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Alba Berlin vs Lokomotiv Kuban Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 82-92
21-17 19-22 19-31 23-22
Position#4
Record7-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#3
Record8-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeEurocupRound 10
European cup2018
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Lokomotiv Kuban
19 Dec 2018
ABE82
LKU92
05 Dec 2017
ABE84
LKU89
24 Jan 2012
ABE79
LKU84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lokomotiv Kuban winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
W
95-68
95
68
+27
H03/11
BBL
Tofas
#12
W
106-101 OT
106
101
+5
A07/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#4
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A10/11
BBL
Cedevita
#18
L
102-109
102
109
-7
H14/11
Eurocup
Bamberg
#5
W
92-88
92
88
+4
H18/11
BBL
Limoges
#17
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H21/11
Eurocup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#8
W
94-75
94
75
+19
A24/11
BBL
Frankfurt
#11
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H07/12
BBL
Gdynia
#23
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A11/12
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
81-83
81
83
-2
A16/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-10
22-14
23-32
21-12
24-17
28-15
16-32
24-28
15-27
15-16
14-17
25-20
11-32
27-29
25-18
39-30
31-25
21-24
24-27
16-12
18-21
16-23
24-13
26-19
30-20
26-19
22-23
16-13
24-18
25-21
12-10
26-25
19-12
25-21
17-19
15-12
19-23
24-22
14-24
24-14
170.4Avg total
88.6Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.683.6174.1+7.078%
Season at home (4)93.886.0179.8+7.875%
Season away (5)88.081.6169.6+6.480%
Last 10 (10)88.681.8170.4+6.870%
Last 5 (5)84.474.4158.8+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.584.4169.9+1.160%
vs Weaker (19)91.879.6171.4+12.279%
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kuban) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv KubanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H03/11
VTB United League
Gdynia
#23
W
96-72
96
72
+24
H07/11
Eurocup
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
76-93
76
93
-17
H11/11
VTB United League
Limoges
#17
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A14/11
Eurocup
Parma Perm
#12
W
93-75
93
75
+18
H18/11
VTB United League
Tofas
#12
W
105-99 OT
105
99
+6
A21/11
Eurocup
Enisey
#9
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A24/11
VTB United League
Astana
#6
L
71-90
71
90
-19
H09/12
VTB United League
Cedevita
#18
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H12/12
Eurocup
Minsk
#14
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H16/12
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
27-24
22-22
10-12
25-23
23-21
14-14
34-14
18-32
21-18
22-22
15-21
14-17
19-20
21-14
18-13
21-26
25-14
24-18
23-17
18-16
26-25
24-30
22-19
26-19
17-26
20-23
30-18
22-19
20-17
14-22
15-32
17-8
21-19
21-23
21-26
24-13
20-14
21-13
15-29
165.5Avg total
84.6Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.676.0161.6+9.689%
Season at home (5)85.673.4159.0+12.280%
Season away (4)85.579.2164.8+6.2100%
Last 10 (10)84.680.9165.5+3.770%
Last 5 (5)85.884.0169.8+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.586.0161.5-10.50%
vs Similar ◀ (3)83.777.3161.0+6.333%
vs Weaker (25)83.475.7159.1+7.768%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
Alba BerlinLokomotiv Kuban
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H03/11
BBL
Tofas
#12
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A07/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#4
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A10/11
BBL
Cedevita
#18
L
38-61
38
61
-23
H14/11
Eurocup
Bamberg
#5
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H18/11
BBL
Limoges
#17
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H21/11
Eurocup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#8
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A24/11
BBL
Frankfurt
#11
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H07/12
BBL
Gdynia
#23
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A11/12
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A16/12
BBL
85.8Avg total
44.9Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.640.685.2+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.940.485.4+4.562%-
Last 30 away (14)44.240.985.1+3.464%-
Last 10 (10)44.940.985.8+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)45.240.085.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.543.083.5-2.540%-
vs Weaker (19)46.539.786.2+6.774%-
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kuban) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv KubanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H03/11
VTB United League
Gdynia
#23
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H07/11
Eurocup
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H11/11
VTB United League
Limoges
#17
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A14/11
Eurocup
Parma Perm
#12
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H18/11
VTB United League
Tofas
#12
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A21/11
Eurocup
Enisey
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A24/11
VTB United League
Astana
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H09/12
VTB United League
Cedevita
#18
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H12/12
Eurocup
Minsk
#14
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H16/12
VTB United League
82.3Avg total
42.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.637.480.0+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.636.880.4+6.875%-
Last 30 away (14)41.438.179.5+3.457%-
Last 10 (10)42.539.882.3+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.235.277.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.542.079.5-4.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)46.345.391.7+1.033%-
vs Weaker (25)42.636.178.6+6.572%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.521.6
49.7%
51.9%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.99.8
42.6%
36.6%29.2
🏀 Free throws19.515.1
77.6%
74.9%15.1
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lokomotiv Kubantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lokomotiv Kuban: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.8
53.9%
51.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.38.4
41.5%
36.6%25.3
🏀 Free throws19.315.6
80.5%
74.9%15.6
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/9 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWWWWWLLWW
Lokomotiv Kuban
WWLWWWWLWL
#4
League position
#3
+9.0
Net rating
+16.0
112.1
Offensive rating
113.1
103.2
Defensive rating
97.1
54.6%
Effective FG%
56.8%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
17.6%
Turnover %
20.1%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
42.6%
3-point %
41.5%
76.1%
Assist %
66.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 113.1Defence103.2 · 97.1Shooting54.6% · 56.8%3-point %42.6% · 41.5%Ball care17.6% · 20.1%Off. rebounds33.1% · 34.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Lokomotiv Kuban
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alba Berlin wins
4
Lokomotiv Kuban wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/18ABayern81-83
11/12/18AGdynia76-64
07/12/18HFrankfurt87-74
24/11/18As.Oliver Wurzburg94-75
21/11/18HLimoges84-76
18/11/18HBamberg92-88
14/11/18HCedevita102-109
10/11/18AVechta69-80
07/11/18ATofas106-101 OT
03/11/18HGottingen95-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/18HMinsk80-69
12/12/18HCedevita80-76
09/12/18HAstana71-90
24/11/18AEnisey93-86
21/11/18ATofas105-99 OT
18/11/18HParma Perm93-75
14/11/18ALimoges72-64
11/11/18HCSKA Moscow76-93
07/11/18HGdynia96-72
03/11/18HBC Kalev/Cramo80-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%75%80%
Points / game90.693.888.0
Allowed / game83.686.081.6
Point differential+7.0+7.8+6.4
Avg total174.1179.8169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Lokomotiv Kuban
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW89%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%80%100%
Points / game85.685.685.5
Allowed / game76.073.479.2
Point differential+9.6+12.2+6.2
Avg total161.6159.0164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %11%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan109190%85.676.2+9.4
2 Lokomotiv Kuban98189%85.676.0+9.6
3 Valencia108280%84.675.9+8.7
4 Unicaja97278%91.181.1+10.0
5 Alba Berlin97278%90.683.6+7.0
6 Lyon-Villeurbanne107370%79.173.9+5.2
7 Monaco107370%79.675.7+3.9
8 Crvena zvezda106460%82.576.8+5.7
9 MoraBanc Andorra106460%87.084.4+2.6
10 Frankfurt106460%78.077.2+0.8
11 Cedevita105550%85.383.1+2.2
12 Rytas105550%78.478.6-0.2
13 Ulm94544%83.684.6-1.0
14 Zenit Petersburg104640%85.784.6+1.1
15 Partizan104640%75.677.1-1.5
16 Tofas104640%90.993.7-2.8
17 Turk Telekom104640%76.681.9-5.3
18 Limoges93633%79.484.3-4.9
19 Brescia93633%77.882.8-5.0
20 Galatasaray103730%78.585.3-6.8
21 Trento103730%75.884.0-8.2
22 Mornar Bar102820%77.290.5-13.3
23 Gdynia91811%74.285.2-11.0
24 Torino9090%83.689.9-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2119192382
Lokomotiv Kuban1722312292
← all games of the day
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