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South Alabama vs Alcorn State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 76-70
34-40 42-30
Position#120
Record1-0
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#348
Record0-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game108.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · South Alabama v Alcorn State
06 Nov 2025
SOUT76
ALCO70
29 Nov 2024
SOUT74
ALCO65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alcorn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
84-59
84
59
+25
A06/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A08/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
91-82 OT
91
82
+9
H14/02
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
70-65 OT
70
65
+5
H15/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A20/02
NCAA
Texas State
#207
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
A22/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A27/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
65-42
65
42
+23
H01/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H09/03
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A04/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-20
41-39
30-36
35-44
42-36
35-41
32-29
28-31
25-21
35-35
36-36
46-46
46-36
42-46
31-20
34-22
34-37
37-37
39-26
37-48
146.9Avg total
76.2Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.074.0150.0+2.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)76.074.0150.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.270.7146.9+5.570%
Last 5 (5)78.473.0151.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)67.968.5136.4-0.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)73.564.4137.9+9.170%
This opponent (Alcorn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alcorn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
86-39
86
39
+47
H11/02
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A15/02
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A18/02
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A22/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H01/03
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
L
59-75
59
75
-16
H04/03
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A07/03
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A08/03
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A14/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
76-108
76
108
-32
A05/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-16
42-23
39-30
39-44
34-42
42-43
21-35
42-36
42-27
29-28
24-38
35-37
27-32
45-32
33-30
32-33
21-24
39-45
44-58
32-50
140.9Avg total
70.6Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.0108.0184.0-32.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)76.0108.0184.0-32.00%
Last 10 (10)70.670.3140.9+0.350%
Last 5 (5)66.475.8142.2-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)62.978.3141.2-15.513%
vs Similar (11)68.368.3136.5+0.045%
vs Weaker (4)75.556.5132.0+19.0100%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +0.6+0.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +0.6+0.6
South AlabamaAlcorn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
43-20
43
20
+23
A06/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H14/02
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H15/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
25-21
25
21
+4
A20/02
NCAA
Texas State
#207
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A22/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A27/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H01/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/03
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A04/11
NCAA
65.5Avg total
35.8Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.629.865.4+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.630.167.8+7.576%-
Last 30 away (13)32.829.562.3+3.454%-
Last 10 (10)35.829.765.5+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)37.231.068.2+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)34.529.463.9+5.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)34.430.765.1+3.765%-
This opponent (Alcorn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alcorn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
44-16
44
16
+28
H11/02
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A15/02
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A18/02
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A22/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H01/03
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H04/03
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A07/03
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
L
21-24
21
24
-3
A14/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A05/11
NCAA
66.1Avg total
32.9Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.334.866.2-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (9)33.428.962.3+4.667%-
Last 30 away (21)30.437.467.8-7.029%-
Last 10 (10)32.933.266.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)29.836.466.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)29.739.569.2-9.927%-
vs Similar (11)32.231.563.7+0.645%-
vs Weaker (4)35.226.261.5+9.075%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
South Alabama wins
0
Alcorn State wins
DateGameScore
29/11/24South Alabama v Alcorn State74-65 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/25AToledo76-74
09/03/25HArkansas State71-74
01/03/25HLouisiana Lafayette65-42
27/02/25ASouthern Miss88-82
22/02/25ATexas State92-93 OT
20/02/25AArkansas State60-56
15/02/25HTexas State70-65 OT
14/02/25HMarshall91-82 OT
08/02/25AAkron65-80
06/02/25ACoastal Carolina84-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/25AFlorida State76-108
14/03/25ABethune-Cookman60-69
08/03/25AArkansas-Pine Bluff65-63
07/03/25AMiss. Valley St.72-64
04/03/25HTexas Southern59-75
01/03/25HPrairie View A&M71-55
22/02/25AJackson State63-71
18/02/25AFlorida A&M76-85
15/02/25ABethune-Cookman78-74
11/02/25HMiss. Valley St.86-39

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Alabama
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game76.0-76.0
Allowed / game74.0-74.0
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total150.0-150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Alcorn State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game76.0-76.0
Allowed / game108.0-108.0
Point differential-32.0--32.0
Avg total184.0-184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marshall110100%78.072.0+6.0
2 Troy110100%103.097.0+6.0
3 Arkansas State110100%89.085.0+4.0
4 South Alabama110100%76.074.0+2.0
5 Appalachian State21150%79.064.0+15.0
6 Old Dominion21150%82.570.0+12.5
7 Texas State21150%81.069.0+12.0
8 James Madison21150%70.570.5+0.0
9 Georgia Southern1010%89.092.0-3.0
10 Coastal Carolina1010%71.076.0-5.0
11 Southern Miss1010%79.085.0-6.0
12 Louisiana Lafayette1010%64.075.0-11.0
13 Louisiana Monroe1010%82.0102.0-20.0
14 Georgia State1010%49.071.0-22.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grambling St.110100%91.047.0+44.0
2 Prairie View A&M220100%94.550.5+44.0
3 Miss. Valley St.21150%76.083.5-7.5
4 Alabama A&M Bulldogs21150%65.579.0-13.5
5 Bethune-Cookman2020%75.598.0-22.5
6 Southern Univ.2020%79.5104.5-25.0
7 Alcorn State1010%76.0108.0-32.0
8 Florida A&M1010%67.0102.0-35.0
9 Arkansas-Pine Bluff1010%50.094.0-44.0
10 Jackson State2020%62.5109.5-47.0
11 Texas Southern1010%43.098.0-55.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
South Alabama344276
Alcorn State403070
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