35
37-47
148.4Avg total
77.5Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.263.7144.8+17.583%
Season at home (4)85.264.2149.5+21.075%
Season away (2)73.062.5135.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)77.570.9148.4+6.650%
Last 5 (5)82.465.6148.0+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.777.6152.3-2.940%
vs Similar (13)78.276.0154.2+2.254%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)81.970.1152.0+11.771%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#28
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A26/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
W
69-49
69
49
+20
H27/03
NCAA
Duke
#12
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A03/04
NCAA
Kansas
#8
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A05/04
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#58
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H08/11
NCAA
Charleston
#8
W
102-86
102
86
+16
H12/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#222
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H16/11
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H20/11
NCAA
Portland
#263
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A24/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-31
45-35
38-19
31-30
34-37
47-40
40-25
29-47
32-21
37-35
43-50
59-36
26-22
46-44
45-26
35-38
40-38
49-43
34-32
31-38
145.6Avg total
76.9Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.570.5150.0+9.083%
Season at home (4)80.868.0148.8+12.8100%
Season away (2)77.075.5152.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)76.968.7145.6+8.280%
Last 5 (5)81.673.4155.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)82.477.4159.8+5.075%
vs Similar (10)68.969.8138.7-0.960%
vs Weaker (12)82.269.0151.2+13.292%
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +2.3+2.3
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +2.3+2.3
AlabamaNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#81
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H03/03
NCAA
LSU
#93
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A05/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H11/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H18/03
NCAA
Longwood
#101
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H08/11
NCAA
Liberty
#30
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H12/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A16/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H19/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Uconn
#29
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H26/11
NCAA
71.3Avg total
38.1Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.535.573.0+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.433.770.2+2.761%-
Last 30 away (12)39.238.177.2+1.158%-
Last 10 (10)38.133.271.3+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)39.032.871.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.937.973.8-2.040%-
vs Similar (13)37.534.271.7+3.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.034.374.3+5.786%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#28
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A26/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H27/03
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A03/04
NCAA
Kansas
#8
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A05/04
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#58
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H08/11
NCAA
Charleston
#8
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H12/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#222
W
26-22
26
22
+4
H16/11
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H20/11
NCAA
Portland
#263
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A24/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A25/11
NCAA
66.1Avg total
36.0Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.331.769.0+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.529.668.1+8.871%-
Last 30 away (13)35.834.470.2+1.462%-
Last 10 (10)36.030.166.1+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)37.633.671.2+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.434.872.1+2.638%-
vs Similar (10)31.930.962.8+1.070%-
vs Weaker (12)41.830.372.1+11.483%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alabama wins
1
North Carolina wins
DateGameScore
27/11/19Alabama v North Carolina67-76
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/22HUconn67-82
25/11/22AMichigan State81-70
19/11/22HJacksonville State104-62
16/11/22ASouth Alabama65-55
12/11/22HLiberty95-59
08/11/22HLongwood75-54
18/03/22HNotre Dame64-78
11/03/22HVanderbilt76-82
05/03/22ALSU77-80 OT
03/03/22HTexas A&M71-87
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/22AIowa State65-70
24/11/22APortland89-81
20/11/22HJames Madison80-64
16/11/22HGardner Webb72-66
12/11/22HCharleston102-86
08/11/22HNC Wilmington69-56
05/04/22AKansas69-72
03/04/22ADuke81-77
27/03/22HSt. Peters69-49
26/03/22AUCLA73-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game81.285.273.0
Allowed / game63.764.262.5
Point differential+17.5+21.0+10.5
Avg total144.8149.5135.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%75%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
North Carolina
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%100%50%
Points / game79.580.877.0
Allowed / game70.568.075.5
Point differential+9.0+12.8+1.5
Avg total150.0148.8152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas550100%82.252.8+29.4
2 Missouri770100%93.370.1+23.1
3 Auburn770100%70.156.9+13.3
4 LSU76186%73.361.7+11.6
5 Oklahoma76186%65.756.9+8.9
6 Ole Miss76186%70.962.9+8.0
7 Alabama65183%81.263.7+17.5
8 Tennessee65183%71.755.3+16.3
9 Arkansas65183%77.763.3+14.3
10 Mississippi St.65183%64.351.7+12.7
11 Georgia75271%68.964.9+4.0
12 Kentucky64267%87.268.0+19.2
13 Florida64267%80.570.7+9.8
14 Texas A&M64267%77.870.0+7.8
15 Vanderbilt63350%68.766.7+2.0
16 South Carolina63350%63.570.2-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia550100%78.057.6+20.4
2 Duke76186%72.954.4+18.4
3 NC State76186%82.765.6+17.1
4 Wake Forest76186%81.768.4+13.3
5 Virginia Tech76186%78.165.3+12.9
6 North Carolina65183%79.570.5+9.0
7 Notre Dame65183%74.770.2+4.5
8 Clemson75271%72.162.7+9.4
9 Boston College75271%64.362.1+2.1
10 Georgia Tech64267%70.763.8+6.8
11 Miami (FL)127558%74.369.6+4.8
12 Pittsburgh74357%71.368.6+2.7
13 Syracuse63350%74.870.0+4.8
14 SMU Mustangs63350%67.365.2+2.2
15 Stanford73443%66.663.3+3.3
16 Florida State71614%67.375.4-8.1
17 California7070%58.465.9-7.4
18 Louisville6060%58.772.0-13.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Alabama374026103
North Carolina344324101
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