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Tofas vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 101-106 (OT)
17-24 15-28 32-16 28-24 9-14
Position#12
Record2-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game91.8
vs
Position#4
Record4-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game80.4
EuropeEurocupRound 6
European cup2018
Meetings · Tofas v Alba Berlin
20 Jan 2026
TOF90
ABE94
07 Nov 2018
TOF101
ABE106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#4
L
91-107
91
107
-16
A02/10
Eurocup
Karsiyaka
#11
W
82-55
82
55
+27
A06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gdynia
#23
W
96-79
96
79
+17
H10/10
Eurocup
Istanbul BB
#14
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A17/10
Eurocup
Afyon Belediye
#13
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Limoges
#17
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A23/10
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#3
W
97-82
97
82
+15
H27/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cedevita
#18
W
94-89
94
89
+5
H31/10
Eurocup
Darussafaka
#9
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A04/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
35-25
21-19
16-33
19-11
24-8
18-11
21-25
18-14
26-27
13-17
39-21
8-16
24-10
22-12
19-23
18-22
20-20
14-26
20-27
22-28
28-26
9-25
26-17
21-17
16-31
23-19
21-22
26-27
22-21
26-20
23-14
20-25
30-28
24-14
20-22
24-16
14-22
25-17
19-23
168.4Avg total
85.3Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.891.8178.6-5.040%
Season at home (2)95.084.0179.0+11.0100%
Season away (3)81.397.0178.3-15.70%
Last 10 (10)85.383.1168.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)87.886.8174.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)76.895.8172.5-19.012%
vs Similar (10)86.781.7168.4+5.070%
vs Weaker (12)88.975.6164.5+13.392%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#12
W
107-91
107
91
+16
H02/10
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#15
W
88-68
88
68
+20
H07/10
German Cup
Cedevita
#18
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A10/10
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
115-76
115
76
+39
H12/10
BBL
Limoges
#17
W
102-93
102
93
+9
A17/10
Eurocup
Ulm
#6
W
92-74
92
74
+18
A20/10
BBL
Gdynia
#23
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H23/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H26/10
BBL
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A31/10
Eurocup
Gottingen
#14
W
95-68
95
68
+27
H03/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-19
25-35
19-21
33-16
19-19
31-15
14-17
24-17
21-22
15-16
14-18
23-19
33-15
20-16
27-22
35-23
26-20
30-19
25-30
21-24
24-17
20-20
24-15
24-22
23-16
17-19
14-18
28-15
18-31
25-12
20-17
23-20
25-17
24-22
18-19
16-17
29-10
22-14
23-32
21-12
169.1Avg total
92.3Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.480.4169.8+9.080%
Season at home (2)94.579.5174.0+15.0100%
Season away (3)86.081.0167.0+5.067%
Last 10 (10)92.376.8169.1+15.590%
Last 5 (5)87.673.0160.6+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)87.084.7171.7+2.370%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)96.678.7175.3+17.979%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +6.3+6.3
TofasAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#4
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A02/10
Eurocup
Karsiyaka
#11
W
43-19
43
19
+24
A06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gdynia
#23
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H10/10
Eurocup
Istanbul BB
#14
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A17/10
Eurocup
Afyon Belediye
#13
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Limoges
#17
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A23/10
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#3
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H27/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cedevita
#18
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H31/10
Eurocup
Darussafaka
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A04/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.8Avg total
43.4Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.683.9+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.441.688.0+4.877%-
Last 30 away (17)39.241.680.8-2.429%-
Last 10 (10)43.442.485.8+1.030%-
Last 5 (5)44.648.292.8-3.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.146.885.9-7.612%-
vs Similar (10)42.243.585.7-1.340%-
vs Weaker (12)44.636.681.2+8.083%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#12
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H02/10
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H07/10
German Cup
Cedevita
#18
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A10/10
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H12/10
BBL
Limoges
#17
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A17/10
Eurocup
Ulm
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A20/10
BBL
Gdynia
#23
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H23/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H26/10
BBL
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A31/10
Eurocup
Gottingen
#14
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H03/11
BBL
85.1Avg total
47.7Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.940.387.2+6.573%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.738.887.5+9.976%-
Last 30 away (13)44.542.386.8+2.269%-
Last 10 (10)47.737.485.1+10.380%-
Last 5 (5)45.435.681.0+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)41.543.084.5-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)49.539.388.8+10.384%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.6
54.3%
51.9%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.29.4
42.3%
36.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.214.2
74.0%
74.9%14.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.6
49.2%
51.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.011.2
46.7%
36.6%33.6
🏀 Free throws19.815.4
77.8%
74.9%15.4
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WWWLLLWWWL
Alba Berlin
WWWWWWWLWW
#12
League position
#4
-7.1
Net rating
+10.7
111.9
Offensive rating
114.8
119.0
Defensive rating
104.1
57.6%
Effective FG%
57.1%
61.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.9%
21.8%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
42.3%
3-point %
46.7%
66.5%
Assist %
77.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 114.8Defence119.0 · 104.1Shooting57.6% · 57.1%3-point %42.3% · 46.7%Ball care16.2% · 16.9%Off. rebounds21.8% · 29.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Tofas   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tofas wins
1
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
02/10/18Alba Berlin v Tofas107-91
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/18ADarussafaka82-78
31/10/18HCedevita94-89
27/10/18HGalatasaray97-82
23/10/18ALimoges81-89
20/10/18AAfyon Belediye85-96
17/10/18ALokomotiv Kuban72-95
13/10/18HIstanbul BB73-61
10/10/18HGdynia96-79
06/10/18AKarsiyaka82-55
02/10/18AAlba Berlin91-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/18HGottingen95-68
31/10/18ALokomotiv Kuban83-75
26/10/18HLudwigsburg86-80
23/10/18HGdynia82-68
20/10/18AUlm92-74
17/10/18ALimoges102-93
12/10/18HCrailsheim Merlins115-76
10/10/18ACedevita73-75
07/10/18HBayreuth88-68
02/10/18HTofas107-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game86.895.081.3
Allowed / game91.884.097.0
Point differential-5.0+11.0-15.7
Avg total178.6179.0178.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game89.494.586.0
Allowed / game80.479.581.0
Point differential+9.0+15.0+5.0
Avg total169.8174.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan65183%88.076.7+11.3
2 Lyon-Villeurbanne65183%78.770.5+8.2
3 Crvena zvezda54180%77.468.2+9.2
4 Alba Berlin54180%89.480.4+9.0
5 Lokomotiv Kuban54180%83.474.6+8.8
6 Unicaja54180%89.282.6+6.6
7 Monaco54180%77.071.4+5.6
8 Valencia64267%80.773.8+6.8
9 Frankfurt64267%80.878.3+2.5
10 Rytas53260%78.475.2+3.2
11 Zenit Petersburg63350%85.582.0+3.5
12 Turk Telekom63350%74.878.5-3.7
13 MoraBanc Andorra52340%87.687.2+0.4
14 Cedevita52340%78.279.0-0.8
15 Limoges52340%81.284.0-2.8
16 Ulm52340%83.888.0-4.2
17 Galatasaray52340%80.485.0-4.6
18 Tofas52340%86.891.8-5.0
19 Partizan62433%76.580.0-3.5
20 Brescia51420%77.283.6-6.4
21 Gdynia51420%73.682.8-9.2
22 Trento61517%69.580.8-11.3
23 Mornar Bar61517%76.792.2-15.5
24 Torino6060%83.590.0-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Tofas171532289101
Alba Berlin2428162414106
← all games of the day
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