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Tofas vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 20 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-94
20-12 23-22 25-26 22-34
Position#27
Record5-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game85.9
vs
Position#11
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game80.5
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 1
European cup2025
Meetings · Tofas v Alba Berlin
20 Jan 2026
TOF90
ABE94
07 Nov 2018
TOF101
ABE106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Manisa
#11
W
80-62
80
62
+18
78avg 82
H13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trapani
#25
W
99-93 OT
99
93
+6
101avg 82
H16/12
Champions League
Besiktas
#2
L
72-73
72
73
-1
65avg 82
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
92-82
92
82
+10
83avg 82
H26/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
94avg 82
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#23
W
89-75
89
75
+14
86avg 82
H06/01
Champions League
Cholet
#23
L
86-105
86
105
-19
75avg 82
A09/01
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#14
W
82-76
82
76
+6
84avg 82
A11/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#23
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
H14/01
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
no box
A18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
16-12
29-8
21-21
18-28
24-18
20-19
22-19
13-19
22-14
15-21
22-19
17-22
20-22
25-24
30-14
37-28
13-21
18-15
24-28
26-18
18-22
18-12
27-23
16-25
20-28
24-24
26-28
17-23
23-16
25-14
17-23
23-15
19-18
20-19
22-30
23-19
15-26
21-23
23-22
171.2Avg total
86.7Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.885.9169.7-2.156%
Season at home (5)85.283.4168.6+1.880%
Season away (4)82.089.0171.0-7.025%
Last 10 (10)86.784.5171.2+2.260%
Last 5 (5)84.685.6170.2-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)80.981.6162.5-0.755%
vs Similar (13)84.084.8168.8-0.838%
vs Weaker (6)90.381.8172.2+8.583%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
100-91
100
91
+9
107avg 81
A09/12
Champions League
Hamburg
#14
L
80-99
80
99
-19
69avg 81
A14/12
BBL
Sabah Baku
#37
W
106-82
106
82
+24
105avg 81
H16/12
Champions League
Ulm
#6
L
66-67
66
67
-1
61avg 81
H20/12
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
80-66
80
66
+14
74avg 81
A26/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
80-47
80
47
+33
72avg 81
H29/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
104-73
104
73
+31
108avg 81
H31/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
L
73-76
73
76
-3
66avg 81
A04/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
87-62
87
62
+25
81avg 81
H11/01
BBL
Vechta
#7
W
95-83
95
83
+12
no box
A17/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
22-25
24-18
29-24
17-18
21-31
22-23
20-27
25-24
17-22
33-12
31-24
22-21
24-16
8-16
12-14
19-16
23-8
22-16
16-26
11-16
30-6
18-14
21-11
18-16
24-15
32-24
30-18
20-11
16-25
14-28
23-12
18-16
27-10
17-24
25-12
24-14
28-28
28-19
15-22
161.7Avg total
87.1Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.580.5172.0+11.083%
Season at home (3)92.080.3172.3+11.767%
Season away (3)91.080.7171.7+10.3100%
Last 10 (10)87.174.6161.7+12.570%
Last 5 (5)87.868.2156.0+19.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.061.0128.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (6)78.583.3161.8-4.817%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)89.477.0166.3+12.482%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
TofasAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manisa
#11
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trapani
#25
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H16/12
Champions League
Besiktas
#2
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H26/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#23
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H06/01
Champions League
Cholet
#23
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A09/01
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#14
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A11/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#23
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H14/01
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
80.9Avg total
39.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.882.8+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.839.782.5+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)41.141.983.0-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)39.441.580.9-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.082.0-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.840.580.3-0.645%-
vs Similar (13)41.541.082.5+0.531%-
vs Weaker (6)46.841.288.0+5.7100%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A09/12
Champions League
Hamburg
#14
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A14/12
BBL
Sabah Baku
#37
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H16/12
Champions League
Ulm
#6
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H20/12
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A26/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H29/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H31/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A04/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H11/01
BBL
Vechta
#7
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A17/01
BBL
79.3Avg total
43.1Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.581.5+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.937.280.2+5.765%-
Last 30 away (13)43.140.283.3+2.862%-
Last 10 (10)43.136.279.3+6.960%-
Last 5 (5)43.231.474.6+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.038.073.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (6)41.342.784.0-1.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.037.381.3+6.773%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.3
55.3%
52.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.3
35.4%
33.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws24.817.6
71.0%
74.1%17.6
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.1
53.8%
52.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.8
38.3%
33.8%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.714.9
72.0%
74.1%14.9
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LWWLWLWLWW
Alba Berlin
WWLWWWLWLW
#27
League position
#11
+2.7
Net rating
+14.9
107.0
Offensive rating
112.5
104.3
Defensive rating
97.6
54.4%
Effective FG%
55.4%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
17.3%
Turnover %
19.0%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
35.9%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.4%
3-point %
38.3%
74.0%
Assist %
70.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 112.5Defence104.3 · 97.6Shooting54.4% · 55.4%3-point %35.4% · 38.3%Ball care17.3% · 19.0%Off. rebounds27.6% · 35.9%Free throws0.39 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Tofas   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tofas wins
2
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
07/11/18Tofas v Alba Berlin101-106 OT
02/10/18Alba Berlin v Tofas107-91
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26AFenerbahce82-90
14/01/26HCholet84-82
11/01/26APetkim Spor82-76
09/01/26ACholet86-105
06/01/26HCholet89-75
02/01/26AKarsiyaka101-107 OT
26/12/25HBahcesehir Kol.92-82
20/12/25ABesiktas72-73
16/12/25HTrapani99-93 OT
13/12/25HManisa80-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AVechta95-83
11/01/26HHeidelberg87-62
04/01/26AOldenburg73-76
31/12/25HBasketball Braunschweig104-73
29/12/25HLudwigsburg80-47
26/12/25ARostock80-66
20/12/25HUlm66-67
16/12/25HSabah Baku106-82
14/12/25AHamburg80-99
09/12/25AChalon/Saone100-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Champions League 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW56%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game83.885.282.0
Allowed / game85.983.489.0
Point differential-2.1+1.8-7.0
Avg total169.7168.6171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%20%0%
Alba Berlin
Champions League 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game91.592.091.0
Allowed / game80.580.380.7
Point differential+11.0+11.7+10.3
Avg total172.0172.3171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja660100%95.872.5+23.3
2 Gran Canaria660100%86.370.8+15.5
3 Joventut Badalona660100%88.575.8+12.7
4 Chalon/Saone1110191%93.483.6+9.7
5 Alba Berlin65183%91.580.5+11.0
6 AEK Athens65183%82.371.8+10.5
7 Galatasaray65183%89.079.0+10.0
8 Tenerife64267%86.579.0+7.5
9 Wurzburg96367%81.774.6+7.1
10 Murcia32167%89.783.7+6.0
11 Rytas64267%94.089.0+5.0
12 Bakken Bears32167%88.086.0+2.0
13 Antwerp Giants32167%72.775.3-2.7
14 Levice127558%79.279.8-0.6
15 Hapoel Holon74357%81.375.1+6.1
16 Tofas95456%83.885.9-2.1
17 Le Mans84450%86.176.0+10.1
18 Reggiana21150%88.584.0+4.5
19 Den Bosch21150%78.575.0+3.5
20 Juventus21150%87.085.0+2.0
21 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%81.082.5-1.5
22 PAOK21150%76.079.5-3.5
23 AS Karditsas84450%79.284.5-5.2
24 FC Porto21150%81.089.5-8.5
25 Mersin SK84450%80.088.6-8.6
26 Cholet94544%89.087.0+2.0
27 Szolnoki Olaj94544%76.476.4+0.0
28 Trieste94544%83.384.0-0.7
29 Trapani73443%75.179.1-4.0
30 Spartak Subotica83538%78.279.4-1.1
31 Nymburk83538%82.885.0-2.2
32 Heidelberg83538%79.582.1-2.6
33 Promitheas83538%80.186.5-6.4
34 Legia62433%78.077.8+0.2
35 Bnei Herzliya62433%84.890.5-5.7
36 Bursaspor93633%76.883.0-6.2
37 Sabah Baku61517%81.090.7-9.7
38 VEF Riga61517%68.580.0-11.5
39 Igokea61517%75.387.0-11.7
40 Benfica61517%71.592.2-20.7
41 Kutaisi1010%81.084.0-3.0
42 Szombathely1010%79.083.0-4.0
43 Basketball Braunschweig1010%74.081.0-7.0
44 CSM Oradea1010%71.079.0-8.0
45 Rilski Sportist1010%84.093.0-9.0
46 Oostende6060%81.092.7-11.7
47 Pelister1010%87.099.0-12.0
48 Studentski Centar1010%67.079.0-12.0
49 Trepca1010%68.080.0-12.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%89.0103.0-14.0
51 Lublin1010%84.0100.0-16.0
52 AEK Larnaca1010%69.090.0-21.0
53 Fribourg Olympic1010%80.0107.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 53 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2023252290
Alba Berlin1222263494
← all games of the day
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