PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alba Berlin vs Oldenburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 98-78
29-18 17-20 25-23 27-17
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game73.0
Alba Berlin 🏆
Germany
vs
Oldenburg
Germany
Position#3
Record3-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game68.0
GermanyGerman CupGerman Cup - Semi-finals· SAP Garden
Other2025-26Neutral venue
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Oldenburg
07 Feb 2027
ABE v OLD
upcoming
05 Apr 2026
ABE79
OLD81
21 Feb 2026
ABE98
OLD78
28 Sep 2024
ABE105
OLD70
03 Mar 2024
ABE85
OLD67
11 Feb 2023
ABE89
OLD81
12 Apr 2022
ABE92
OLD86
09 Mar 2021
ABE81
OLD89
25 Oct 2020
ABE v OLD
upcoming
24 Jun 2020
ABE81
OLD59
23 Nov 2019
ABE90
OLD77
10 Mar 2019
ABE78
OLD94
17 May 2018
ABE85
OLD68
12 May 2018
ABE96
OLD79
05 May 2018
ABE114
OLD88
14 Feb 2018
ABE91
OLD83
29 Dec 2016
ABE81
OLD63
19 Mar 2016
ABE93
OLD95
15 May 2015
ABE87
OLD77
10 May 2015
ABE95
OLD90
15 Feb 2015
ABE83
OLD89
03 Jan 2014
ABE89
OLD65
21 Dec 2012
ABE81
OLD89
06 Nov 2011
ABE97
OLD67
15 May 2011
ABE99
OLD68
07 May 2011
ABE86
OLD99
30 Apr 2011
ABE95
OLD68
31 Oct 2010
ABE77
OLD75
18 Oct 2009
ABE69
OLD67
09 May 2009
ABE89
OLD82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oldenburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#7
W
95-83
95
83
+12
no box
A17/01
BBL
Tofas
#27
W
94-90
94
90
+4
94avg 81
A20/01
Champions League
Bamberg
#2
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
74avg 81
H25/01
BBL
AEK Athens
#1
L
80-88
80
88
-8
73avg 81
A28/01
Champions League
Trier
#12
W
99-92
99
92
+7
87avg 81
A02/02
BBL
AS Karditsas
#32
W
84-80
84
80
+4
80avg 81
H04/02
Champions League
Vechta
#7
W
84-82
84
82
+2
76avg 81
H08/02
BBL
Tofas
#27
W
69-60
69
60
+9
69avg 81
H10/02
Champions League
Bamberg
#2
W
98-92
98
92
+6
97avg 81
A15/02
BBL
Hamburg
#14
L
87-93
87
93
-6
72avg 81
H17/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
28-28
28-19
15-22
12-20
22-23
26-25
34-22
20-21
18-16
21-16
17-23
26-22
20-20
24-22
10-24
26-32
21-22
26-19
26-19
15-24
25-19
17-21
27-16
21-20
25-26
16-16
22-20
11-18
22-15
18-14
18-13
32-26
25-26
17-25
24-15
14-23
17-22
22-32
34-16
171.9Avg total
87.7Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.573.0163.5+17.5100%
Season at home (2)90.573.0163.5+17.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.784.2171.9+3.580%
Last 5 (5)84.481.4165.8+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.061.0128.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (5)86.284.0170.2+2.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)87.978.5166.4+9.483%
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OldenburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOldenburg
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
93-68
93
68
+25
88avg 79
A21/12
BBL
Hamburg
#14
W
94-69
94
69
+25
89avg 79
A27/12
BBL
Vechta
#7
W
96-79
96
79
+17
89avg 79
A29/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
76-73
76
73
+3
70avg 79
H04/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 79
H10/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
L
78-80
78
80
-2
no box
A16/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
W
89-72
89
72
+17
82avg 79
H24/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
90-84
90
84
+6
82avg 79
A30/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
102-88
102
88
+14
97avg 79
H14/02
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
72-101
72
101
-29
55avg 79
A18/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
24-10
24-18
23-21
20-17
20-17
26-18
28-17
26-23
19-20
17-20
34-16
11-20
25-16
28-14
12-23
23-18
24-23
24-17
20-26
21-32
23-19
17-16
17-13
23-23
16-24
20-16
30-9
15-28
21-20
29-18
25-18
23-24
33-18
19-18
27-28
8-31
24-21
23-25
17-24
167.9Avg total
88.1Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.768.0144.7+8.7100%
Season at home (1)61.060.0121.0+1.0100%
Season away (2)84.572.0156.5+12.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.179.8167.9+8.380%
Last 5 (5)86.285.0171.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)82.396.0178.3-13.717%
vs Similar (16)86.881.2168.1+5.669%
vs Weaker (6)90.385.0175.3+5.350%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +3.8+3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +3.8+3.8
Alba BerlinOldenburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#7
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A17/01
BBL
Tofas
#27
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A20/01
Champions League
Bamberg
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H25/01
BBL
AEK Athens
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A28/01
Champions League
Trier
#12
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A02/02
BBL
AS Karditsas
#32
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H04/02
Champions League
Vechta
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H08/02
BBL
Tofas
#27
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H10/02
Champions League
Bamberg
#2
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A15/02
BBL
Hamburg
#14
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H17/02
BBL
86.1Avg total
42.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.282.1+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.638.779.2+1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)43.641.985.4+1.757%-
Last 10 (10)42.443.786.1-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.885.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.038.073.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (5)46.843.490.2+3.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)41.339.580.8+1.948%-
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OldenburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A21/12
BBL
Hamburg
#14
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A27/12
BBL
Vechta
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A29/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H04/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H10/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A16/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H24/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A30/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H14/02
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A18/02
BBL
84.4Avg total
42.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.143.086.0+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.343.388.6+2.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.842.783.5-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.384.4-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.448.089.4-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)41.745.887.5-4.233%-
vs Similar (16)43.242.685.8+0.650%-
vs Weaker (6)43.744.388.0-0.750%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
44%
37%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.0
52.4%
51.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.2
31.2%
33.8%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.719.0
80.2%
72.3%19.0
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oldenburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oldenburg: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
44%
37%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.8
55.5%
51.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.212.1
44.5%
33.8%36.3
🏀 Free throws15.411.6
75.3%
72.3%11.6
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWWWWWLWWW
Oldenburg
LWWWLWWWWW
#2
League position
#3
+5.1
Net rating
+9.7
97.7
Offensive rating
112.2
92.7
Defensive rating
102.5
49.9%
Effective FG%
60.3%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
14.6%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.2%
3-point %
44.5%
65.4%
Assist %
52.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 112.2Defence92.7 · 102.5Shooting49.9% · 60.3%3-point %31.2% · 44.5%Ball care14.6% · 16.4%Off. rebounds- · 29.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Oldenburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Alba Berlin wins
3
Oldenburg wins
DateGameScore
04/01/26Oldenburg v Alba Berlin76-73
27/01/25Oldenburg v Alba Berlin97-92
28/09/24Alba Berlin v Oldenburg105-70
03/03/24Alba Berlin v Oldenburg85-67
17/12/23Oldenburg v Alba Berlin85-90
11/02/23Alba Berlin v Oldenburg89-81
09/10/22Oldenburg v Alba Berlin81-89
12/04/22Alba Berlin v Oldenburg92-86
17/10/21Oldenburg v Alba Berlin74-92
09/03/21Alba Berlin v Oldenburg81-89
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/26HHamburg87-93
15/02/26ABamberg98-92
10/02/26HTofas69-60
08/02/26HVechta84-82
04/02/26HAS Karditsas84-80
02/02/26ATrier99-92
28/01/26AAEK Athens80-88
25/01/26HBamberg87-82 OT
20/01/26ATofas94-90
17/01/26AVechta95-83
Oldenburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26AUlm72-101
14/02/26HLudwigsburg102-88
30/01/26ASyntainics MBC90-84
24/01/26HChemnitz89-72
16/01/26AHeidelberg78-80
10/01/26HSyntainics MBC91-84
04/01/26HAlba Berlin76-73
29/12/25AVechta96-79
27/12/25AHamburg94-69
21/12/25ABasketball Braunschweig93-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
German Cup 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game90.590.5-
Allowed / game73.073.0-
Point differential+17.5+17.5-
Avg total163.5163.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Oldenburg
German Cup 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game76.761.084.5
Allowed / game68.060.072.0
Point differential+8.7+1.0+12.5
Avg total144.7121.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin220100%90.573.0+17.5
2 Bamberg440100%93.582.5+11.0
3 Oldenburg330100%76.768.0+8.7
4 Bayern32167%97.382.3+15.0
5 Trier32167%91.384.3+7.0
6 Vechta32167%79.376.0+3.3
7 Jena32167%81.082.7-1.7
8 Rostock21150%90.081.0+9.0
9 Heidelberg21150%74.072.5+1.5
10 Ludwigsburg21150%87.089.0-2.0
11 Bonn21150%90.595.5-5.0
12 Wurzburg1010%60.061.0-1.0
13 Chemnitz1010%86.089.0-3.0
14 Frankfurt1010%96.0101.0-5.0
15 Hamburg1010%89.094.0-5.0
16 Crailsheim Merlins1010%78.085.0-7.0
17 Gottingen1010%84.091.0-7.0
18 Giessen1010%70.080.0-10.0
19 Phoenix Hagen1010%82.0101.0-19.0
20 Tubingen1010%67.087.0-20.0
21 Bremerhaven1010%75.097.0-22.0
22 Ulm1010%68.090.0-22.0
23 Syntainics MBC1010%78.0105.0-27.0
24 Basketball Braunschweig1010%64.099.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2917252798
Oldenburg1820231778
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.