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Alaska Aces vs NLEX Road Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 89-106
17-38 25-20 19-30 28-18
Position#7
Record5-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Position#3
Record5-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game108.9
Allowed / game103.0
PhilippinesGovernors Cup
Other2021
Meetings · Alaska Aces v NLEX Road Warriors
19 Mar 2022
ALAS80
NLEX96
23 Feb 2022
ALAS89
NLEX106
09 Nov 2020
ALAS122
NLEX119
29 May 2019
ALAS100
NLEX87
05 Apr 2019
ALAS88
NLEX80
07 Mar 2018
ALAS83
NLEX87
19 Jul 2017
ALAS104
NLEX112
25 Nov 2016
ALAS97
NLEX99
16 Sep 2016
ALAS100
NLEX85
15 Apr 2016
ALAS104
NLEX98
27 Nov 2015
ALAS89
NLEX81
02 Jun 2015
ALAS102
NLEX113
07 Feb 2015
ALAS96
NLEX95
11 Dec 2014
ALAS82
NLEX78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alaska Aces winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NLEX Road Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alaska AcesPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Terrafirma Dyip
#9
L
89-105
89
105
-16
A19/09
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#4
L
100-101
100
101
-1
H22/09
Philippine Cup
NorthPort
#5
L
94-122
94
122
-28
A23/09
Philippine Cup
NorthPort
#9
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H08/12
Governors Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#4
W
99-94
99
94
+5
A10/12
Governors Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H12/12
Governors Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A17/12
Governors Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
98-75
98
75
+23
A22/12
Governors Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#10
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H17/02
Governors Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#11
W
102-97
102
97
+5
A19/02
Governors Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
24-18
30-37
14-26
19-33
28-10
30-32
23-26
20-28
23-33
35-33
16-28
19-18
22-21
27-21
19-25
25-28
28-23
24-17
22-26
18-14
20-20
21-22
18-24
15-9
20-21
27-32
15-19
21-24
29-19
23-17
25-15
26-16
13-23
21-21
20-14
20-25
22-23
24-35
36-14
181.7Avg total
90.3Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.683.7172.3+4.971%
Season at home (3)81.379.7161.0+1.767%
Season away (4)94.086.8180.8+7.275%
Last 10 (10)90.391.4181.7-1.150%
Last 5 (5)86.881.4168.2+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)89.297.9187.1-8.612%
vs Similar (15)86.986.9173.8+0.153%
vs Weaker (7)102.488.9191.3+13.686%
This opponent (NLEX Road Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NLEX Road WarriorsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Meralco Bolts
#2
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A29/09
Philippine Cup
Meralco Bolts
#2
L
86-97
86
97
-11
H01/10
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#4
W
114-102
114
102
+12
H08/12
Governors Cup
NorthPort
#9
W
120-115 OT
120
115
+5
A10/12
Governors Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
102-100
102
100
+2
H15/12
Governors Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#11
W
116-86
116
86
+30
A18/12
Governors Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#8
L
93-102
93
102
-9
H25/12
Governors Cup
Meralco Bolts
#5
L
100-110
100
110
-10
A11/02
Governors Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#1
L
109-112
109
112
-3
H16/02
Governors Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
117-97
117
97
+20
A18/02
Governors Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
24-16
19-22
18-16
21-22
14-24
25-22
26-29
22-28
30-21
34-28
28-25
30-19
27-31
27-25
18-27
29-21
22-25
25-24
26-30
23-20
24-27
30-19
39-20
18-26
25-23
24-23
26-30
18-33
27-29
29-26
26-22
25-22
31-32
32-23
21-35
34-14
24-27
34-35
25-21
203.9Avg total
103.8Scored
100.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)108.9103.0211.9+5.962%
Season at home (4)104.5104.0208.5+0.550%
Season away (4)113.2102.0215.2+11.275%
Last 10 (10)103.8100.1203.9+3.760%
Last 5 (5)107.0101.4208.4+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)97.0106.0203.0-9.00%
vs Similar (10)98.5100.9199.4-2.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)103.092.4195.4+10.667%
This opponent (Alaska Aces) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
Alaska AcesNLEX Road Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alaska AcesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Terrafirma Dyip
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A19/09
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#4
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H22/09
Philippine Cup
NorthPort
#5
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A23/09
Philippine Cup
NorthPort
#9
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H08/12
Governors Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#4
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A10/12
Governors Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H12/12
Governors Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A17/12
Governors Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A22/12
Governors Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#10
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H17/02
Governors Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#11
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A19/02
Governors Cup
86.3Avg total
43.3Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.142.885.9+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.643.486.0-0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)43.542.485.9+1.247%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.086.3+0.370%-
Last 5 (5)40.838.879.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.244.085.2-2.850%-
vs Similar (15)42.941.184.0+1.747%-
vs Weaker (7)45.945.090.9+0.943%-
This opponent (NLEX Road Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NLEX Road WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Meralco Bolts
#2
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A29/09
Philippine Cup
Meralco Bolts
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H01/10
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#4
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H08/12
Governors Cup
NorthPort
#9
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A10/12
Governors Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H15/12
Governors Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#11
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A18/12
Governors Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H25/12
Governors Cup
Meralco Bolts
#5
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A11/02
Governors Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#1
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H16/02
Governors Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A18/02
Governors Cup
97.4Avg total
48.8Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.046.994.9+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (12)47.246.793.8+0.558%-
Last 30 away (18)48.647.095.6+1.656%-
Last 10 (10)48.848.697.4+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)49.850.6100.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)52.550.5103.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (10)47.251.298.4-4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)48.044.192.1+3.956%-
This opponent (Alaska Aces) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Alaska Aces wins
5
NLEX Road Warriors wins
Alaska Aceslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/22ATerrafirma Dyip102-97
17/02/22HRain or Shine Elasto Painters80-74
22/12/21ABlackwater Bossing98-75
17/12/21ATNT Tropang Giga77-81
12/12/21HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel77-80
10/12/21ASan Miguel Beermen99-94
08/12/21HNorthPort87-85
23/09/21ANorthPort94-122
22/09/21HSan Miguel Beermen100-101
19/09/21ATerrafirma Dyip89-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/22ABlackwater Bossing117-97
16/02/22HMagnolia Hotshots109-112
11/02/22AMeralco Bolts100-110
25/12/21HPhoenix Fuelmasters93-102
18/12/21ATerrafirma Dyip116-86
15/12/21HTNT Tropang Giga102-100
10/12/21ANorthPort120-115 OT
08/12/21HSan Miguel Beermen114-102
01/10/21HMeralco Bolts86-97
29/09/21AMeralco Bolts81-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alaska Aces
Governors Cup 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW71%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game88.681.394.0
Allowed / game83.779.786.8
Point differential+4.9+1.7+7.2
Avg total172.3161.0180.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
NLEX Road Warriors
Governors Cup 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW62%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game108.9104.5113.2
Allowed / game103.0104.0102.0
Point differential+5.9+0.5+11.2
Avg total211.9208.5215.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Magnolia Hotshots660100%108.594.0+14.5
2 Meralco Bolts65183%97.291.5+5.7
3 Alaska Aces75271%88.683.7+4.9
4 NLEX Road Warriors85362%108.9103.0+5.9
5 San Miguel Beermen74357%97.996.4+1.4
6 Phoenix Fuelmasters74357%100.0100.3-0.3
7 TNT Tropang Giga84450%94.589.5+5.0
8 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel73443%99.4103.9-4.4
9 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters83538%93.093.2-0.2
10 Terrafirma Dyip72529%97.0106.3-9.3
11 NorthPort61517%94.8101.3-6.5
12 Blackwater Bossing7070%88.3104.4-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alaska Aces1725192889
NLEX Road Warriors38203018106
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