Alaska Aces vs Meralco Bolts Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Jun 2018

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 74-89

19-23 21-18 17-32 17-16

Position#3

Record7-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game109.6

Allowed / game100.2

Alaska Aces

Meralco Bolts 🏆

Position#6

Record6-2

FormWLWWW

Points / game97.1

Allowed / game87.8

Commissioners Cup

Other2018

Meetings · Alaska Aces v Meralco Bolts

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alaska Aces winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Meralco Bolts winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alaska Aces Philippines

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NLEX Road Warriors

99-105

105

-6

A05/03

Philippine Cup

NLEX Road Warriors

83-87

-4

H07/03

Philippine Cup

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters

103-109 OT

103

109

-6

H27/04

Commissioners Cup

Blackwater Elite

#12

93-74

+19

A29/04

Commissioners Cup

Columbian Dyip

#10

134-103

134

103

+31

H04/05

Commissioners Cup

TNT Tropang Giga

110-100

110

100

+10

H13/05

Commissioners Cup

San Miguel Beermen

105-103

105

103

H19/05

Commissioners Cup

Global Port

109-103

109

103

A02/06

Commissioners Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

103-99

103

H10/06

Commissioners Cup

NLEX Road Warriors

#11

120-111

120

111

A15/06

Commissioners Cup

22-24

18-26

32-24

27-31

23-24

20-25

28-19

12-19

16-23

23-22

22-24

33-25

27-11

27-18

12-27

27-18

31-28

42-9

33-35

28-31

34-26

25-17

26-24

25-33

28-20

29-23

24-29

24-31

20-29

30-30

35-24

24-20

23-16

23-23

25-31

32-29

28-14

27-34

33-38

32-25

205.3Avg total

105.9Scored

99.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	109.6	100.2	209.9	+9.4	88%
Season at home (5)	111.0	102.8	213.8	+8.2	80%
Season away (3)	107.3	96.0	203.3	+11.3	100%
Last 10 (10)	105.9	99.4	205.3	+6.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	109.4	103.2	212.6	+6.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	88.0	99.8	187.8	-11.8	17%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	100.5	99.5	199.9	+1.0	62%
vs Weaker (11)	102.5	91.9	194.4	+10.5	73%

This opponent (Meralco Bolts) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Meralco Bolts Philippines

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

84-82

H18/02

Philippine Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

65-94

-29

A24/02

Philippine Cup

Columbian Dyip

#10

116-103

116

103

+13

A25/04

Commissioners Cup

Global Port

85-86

-1

H27/04

Commissioners Cup

NLEX Road Warriors

#11

106-90

106

+16

H04/05

Commissioners Cup

San Miguel Beermen

93-85

A09/05

Commissioners Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

79-81

-2

H18/05

Commissioners Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

93-82

+11

A01/06

Commissioners Cup

Phoenix Fuelmasters

103-100 OT

103

100

H08/06

Commissioners Cup

Blackwater Elite

#12

102-75

102

+27

H15/06

Commissioners Cup

15-20

30-18

22-26

17-18

15-20

17-24

16-24

17-26

25-31

31-26

29-22

31-24

25-23

19-22

21-18

20-23

24-12

29-23

30-31

23-24

23-17

19-27

28-17

16-19

15-15

25-16

23-31

28-22

20-20

25-16

20-24

20-18

32-26

16-28

22-18

24-15

35-15

20-17

23-28

180.4Avg total

92.6Scored

87.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	97.1	87.8	184.9	+9.4	75%
Season at home (5)	95.0	86.4	181.4	+8.6	60%
Season away (3)	100.7	90.0	190.7	+10.7	100%
Last 10 (10)	92.6	87.8	180.4	+4.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	94.0	84.6	178.6	+9.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	87.5	97.0	184.5	-9.5	25%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	87.5	85.5	173.0	+2.1	60%
vs Weaker (7)	103.0	89.4	192.4	+13.6	86%

This opponent (Alaska Aces) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Alaska AcesMeralco Bolts

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	21.7	45.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.2	22.2	46.4	+2.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	21.2	43.8	+1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.2	21.5	46.7	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	21.0	47.6	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.2	22.3	43.5	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	24.2	21.7	45.8	+2.5	77%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.7	21.4	45.1	+2.4	45%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.6	43.1	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	21.7	20.9	42.6	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (11)	21.0	22.9	43.9	-1.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.4	41.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.6	41.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.8	25.6	43.4	-7.9	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	22.3	20.1	42.4	+2.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.9	20.3	44.1	+3.6	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	23.0	45.6	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	21.9	45.5	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	24.1	45.7	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.4	22.7	49.1	+3.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	25.4	52.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.3	25.0	45.3	-4.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.9	23.2	45.2	-1.3	46%	-
vs Weaker (11)	24.7	21.5	46.3	+3.2	45%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	21.5	44.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	23.3	21.6	44.9	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (11)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.2	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	20.6	45.7	+4.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	18.6	43.6	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.4	21.5	42.9	-0.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (7)	28.1	23.1	51.3	+5.0	71%	-

Alaska AcesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NLEX Road Warriors

40-50

-10

A05/03

Philippine Cup

NLEX Road Warriors

43-49

-6

H07/03

Philippine Cup

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters

39-45

-6

H27/04

Commissioners Cup

Blackwater Elite

#12

54-29

+25

A29/04

Commissioners Cup

Columbian Dyip

#10

73-37

+36

H04/05

Commissioners Cup

TNT Tropang Giga

59-43

+16

H13/05

Commissioners Cup

San Miguel Beermen

57-43

+14

H19/05

Commissioners Cup

Global Port

50-59

-9

A02/06

Commissioners Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

46-39

H10/06

Commissioners Cup

NLEX Road Warriors

#11

55-48

A15/06

Commissioners Cup

95.8Avg total

51.6Scored

44.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.0	44.7	90.7	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.9	44.1	91.9	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.2	45.3	89.5	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	51.6	44.2	95.8	+7.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.4	46.4	99.8	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	41.5	47.3	88.8	-5.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	46.1	44.9	91.0	+1.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (11)	48.5	42.9	91.4	+5.5	55%	-

This opponent (Meralco Bolts) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Meralco BoltsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

45-38

H18/02

Philippine Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

32-44

-12

A24/02

Philippine Cup

Columbian Dyip

#10

56-57

-1

A25/04

Commissioners Cup

Global Port

44-45

-1

H27/04

Commissioners Cup

NLEX Road Warriors

#11

53-35

+18

H04/05

Commissioners Cup

San Miguel Beermen

46-41

A09/05

Commissioners Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

31-34

-3

H18/05

Commissioners Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

48-42

A01/06

Commissioners Cup

Phoenix Fuelmasters

52-44

H08/06

Commissioners Cup

Blackwater Elite

#12

59-30

+29

H15/06

Commissioners Cup

87.6Avg total

46.6Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	43.1	87.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	44.9	42.5	87.5	+2.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (11)	42.1	44.2	86.3	-2.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.6	41.0	87.6	+5.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	38.2	85.4	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.1	47.1	86.2	-8.0	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	42.7	40.9	83.5	+1.8	47%	-
vs Weaker (7)	52.0	43.4	95.4	+8.6	57%	-

This opponent (Alaska Aces) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.1	25.8	50.9	-0.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.4	26.5	51.9	-1.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.8	25.1	49.9	-0.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.0	27.5	54.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.6	29.2	57.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.7	25.3	48.0	-2.7	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	24.6	26.2	50.8	-1.5	15%	-
vs Weaker (11)	27.0	25.7	52.7	+1.3	36%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.3	23.5	47.8	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	24.4	23.4	47.8	+1.0	63%	-
Last 30 away (11)	24.2	23.5	47.7	+0.6	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.5	44.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	26.4	25.0	51.4	+1.4	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	23.4	23.1	46.5	+0.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (7)	24.0	22.6	46.6	+1.4	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.4	24.9	51.3	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.8	26.9	52.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	26.9	23.0	49.9	+3.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.4	26.2	52.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.4	27.6	55.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	23.8	27.2	51.0	-3.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	27.0	25.3	52.3	+1.7	62%	-
vs Weaker (11)	27.0	23.3	50.3	+3.7	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	22.4	44.6	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	21.7	22.1	43.8	-0.3	42%	-
Last 30 away (11)	23.0	22.9	45.9	+0.1	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	23.3	45.7	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	23.6	46.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.0	24.9	46.9	-2.9	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.9	21.2	42.1	-0.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (7)	25.1	22.0	47.1	+3.1	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	51.5	50.8	102.2	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	51.2	53.4	104.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	51.7	48.1	99.9	+3.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	53.4	53.7	107.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	56.0	56.8	112.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	46.5	52.5	99.0	-6.0	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	51.6	51.5	103.1	+0.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (11)	54.0	49.0	103.0	+5.0	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.5	45.8	92.4	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	46.2	45.5	91.6	+0.7	42%	-
Last 30 away (11)	47.2	46.5	93.6	+0.7	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	45.8	90.5	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	44.4	88.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	48.4	49.9	98.2	-1.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	44.3	44.3	88.6	+0.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (7)	49.1	44.6	93.7	+4.6	43%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alaska Aces wins

Meralco Bolts wins

Date	Game	Score
10/01/18	Alaska Aces v Meralco Bolts	103-98
15/09/17	Alaska Aces v Meralco Bolts	78-106
08/04/17	Meralco Bolts v Alaska Aces	99-91
14/12/16	Meralco Bolts v Alaska Aces	79-81
17/07/16	Alaska Aces v Meralco Bolts	96-100
04/05/16	Meralco Bolts v Alaska Aces	70-76
02/05/16	Alaska Aces v Meralco Bolts	70-86
29/04/16	Meralco Bolts v Alaska Aces	72-92
27/04/16	Alaska Aces v Meralco Bolts	87-92
25/04/16	Meralco Bolts v Alaska Aces	94-97

Alaska Aceslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/06/18	A	NLEX Road Warriors	120-111
10/06/18	H	Magnolia Hotshots	103-99
02/06/18	A	Global Port	109-103
19/05/18	H	San Miguel Beermen	105-103
13/05/18	H	TNT Tropang Giga	110-100
04/05/18	H	Columbian Dyip	134-103
29/04/18	A	Blackwater Elite	93-74
27/04/18	H	Rain or Shine Elasto Painters	103-109 OT
07/03/18	H	NLEX Road Warriors	83-87
05/03/18	A	NLEX Road Warriors	99-105

Meralco Boltslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/06/18	H	Blackwater Elite	102-75
08/06/18	H	Phoenix Fuelmasters	103-100 OT
01/06/18	A	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	93-82
18/05/18	H	Magnolia Hotshots	79-81
09/05/18	A	San Miguel Beermen	93-85
04/05/18	H	NLEX Road Warriors	106-90
27/04/18	H	Global Port	85-86
25/04/18	A	Columbian Dyip	116-103
24/02/18	A	Magnolia Hotshots	65-94
18/02/18	H	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	84-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alaska Aces

Commissioners Cup 2018

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	88%
Home	LWWWW	80%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	5	3
Win %	88%	80%	100%
Points / game	109.6	111.0	107.3
Allowed / game	100.2	102.8	96.0
Point differential	+9.4	+8.2	+11.3
Avg total	209.9	213.8	203.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	40%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	12%	20%	0%

Meralco Bolts

Commissioners Cup 2018

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	75%
Home	LWLWW	60%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	5	3
Win %	75%	60%	100%
Points / game	97.1	95.0	100.7
Allowed / game	87.8	86.4	90.0
Point differential	+9.4	+8.6	+10.7
Avg total	184.9	181.4	190.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	40%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	33% (3)	-
Overtime %	12%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Rain or Shine Elasto Painters	9	8	1	89%	104.6	99.8	+4.8
2	Alaska Aces	8	7	1	88%	109.6	100.2	+9.4
3	Meralco Bolts	8	6	2	75%	97.1	87.8	+9.4
4	TNT Tropang Giga	9	6	3	67%	108.1	102.9	+5.2
5	Magnolia Hotshots	8	4	4	50%	97.0	91.6	+5.4
6	San Miguel Beermen	8	4	4	50%	104.9	102.6	+2.2
7	Global Port	8	4	4	50%	101.4	100.5	+0.9
8	Columbian Dyip	9	4	5	44%	109.7	114.7	-5.0
9	Phoenix Fuelmasters	9	3	6	33%	102.1	105.0	-2.9
10	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	7	2	5	29%	93.7	97.1	-3.4
11	NLEX Road Warriors	9	2	7	22%	99.9	108.6	-8.7
12	Blackwater Elite	10	1	9	10%	91.6	105.1	-13.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alaska Aces	19	21	17	17	74
Meralco Bolts	23	18	32	16	89

← all games of the day

Alaska Aces vs Meralco Bolts Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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