PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alba Berlin vs Limoges Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-76
18-21 16-23 24-13 26-19
Position#4
Record5-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game93.6
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Position#17
Record2-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game83.3
EuropeEurocupRound 8
European cup2018
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Limoges
21 Nov 2018
ABE84
LIM76
12 Dec 2017
ABE78
LIM84
07 Nov 2014
ABE89
LIM66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Limoges winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limoges
#17
W
102-93
102
93
+9
A17/10
Eurocup
Ulm
#6
W
92-74
92
74
+18
A20/10
BBL
Gdynia
#23
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H23/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H26/10
BBL
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A31/10
Eurocup
Gottingen
#14
W
95-68
95
68
+27
H03/11
BBL
Tofas
#12
W
106-101 OT
106
101
+5
A07/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#4
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A10/11
BBL
Cedevita
#18
L
102-109
102
109
-7
H14/11
Eurocup
Bamberg
#5
W
92-88
92
88
+4
H18/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
30-19
25-30
21-24
24-17
20-20
24-15
24-22
23-16
17-19
14-18
28-15
18-31
25-12
20-17
23-20
25-17
24-22
18-19
16-17
29-10
22-14
23-32
21-12
24-17
28-15
16-32
24-28
15-27
15-16
14-17
25-20
11-32
27-29
25-18
39-30
31-25
21-24
24-27
16-12
174.5Avg total
90.9Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)93.687.4181.0+6.171%
Season at home (3)97.089.3186.3+7.767%
Season away (4)91.086.0177.0+5.075%
Last 10 (10)90.983.6174.5+7.380%
Last 5 (5)92.889.2182.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)86.084.6170.6+1.467%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)95.183.5178.6+11.670%
This opponent (Limoges) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LimogesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#4
L
93-102
93
102
-9
H17/10
Eurocup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A21/10
LNB
Tofas
#12
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H23/10
Eurocup
Cholet
#15
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H27/10
LNB
Gdynia
#23
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A31/10
Eurocup
Monaco
#2
L
68-87
68
87
-19
A03/11
LNB
Cedevita
#18
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A07/11
Eurocup
Levallois
#12
L
90-98
90
98
-8
A12/11
LNB
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H14/11
Eurocup
Nanterre
#4
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H17/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
19-30
30-25
24-21
19-21
13-19
19-21
17-21
17-21
31-16
19-23
22-21
21-16
16-19
26-16
21-25
10-24
29-20
13-25
26-18
18-24
21-23
11-14
18-26
17-29
23-22
15-16
16-24
25-22
19-30
26-27
20-19
17-14
20-19
14-21
13-18
17-22
22-9
15-9
26-22
162.3Avg total
78.5Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.383.3160.6-6.029%
Season at home (4)82.080.8162.8+1.250%
Season away (3)71.086.7157.7-15.70%
Last 10 (10)78.583.8162.3-5.330%
Last 5 (5)74.682.0156.6-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.885.6158.4-12.810%
vs Similar (13)81.875.3157.1+6.569%
vs Weaker (7)85.483.1168.6+2.357%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -1.2-1.2
Alba BerlinLimoges
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limoges
#17
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A17/10
Eurocup
Ulm
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A20/10
BBL
Gdynia
#23
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H23/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H26/10
BBL
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A31/10
Eurocup
Gottingen
#14
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H03/11
BBL
Tofas
#12
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A07/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#4
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A10/11
BBL
Cedevita
#18
L
38-61
38
61
-23
H14/11
Eurocup
Bamberg
#5
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H18/11
BBL
85.7Avg total
45.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.941.187.0+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.340.687.9+6.671%-
Last 30 away (13)44.041.885.8+2.269%-
Last 10 (10)45.540.285.7+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)44.641.886.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)40.242.883.0-2.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)48.240.889.0+7.580%-
This opponent (Limoges) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LimogesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#4
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H17/10
Eurocup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A21/10
LNB
Tofas
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H23/10
Eurocup
Cholet
#15
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H27/10
LNB
Gdynia
#23
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A31/10
Eurocup
Monaco
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/11
LNB
Cedevita
#18
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A07/11
Eurocup
Levallois
#12
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A12/11
LNB
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H14/11
Eurocup
Nanterre
#4
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H17/11
LNB
82.0Avg total
39.4Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.282.0-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.238.982.1+4.380%-
Last 30 away (15)38.443.581.9-5.113%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.682.0-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.882.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.144.181.2-7.020%-
vs Similar (13)42.838.981.8+3.969%-
vs Weaker (7)42.341.483.7+0.943%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.021.0
50.0%
51.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.010.7
46.4%
36.6%32.0
🏀 Free throws21.516.5
76.7%
74.9%16.5
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Limogestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limoges: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.0
50.4%
51.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.39.1
41.0%
36.6%27.4
🏀 Free throws13.19.3
70.7%
74.9%9.3
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/7 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLLWWWWWWW
Limoges
WLLLLLWWLL
#4
League position
#17
+7.7
Net rating
-7.4
116.5
Offensive rating
104.6
108.7
Defensive rating
112.0
56.9%
Effective FG%
54.4%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
15.9%
Turnover %
18.7%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.21
46.4%
3-point %
41.0%
76.3%
Assist %
61.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.5 · 104.6Defence108.7 · 112.0Shooting56.9% · 54.4%3-point %46.4% · 41.0%Ball care15.9% · 18.7%Off. rebounds30.1% · 27.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Limoges
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alba Berlin wins
1
Limoges wins
DateGameScore
17/10/18Limoges v Alba Berlin93-102
12/12/17Alba Berlin v Limoges78-84
24/10/17Limoges v Alba Berlin65-73
12/12/14Limoges v Alba Berlin65-71
07/11/14Alba Berlin v Limoges89-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/18HBamberg92-88
14/11/18HCedevita102-109
10/11/18AVechta69-80
07/11/18ATofas106-101 OT
03/11/18HGottingen95-68
31/10/18ALokomotiv Kuban83-75
26/10/18HLudwigsburg86-80
23/10/18HGdynia82-68
20/10/18AUlm92-74
17/10/18ALimoges102-93
Limogeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/18HNanterre80-62
14/11/18HLokomotiv Kuban64-72
12/11/18ALevallois90-98
07/11/18ACedevita71-91
03/11/18AMonaco68-87
31/10/18AGdynia78-87
27/10/18HCholet84-76
23/10/18HTofas89-81
21/10/18ALyon-Villeurbanne68-82
17/10/18HAlba Berlin93-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game93.697.091.0
Allowed / game87.489.386.0
Point differential+6.1+7.7+5.0
Avg total181.0186.3177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Limoges
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game77.382.071.0
Allowed / game83.380.886.7
Point differential-6.0+1.2-15.7
Avg total160.6162.8157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lokomotiv Kuban87188%86.276.0+10.2
2 Unics Kazan76186%87.977.3+10.6
3 Unicaja76186%89.381.0+8.3
4 Valencia86275%81.873.4+8.4
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne86275%79.072.5+6.5
6 Monaco86275%80.074.9+5.1
7 Alba Berlin75271%93.687.4+6.1
8 Cedevita85362%85.681.9+3.8
9 MoraBanc Andorra85362%87.984.5+3.4
10 Frankfurt85362%78.577.1+1.4
11 Zenit Petersburg84450%85.983.1+2.8
12 Crvena zvezda84450%77.877.2+0.5
13 Galatasaray73443%80.984.1-3.3
14 Rytas83538%76.577.9-1.4
15 Ulm83538%83.085.1-2.1
16 Tofas83538%90.193.4-3.2
17 Turk Telekom83538%76.281.9-5.6
18 Trento83538%74.882.6-7.9
19 Brescia72529%77.982.4-4.6
20 Limoges72529%77.383.3-6.0
21 Mornar Bar72529%78.090.9-12.9
22 Partizan82625%73.978.0-4.1
23 Gdynia81712%75.586.4-10.9
24 Torino7070%83.489.4-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1816242684
Limoges2123131976
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.