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LSU vs Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-77 (OT)
36-38 36-34 8-5
Position#93
Record20-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game62.4
LSU 🏆
USA
vs
Alabama
USA
Position#147
Record19-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game76.1
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · LSU v Alabama
21 Feb 2026
LSU83
ALAB90
10 Feb 2024
LSU92
ALAB109
04 Feb 2023
LSU69
ALAB79
05 Mar 2022
LSU80
ALAB77
19 Jan 2021
LSU75
ALAB105
29 Jan 2020
LSU90
ALAB76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LSU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#117
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A29/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H02/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A05/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#81
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A09/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H13/02
NCAA
Georgia
#353
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H17/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#141
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A19/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A24/02
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H27/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-38
39-39
32-45
40-31
25-43
41-32
36-16
40-52
37-22
32-43
38-22
46-43
42-36
33-41
31-23
35-48
30-24
45-31
35-35
41-42
143.3Avg total
72.7Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.062.4135.4+10.667%
Season at home (17)77.558.5136.0+18.988%
Season away (13)67.267.5134.7-0.438%
Last 10 (10)72.770.6143.3+2.140%
Last 5 (5)75.269.0144.2+6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)69.563.0132.5+6.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)76.561.9138.3+14.667%
This opponent (Alabama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#16
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H29/01
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
81-100
81
100
-19
A02/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
L
55-66
55
66
-11
H06/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
W
97-83
97
83
+14
A10/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H12/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H17/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A19/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A23/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#141
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H26/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#81
L
71-87
71
87
-16
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-34
49-44
37-51
44-49
27-33
28-33
49-38
48-45
37-32
31-35
34-30
46-45
46-47
35-43
32-37
42-35
50-27
40-44
40-37
31-50
157.3Avg total
78.4Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.276.1156.3+4.163%
Season at home (18)79.772.2151.9+7.678%
Season away (12)80.982.0162.9-1.142%
Last 10 (10)78.478.9157.3-0.560%
Last 5 (5)79.279.0158.2+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)79.676.7156.3+2.967%
vs Similar (12)80.373.5153.8+6.867%
vs Weaker (3)82.783.3166.0-0.733%
This opponent (LSU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -2.9-2.9
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -2.9-2.9
LSUAlabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#117
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A29/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H02/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A05/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#81
W
36-16
36
16
+20
A09/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H13/02
NCAA
Georgia
#353
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H17/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#141
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A19/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A24/02
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H27/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A03/03
NCAA
63.9Avg total
33.5Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.028.662.5+5.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.426.662.9+9.876%-
Last 30 away (13)30.831.262.0-0.338%-
Last 10 (10)33.530.463.9+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.228.063.2+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)31.728.460.1+3.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)36.228.764.9+7.560%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H29/01
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A02/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H06/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A10/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H12/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H17/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A23/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#141
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H26/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#81
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H03/03
NCAA
75.6Avg total
39.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.935.473.3+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.833.770.5+3.167%-
Last 30 away (12)39.637.977.5+1.758%-
Last 10 (10)39.036.675.6+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.676.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.936.774.7+1.253%-
vs Similar (12)37.232.970.2+4.375%-
vs Weaker (3)40.338.779.0+1.767%-
This opponent (LSU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
LSU wins
5
Alabama wins
DateGameScore
20/01/22Alabama v LSU70-67
14/03/21Alabama v LSU80-79
04/02/21Alabama v LSU78-60
20/01/21LSU v Alabama75-105
15/02/20Alabama v LSU88-82
30/01/20LSU v Alabama90-76
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/22AArkansas76-77
27/02/22HMissouri75-55
24/02/22AKentucky66-71
19/02/22ASouth Carolina75-77
17/02/22HGeorgia84-65
13/02/22HMississippi St.69-65
09/02/22ATexas A&M76-68
05/02/22AVanderbilt66-75
02/02/22HOle Miss72-76
29/01/22ATCU68-77
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/22HTexas A&M71-87
26/02/22HSouth Carolina90-71
23/02/22AVanderbilt74-72
19/02/22AKentucky81-90
17/02/22HMississippi St.80-75
12/02/22HArkansas68-67
10/02/22AOle Miss97-83
06/02/22HKentucky55-66
02/02/22AAuburn81-100
29/01/22HBaylor87-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LSU
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL67%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %67%88%38%
Points / game73.077.567.2
Allowed / game62.458.567.5
Point differential+10.6+18.9-0.4
Avg total135.4136.0134.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%65%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)75% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Alabama
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL63%
HomeLWWWL78%
AwayLLWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %63%78%42%
Points / game80.279.780.9
Allowed / game76.172.282.0
Point differential+4.1+7.6-1.1
Avg total156.3151.9162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)75% (8)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn3026487%79.266.9+12.3
2 Kentucky3024680%80.465.8+14.6
3 Arkansas3024680%77.467.8+9.6
4 Tennessee2922776%73.563.0+10.5
5 Texas3021970%68.859.1+9.7
6 LSU30201067%73.062.4+10.6
7 Texas A&M30191163%73.366.8+6.5
8 Florida30191163%70.765.4+5.4
9 Alabama30191163%80.276.1+4.1
10 South Carolina29181162%71.769.8+1.9
11 Mississippi St.30171357%71.466.7+4.7
12 Oklahoma30161453%68.564.7+3.8
13 Vanderbilt29141548%69.767.7+2.0
14 Ole Miss30131743%68.668.7-0.1
15 Missouri30102033%64.770.7-6.0
16 Georgia3062420%70.578.2-7.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
LSU3636880
Alabama3834577
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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