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Alcorn State vs Indiana State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-74
36-16 45-58
Position#348
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.4
Allowed / game87.7
vs
Position#311
Record4-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game71.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alcorn State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alcorn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A07/03
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A08/03
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A14/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
76-108
76
108
-32
A05/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A07/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
50-95
50
95
-45
A08/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
64-84
64
84
-20
A12/11
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A14/11
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
81-107
81
107
-26
A19/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
53-72
53
72
-19
A23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-32
45-32
33-30
32-33
21-24
39-45
44-58
32-50
40-34
30-42
17-48
33-47
27-33
37-51
23-28
41-44
44-50
37-57
33-35
20-37
146.5Avg total
65.5Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)65.487.7153.1-22.30%
Season at homeno games
Season away (7)65.487.7153.1-22.30%
Last 10 (10)65.581.0146.5-15.520%
Last 5 (5)62.486.0148.4-23.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)65.780.4146.1-14.812%
vs Similar (10)69.167.4136.5+1.750%
vs Weaker (4)75.556.5132.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#214
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A26/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
95-77
95
77
+18
H02/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
85-86
85
86
-1
A06/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
76-92
76
92
-16
A04/11
NCAA
Illinois Tech
#508
W
104-73
104
73
+31
H07/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A11/11
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
62-100
62
100
-38
A15/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H20/11
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H23/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-39
35-46
52-31
43-46
43-47
42-39
37-45
39-47
59-43
45-30
32-32
32-23
32-51
30-49
30-25
30-26
27-28
43-24
26-37
47-38
151.0Avg total
76.4Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.771.1143.9+1.657%
Season at home (3)78.058.7136.7+19.3100%
Season away (4)68.880.5149.2-11.825%
Last 10 (10)76.474.6151.0+1.850%
Last 5 (5)65.866.6132.4-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.082.7151.7-13.718%
vs Similar (15)81.378.3159.7+3.053%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)86.266.8153.0+19.575%
This opponent (Alcorn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -6.3-6.31st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: -9.2-9.22nd half: +1.8+1.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -6.3-6.31st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: -9.2-9.22nd half: +1.8+1.8
Alcorn StateIndiana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Alcorn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miss. Valley St.
#370
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A07/03
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
L
21-24
21
24
-3
A14/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A05/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A07/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
17-48
17
48
-31
A08/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A12/11
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
23-28
23
28
-5
A14/11
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A19/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A23/11
NCAA
68.1Avg total
30.9Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.034.866.9-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (9)33.428.962.3+4.667%-
Last 30 away (21)31.437.468.8-6.029%-
Last 10 (10)30.937.268.1-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)28.838.867.6-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.239.370.6-8.125%-
vs Similar (10)32.031.163.1+0.950%-
vs Weaker (4)35.226.261.5+9.075%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#214
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A26/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H02/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A06/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A04/11
NCAA
Illinois Tech
#508
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A11/11
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A15/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H20/11
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H23/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A27/11
NCAA
75.6Avg total
37.8Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.938.375.1-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.332.970.1+4.457%-
Last 30 away (16)36.543.079.5-6.519%-
Last 10 (10)37.837.875.6+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)29.434.664.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.041.373.3-9.318%-
vs Similar (15)38.136.774.8+1.547%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)45.536.081.5+9.550%-
This opponent (Alcorn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alcorn State wins
0
Indiana State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25AOklahoma53-72
19/11/25ALSU81-107
14/11/25AHoward64-72
12/11/25AMaryland64-84
08/11/25AMinnesota50-95
07/11/25ASouth Alabama70-76
05/11/25AFlorida State76-108
14/03/25ABethune-Cookman60-69
08/03/25AArkansas-Pine Bluff65-63
07/03/25AMiss. Valley St.72-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25ALouisiana Tech73-75
23/11/25HBall State70-52
20/11/25HLouisiana Tech60-51
15/11/25ADuke62-100
11/11/25ASiu Edwardsville64-55
07/11/25HIllinois Tech104-73
04/11/25ACharlotte76-92
06/03/25ASouthern Illinois85-86
02/03/25HSouthern Illinois95-77
26/02/25AMurray State75-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alcorn State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
Home--
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games7-7
Win %0%-0%
Points / game65.4-65.4
Allowed / game87.7-87.7
Point differential-22.3--22.3
Avg total153.1-153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Indiana State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game72.778.068.8
Allowed / game71.158.780.5
Point differential+1.6+19.3-11.8
Avg total143.9136.7149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs43175%68.271.8-3.5
2 Prairie View A&M73443%77.777.4+0.3
3 Grambling St.73443%71.774.6-2.9
4 Alabama State83538%81.482.4-1.0
5 Southern Univ.62433%93.783.8+9.8
6 Bethune-Cookman72529%75.478.6-3.1
7 Texas Southern61517%74.387.5-13.2
8 Miss. Valley St.81712%71.291.2-20.0
9 Alcorn State7070%65.487.7-22.3
10 Arkansas-Pine Bluff8080%69.298.1-28.9
11 Florida A&M4040%64.094.5-30.5
12 Jackson State6060%60.899.0-38.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont87188%81.568.4+13.1
2 Northern Iowa76186%70.458.4+12.0
3 Illinois State75271%79.966.1+13.7
4 Drake64267%78.863.0+15.8
5 Valparaiso64267%67.870.3-2.5
6 Murray State85362%89.480.5+8.9
7 Illinois (Chi.)74357%81.073.7+7.3
8 Indiana State74357%72.771.1+1.6
9 Bradley84450%75.671.0+4.6
10 Southern Illinois73443%80.073.1+6.9
11 Evansville83538%69.873.0-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Alcorn State364581
Indiana State165874
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