Alaska Aces vs Meralco Bolts Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Nov 2018

Tip-off: 10:30

Final 99-92

21-28 26-20 21-12 31-32

Position#3

Record11-4

FormWWLWW

Points / game102.5

Allowed / game96.5

Alaska Aces 🏆

Meralco Bolts

Position#7

Record8-8

FormWWWLL

Points / game96.4

Allowed / game94.2

Governors CupGovernors Cup - Semi-finals

Other2018

Meetings · Alaska Aces v Meralco Bolts

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alaska Aces winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Meralco Bolts winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alaska Aces Philippines

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Miguel Beermen

127-119

127

119

H06/10

Governors Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

73-83

-10

A14/10

Governors Cup

Columbian Dyip

#12

104-94

104

+10

H17/10

Governors Cup

Blackwater Elite

116-109

116

109

A21/10

Governors Cup

NLEX Road Warriors

110-116 OT

110

116

-6

A26/10

Governors Cup

Global Port

#11

95-85

+10

H28/10

Governors Cup

San Miguel Beermen

96-85

+11

H07/11

Governors Cup

Meralco Bolts

92-97

-5

A11/11

Governors Cup

Meralco Bolts

100-95

100

H13/11

Governors Cup

Meralco Bolts

104-102

104

102

A15/11

Governors Cup

34-36

33-28

26-25

34-30

15-11

16-34

25-20

17-18

33-24

20-19

32-29

19-22

26-29

31-16

30-37

29-27

20-19

23-34

34-24

22-22

24-15

17-32

23-15

31-23

23-19

20-23

21-7

32-36

17-25

17-22

22-25

36-25

23-21

24-19

27-20

26-35

25-22

22-31

28-21

29-28

200.2Avg total

101.7Scored

98.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	102.5	96.5	199.0	+5.9	73%
Season at home (7)	106.9	97.6	204.4	+9.3	86%
Season away (8)	98.6	95.6	194.2	+3.0	62%
Last 10 (10)	101.7	98.5	200.2	+3.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	97.4	92.8	190.2	+4.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	97.1	96.7	193.8	+0.4	58%
vs Weaker (11)	111.5	97.4	208.8	+14.1	91%

This opponent (Meralco Bolts) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Meralco Bolts Philippines

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Global Port

#11

94-99

-5

A12/10

Governors Cup

NLEX Road Warriors

108-105

108

105

A14/10

Governors Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

94-88

H19/10

Governors Cup

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters

#10

91-82

A21/10

Governors Cup

San Miguel Beermen

111-81

111

+30

A03/11

Governors Cup

Phoenix Fuelmasters

90-74

+16

H07/11

Governors Cup

Phoenix Fuelmasters

108-103 OT

108

103

A09/11

Governors Cup

Alaska Aces

97-92

H11/11

Governors Cup

Alaska Aces

95-100

100

-5

A13/11

Governors Cup

Alaska Aces

102-104

102

104

-2

H15/11

Governors Cup

21-22

20-24

28-28

25-25

13-17

23-22

30-41

42-25

24-19

19-24

27-23

24-22

19-19

25-24

21-22

26-17

26-25

18-24

34-17

33-15

15-17

18-18

33-20

24-19

22-27

18-23

30-18

24-26

25-17

22-17

25-22

25-36

21-23

19-24

20-27

35-26

22-25

31-22

21-28

28-29

191.8Avg total

99.0Scored

92.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	96.4	94.2	190.6	+2.2	50%
Season at home (6)	93.3	91.5	184.8	+1.8	50%
Season away (10)	98.3	95.8	194.1	+2.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	99.0	92.8	191.8	+6.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	98.4	94.6	193.0	+3.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	89.0	91.1	180.1	-2.1	29%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	91.3	91.0	182.3	+0.3	33%
vs Weaker (8)	99.1	90.2	189.4	+8.9	75%

This opponent (Alaska Aces) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Alaska AcesMeralco Bolts

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.7	21.7	46.4	+3.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	27.1	21.9	48.9	+5.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	21.5	43.9	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	22.1	46.1	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.4	42.8	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	23.0	22.2	45.2	+0.8	58%	-
vs Weaker (11)	27.6	20.8	48.5	+6.8	73%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.2	42.9	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	21.2	44.3	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.4	21.4	41.9	-1.0	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	22.7	21.4	44.1	+1.3	53%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.1	20.6	41.8	+0.5	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.2	24.1	48.3	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.3	22.3	47.7	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.0	25.9	48.9	-2.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	25.8	48.1	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	25.4	45.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	22.9	24.3	47.2	-1.4	37%	-
vs Weaker (11)	26.4	23.8	50.2	+2.5	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.2	42.7	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.0	21.1	44.1	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	21.4	41.5	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	22.2	43.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.8	42.4	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.4	20.3	38.7	-1.9	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.3	21.9	43.2	-0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	24.5	20.8	45.2	+3.8	62%	-

Alaska AcesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Miguel Beermen

67-64

H06/10

Governors Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

31-45

-14

A14/10

Governors Cup

Columbian Dyip

#12

53-43

+10

H17/10

Governors Cup

Blackwater Elite

57-45

+12

A21/10

Governors Cup

NLEX Road Warriors

43-53

-10

A26/10

Governors Cup

Global Port

#11

41-47

-6

H28/10

Governors Cup

San Miguel Beermen

43-42

H07/11

Governors Cup

Meralco Bolts

34-47

-13

A11/11

Governors Cup

Meralco Bolts

47-40

H13/11

Governors Cup

Meralco Bolts

47-53

-6

A15/11

Governors Cup

94.2Avg total

46.3Scored

47.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.9	45.8	94.7	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	52.4	44.2	96.6	+8.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.3	47.5	92.8	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.3	47.9	94.2	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	45.8	88.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	45.9	46.5	92.4	-0.6	53%	-
vs Weaker (11)	54.0	44.6	98.6	+9.4	64%	-

This opponent (Meralco Bolts) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Meralco BoltsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Global Port

#11

41-46

-5

A12/10

Governors Cup

NLEX Road Warriors

36-39

-3

A14/10

Governors Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

43-43

H19/10

Governors Cup

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters

#10

44-43

A21/10

Governors Cup

San Miguel Beermen

44-49

-5

A03/11

Governors Cup

Phoenix Fuelmasters

33-35

-2

H07/11

Governors Cup

Phoenix Fuelmasters

40-50

-10

A09/11

Governors Cup

Alaska Aces

47-34

+13

H11/11

Governors Cup

Alaska Aces

40-47

-7

A13/11

Governors Cup

Alaska Aces

53-47

H15/11

Governors Cup

85.4Avg total

42.1Scored

43.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	42.4	85.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.1	42.3	88.4	+3.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.7	42.6	83.2	-1.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	43.3	85.4	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	42.6	85.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	38.9	41.7	80.6	-2.9	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	43.9	43.3	87.3	+0.6	53%	-
vs Weaker (8)	45.6	41.4	87.0	+4.2	50%	-

This opponent (Alaska Aces) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.0	25.8	52.8	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.7	25.3	52.0	+1.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	27.2	26.3	53.5	+0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.8	22.3	49.1	+4.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	17.6	41.8	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	25.6	24.6	50.2	+1.1	58%	-
vs Weaker (11)	29.3	27.9	57.2	+1.4	55%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.0	23.2	47.1	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	22.1	44.4	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	25.4	24.1	49.5	+1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.9	24.6	51.5	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	23.0	48.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	24.7	22.3	47.0	+2.4	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	23.1	22.6	45.7	+0.5	53%	-
vs Weaker (8)	25.0	25.0	50.0	+0.0	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.2	24.8	50.9	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	27.0	28.1	55.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.3	21.4	46.7	+3.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.5	26.6	54.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.8	29.4	60.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	25.6	25.6	51.2	-0.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (11)	27.2	23.3	50.5	+3.9	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.7	24.3	49.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.9	24.9	48.7	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	25.4	23.8	49.2	+1.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.6	24.0	52.6	+4.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.2	27.2	54.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	23.4	25.9	49.3	-2.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	24.1	24.4	48.5	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	26.9	22.6	49.5	+4.2	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	53.1	50.6	103.7	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	53.7	53.4	107.1	+0.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	52.5	47.7	100.3	+4.8	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	54.3	48.9	103.2	+5.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	55.0	47.0	102.0	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	51.2	50.2	101.4	+1.0	53%	-
vs Weaker (11)	56.5	51.2	107.6	+5.3	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.7	47.4	96.1	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.2	46.9	93.1	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	50.8	47.9	98.7	+2.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	55.5	48.6	104.1	+6.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.0	50.2	103.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	48.1	48.1	96.3	+0.0	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	47.2	47.0	94.2	+0.2	47%	-
vs Weaker (8)	51.9	47.6	99.5	+4.2	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alaska Aces wins

Meralco Bolts wins

Date	Game	Score
15/11/18	Meralco Bolts v Alaska Aces	102-104
13/11/18	Alaska Aces v Meralco Bolts	100-95
11/11/18	Meralco Bolts v Alaska Aces	97-92
24/08/18	Meralco Bolts v Alaska Aces	72-80
17/06/18	Alaska Aces v Meralco Bolts	74-89
10/01/18	Alaska Aces v Meralco Bolts	103-98
15/09/17	Alaska Aces v Meralco Bolts	78-106
08/04/17	Meralco Bolts v Alaska Aces	99-91
14/12/16	Meralco Bolts v Alaska Aces	79-81
17/07/16	Alaska Aces v Meralco Bolts	96-100

Alaska Aceslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/11/18	A	Meralco Bolts	104-102
13/11/18	H	Meralco Bolts	100-95
11/11/18	A	Meralco Bolts	92-97
07/11/18	H	San Miguel Beermen	96-85
28/10/18	H	Global Port	95-85
26/10/18	A	NLEX Road Warriors	110-116 OT
21/10/18	A	Blackwater Elite	116-109
17/10/18	H	Columbian Dyip	104-94
14/10/18	A	Magnolia Hotshots	73-83
06/10/18	H	San Miguel Beermen	127-119

Meralco Boltslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/11/18	H	Alaska Aces	102-104
13/11/18	A	Alaska Aces	95-100
11/11/18	H	Alaska Aces	97-92
09/11/18	A	Phoenix Fuelmasters	108-103 OT
07/11/18	H	Phoenix Fuelmasters	90-74
03/11/18	A	San Miguel Beermen	111-81
21/10/18	A	Rain or Shine Elasto Painters	91-82
19/10/18	H	Magnolia Hotshots	94-88
14/10/18	A	NLEX Road Warriors	108-105
12/10/18	A	Global Port	94-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alaska Aces

Governors Cup 2018

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	73%
Home	WWWWW	86%
Away	LWLLW	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	73%	86%	62%
Points / game	102.5	106.9	98.6
Allowed / game	96.5	97.6	95.6
Point differential	+5.9	+9.3	+3.0
Avg total	199.0	204.4	194.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	57%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	7%	0%	12%

Meralco Bolts

Governors Cup 2018

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	50%
Home	LWWWL	50%
Away	WWWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	6	10
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	96.4	93.3	98.3
Allowed / game	94.2	91.5	95.8
Point differential	+2.2	+1.8	+2.5
Avg total	190.6	184.8	194.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	17%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	50% (2)	43% (7)
Overtime %	6%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Magnolia Hotshots	16	12	4	75%	102.1	94.0	+8.1
2	Alaska Aces	15	11	4	73%	102.5	96.5	+5.9
3	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	16	11	5	69%	104.9	99.1	+5.8
4	Phoenix Fuelmasters	13	8	5	62%	103.4	96.7	+6.7
5	Blackwater Elite	12	7	5	58%	105.1	106.9	-1.8
6	Meralco Bolts	16	8	8	50%	96.4	94.2	+2.2
7	San Miguel Beermen	12	6	6	50%	109.2	107.2	+1.9
8	NLEX Road Warriors	12	5	7	42%	103.0	108.2	-5.2
9	TNT Tropang Giga	11	4	7	36%	98.4	108.1	-9.7
10	Rain or Shine Elasto Painters	11	3	8	27%	95.7	100.5	-4.8
11	Global Port	11	2	9	18%	100.3	109.5	-9.2
12	Columbian Dyip	11	1	10	9%	102.1	112.2	-10.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alaska Aces	21	26	21	31	99
Meralco Bolts	28	20	12	32	92

← all games of the day

Alaska Aces vs Meralco Bolts Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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