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Murray State vs Indiana State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 85-75
39-40 46-35
Position#214
Record14-15
FormWWLWL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game69.4
vs
Position#254
Record13-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game79.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Murray State v Indiana State
16 Jan 2027
MURR v INDI
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
MURR85
INDI81
25 Feb 2025
MURR85
INDI75
21 Jan 2024
MURR63
INDI72
21 Jan 2023
MURR82
INDI73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#270
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A23/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
77-95
77
95
-18
H25/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A30/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
56-77
56
77
-21
A01/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H05/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
74-56
74
56
+18
A08/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H12/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H20/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-32
40-32
37-55
40-40
25-20
49-58
19-43
37-34
18-32
27-23
33-23
41-33
31-20
32-33
34-37
33-37
33-24
29-36
39-36
36-39
137.2Avg total
67.5Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)72.169.4141.5+2.648%
Season at home (16)68.963.8132.8+5.156%
Season away (13)75.976.4152.3-0.538%
Last 10 (10)67.569.7137.2-2.240%
Last 5 (5)69.865.6135.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.267.2134.3+0.033%
vs Similar ◀ (16)69.471.2140.6-1.844%
vs Weaker (7)71.170.7141.9+0.457%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#141
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
56-74
56
74
-18
H25/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H30/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
88-83
88
83
+5
A01/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H06/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
A08/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A12/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H15/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H20/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-40
41-45
26-38
30-36
25-36
47-31
52-41
36-42
39-31
41-31
29-41
43-31
38-50
35-38
40-33
45-43
36-46
38-33
28-26
47-51
154.1Avg total
76.5Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.679.2158.8+0.445%
Season at home (14)79.771.6151.3+8.150%
Season away (15)79.586.3165.8-6.940%
Last 10 (10)76.577.6154.1-1.140%
Last 5 (5)77.681.0158.6-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.087.1160.1-14.10%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.280.8162.0+0.457%
vs Weaker (6)86.362.3148.7+24.083%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: -2.9-2.92nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: -2.9-2.92nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: +2.2+2.2
Murray StateIndiana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#270
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A23/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H25/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
25-20
25
20
+5
A30/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
19-43
19
43
-24
A01/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
18-32
18
32
-14
H05/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H12/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H20/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/02
NCAA
62.5Avg total
30.3Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.831.863.6-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.231.362.5-0.141%-
Last 30 away (13)32.532.565.0-0.162%-
Last 10 (10)30.332.262.5-1.960%-
Last 5 (5)34.028.062.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.233.864.0-3.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)31.832.664.4-0.850%-
vs Weaker (7)29.930.360.1-0.471%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#141
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H25/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H30/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A01/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H06/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A08/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A12/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H15/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H20/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A22/02
NCAA
73.5Avg total
35.3Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.138.575.6-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.534.070.5+2.553%-
Last 30 away (15)37.743.080.7-5.320%-
Last 10 (10)35.338.273.5-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.239.273.4-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.242.776.9-8.520%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.538.474.9-1.936%-
vs Weaker (6)43.231.875.0+11.367%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Murray State wins
4
Indiana State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25ABradley83-85 OT
20/02/25HSouthern Illinois62-60
18/02/25HNorthern Iowa67-74
12/02/25HIllinois (Chi.)63-53
08/02/25AValparaiso74-56
05/02/25HDrake45-55
01/02/25AMissouri State56-77
30/01/25AEvansville74-78
25/01/25HBelmont77-95
23/01/25ASouthern Illinois74-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25ABelmont75-77
20/02/25HEvansville74-79
15/02/25HIllinois State85-76
12/02/25ANorthern Iowa73-88
08/02/25ADrake81-85 OT
06/02/25HValparaiso80-62
01/02/25AIllinois (Chi.)88-83
30/01/25HMissouri State72-67
25/01/25HNorthern Iowa56-74
22/01/25AIllinois State81-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL48%
HomeLLWLW56%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %48%56%38%
Points / game72.168.975.9
Allowed / game69.463.876.4
Point differential+2.6+5.1-0.5
Avg total141.5132.8152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)75% (4)17% (6)
Overtime %14%0%31%
Indiana State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL45%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game79.679.779.5
Allowed / game79.271.686.3
Point differential+0.4+8.1-6.9
Avg total158.8151.3165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (14)17% (6)50% (8)
Overtime %10%7%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2825389%71.159.1+11.9
2 Bradley2922776%78.469.9+8.5
3 Northern Iowa29191066%74.667.6+6.9
4 Belmont29191066%81.078.8+2.2
5 Illinois (Chi.)29171259%78.274.1+4.2
6 Illinois State29171259%76.572.5+4.0
7 Murray State29141548%72.169.4+2.6
8 Valparaiso29131645%76.075.1+1.0
9 Indiana State29131645%79.679.2+0.4
10 Southern Illinois29121741%72.473.4-1.0
11 Evansville29111838%67.171.1-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State394685
Indiana State403575
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