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Alabama vs UTSA Roadrunners Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 97-55
56-17 41-38
Position#48
Record6-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.9
Allowed / game82.2
Alabama 🏆
USA
vs
Position#365
Record4-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game67.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTSA Roadrunners winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#48
W
113-88
113
88
+25
H27/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A30/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H04/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
103-96
103
96
+7
A08/11
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H14/11
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
90-86
90
86
+4
A20/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
85-95
85
95
-10
H25/11
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
115-76
115
76
+39
H26/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
105-72
105
72
+33
H27/11
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
90-84
90
84
+6
H04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
51-40
62-48
37-46
28-39
48-32
43-30
53-44
50-52
41-43
39-44
41-42
49-44
42-45
43-50
51-36
64-40
49-29
56-43
45-30
45-54
176.8Avg total
93.7Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)94.982.2177.1+12.675%
Season at home (6)94.379.3173.7+15.067%
Season away (2)96.591.0187.5+5.5100%
Last 10 (10)93.783.1176.8+10.670%
Last 5 (5)97.082.6179.6+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)84.993.4178.3-8.629%
vs Similar (15)91.983.5175.3+8.473%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)97.276.0173.2+21.2100%
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#323
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A09/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A14/03
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
97-30
97
30
+67
H06/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
60-77
60
77
-17
H07/11
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A13/11
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A15/11
NCAA
Southwestern Christian
#547
W
103-70
103
70
+33
H18/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A25/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A26/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
58-82
58
82
-24
H30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-38
44-42
28-34
37-36
56-18
41-12
29-34
31-43
26-38
43-42
37-28
47-51
53-33
50-37
26-39
24-22
29-33
48-31
31-44
27-38
143.9Avg total
74.6Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.867.9142.6+6.950%
Season at home (4)79.564.8144.2+14.850%
Season away (4)70.071.0141.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)74.669.3143.9+5.350%
Last 5 (5)74.471.2145.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)65.072.8137.8-7.825%
vs Similar (15)80.079.1159.1+0.940%
vs Weaker (3)105.752.7158.3+53.0100%
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.1+7.11st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: +3.8+3.8
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.1+7.11st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: +3.8+3.8
AlabamaUTSA Roadrunners
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#48
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H27/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A30/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H04/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A08/11
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H14/11
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A20/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H25/11
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H26/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H27/11
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H04/12
NCAA
84.5Avg total
45.8Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.438.382.7+6.070%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.935.579.4+8.472%-
Last 30 away (12)45.142.687.7+2.567%-
Last 10 (10)45.838.784.5+7.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.636.482.0+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.443.684.0-3.114%-
vs Similar (15)45.038.583.5+6.587%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)46.633.580.1+13.188%-
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#323
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A09/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A14/03
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
56-18
56
18
+38
H06/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H07/11
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A13/11
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A15/11
NCAA
Southwestern Christian
#547
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H18/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A25/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A26/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H30/11
NCAA
69.3Avg total
35.4Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.633.869.5+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.731.471.1+8.371%-
Last 30 away (16)32.135.968.0-3.938%-
Last 10 (10)35.433.969.3+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.235.470.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)28.935.063.9-6.125%-
vs Similar (15)36.834.771.5+2.167%-
vs Weaker (3)56.725.081.7+31.7100%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alabama wins
0
UTSA Roadrunners wins
No previous meetings.
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25HClemson90-84
27/11/25HMaryland105-72
26/11/25HUNLV115-76
25/11/25HGonzaga85-95
20/11/25AIllinois90-86
14/11/25HPurdue80-87
08/11/25ASt. John's (N.Y.)103-96
04/11/25HNorth Dakota91-62
30/03/25ADuke65-85
27/03/25HBrigham Young113-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25HSouth Alabama58-82
26/11/25AGeorgia Southern77-64
25/11/25AAbilene Christian50-61
18/11/25HSouthwestern Christian103-70
15/11/25ADenver84-79
13/11/25ATexas State69-80
07/11/25HSiu Edwardsville60-77
06/11/25HCBS Ambassadors97-30
14/03/25AEast Carolina65-70
09/03/25ACharlotte83-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game94.994.396.5
Allowed / game82.279.391.0
Point differential+12.6+15.0+5.5
Avg total177.1173.7187.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UTSA Roadrunners
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game74.879.570.0
Allowed / game67.964.871.0
Point differential+6.9+14.8-1.0
Avg total142.6144.2141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LSU880100%92.268.4+23.9
2 Vanderbilt990100%96.873.0+23.8
3 Georgia98189%99.971.2+28.7
4 Missouri108280%87.470.1+17.3
5 Texas A&M97278%92.275.1+17.1
6 Arkansas97278%87.671.0+16.6
7 Alabama86275%94.982.2+12.6
8 Tennessee107370%80.966.0+14.9
9 Auburn107370%85.976.7+9.2
10 Texas96367%88.473.7+14.8
11 South Carolina96367%81.169.7+11.4
12 Oklahoma96367%84.775.0+9.7
13 Florida85362%83.471.9+11.5
14 Mississippi St.85362%82.478.2+4.1
15 Kentucky95456%83.667.0+16.6
16 Ole Miss95456%75.368.0+7.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa98189%87.868.1+19.7
2 North Texas97278%71.965.1+6.8
3 UAB107370%82.470.5+11.9
4 Tulane96367%75.477.7-2.2
5 Florida Atlantic85362%78.171.8+6.4
6 Wichita State106460%78.367.3+11.0
7 South Florida95456%89.480.1+9.3
8 UTSA Roadrunners84450%74.867.9+6.9
9 Memphis84450%76.074.1+1.9
10 Charlotte94544%72.070.9+1.1
11 Temple94544%75.675.6+0.0
12 Rice104640%75.773.2+2.5
13 East Carolina93633%68.978.0-9.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Alabama564197
UTSA Roadrunners173855
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