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Luis Matte Larrain vs Sergio Ceppi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 74-53
13-10 11-15 23-11 27-17
Position#9
Record3-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game71.3
vs
Position#6
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game68.1
ChileLNB 2· Gimnasio Carlos Flores
Other2024-25
Meetings · Luis Matte Larrain v Sergio Ceppi
26 Apr 2025
LUIS90
SERG71
27 Apr 2024
LUIS74
SERG53
02 Jul 2023
LUIS73
SERG57
19 Nov 2022
LUIS68
SERG67
23 Jul 2022
LUIS63
SERG65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Luis Matte Larrain winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sergio Ceppi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Luis Matte LarrainChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarrain
Date
Competition
Arabe Valparaiso
#6
L
52-55
52
55
-3
no box
A08/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#13
W
61-35
61
35
+26
no box
H15/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
52-106
52
106
-54
no box
H16/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#8
L
53-74
53
74
-21
no box
A23/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
57-56
57
56
+1
44avg 61
A24/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
73-62
73
62
+11
72avg 61
H29/03
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 61
H06/04
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
76-80
76
80
-4
71avg 61
A13/04
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
65-78
65
78
-13
56avg 61
H15/04
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
53-76
53
76
-23
42avg 61
A20/04
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
9-25
20-21
15-10
9-18
16-22
20-12
16-15
5-7
25-17
14-18
19-10
15-17
9-13
26-19
27-19
18-25
18-18
13-18
23-20
22-24
22-20
13-25
14-16
16-17
16-13
12-26
11-18
14-19
132.0Avg total
62.2Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)67.371.3138.7-4.050%
Season at home (3)72.772.0144.7+0.767%
Season away (3)62.070.7132.7-8.733%
Last 10 (10)62.269.8132.0-7.640%
Last 5 (5)69.474.4143.8-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)57.379.0136.3-21.720%
vs Similar (11)68.066.5134.5+1.545%
vs Weaker (4)62.260.0122.2+2.250%
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sergio CeppiChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeppi
Date
Competition
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#1
L
72-107
72
107
-35
no box
A13/08
LNB 2
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
no box
A13/08
LNB 2
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#1
L
85-95
85
95
-10
no box
H20/08
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
W
72-64
72
64
+8
72avg 77
H30/03
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
70-43
70
43
+27
67avg 77
H31/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
77avg 77
A04/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
56-67
56
67
-11
45avg 77
A06/04
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
85-73
85
73
+12
84avg 77
H13/04
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
102avg 77
A14/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
91-58
91
58
+33
93avg 77
H21/04
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-33
19-26
16-29
21-19
14-32
17-32
27-18
12-15
12-30
21-23
25-22
27-20
15-17
23-10
13-17
21-20
14-16
19-14
15-6
22-7
20-24
19-22
15-14
24-16
13-23
15-17
21-5
7-22
18-17
26-18
21-20
20-18
29-20
12-18
6-16
29-22
27-8
20-12
16-18
28-20
155.7Avg total
78.1Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.168.1147.3+11.086%
Season at home (4)79.559.5139.0+20.0100%
Season away (3)78.779.7158.3-1.067%
Last 10 (10)78.177.6155.7+0.560%
Last 5 (5)82.474.0156.4+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.387.7159.0-16.420%
vs Similar (14)69.964.6134.6+5.371%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)72.368.2140.5+4.267%
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +3.2+3.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +3.2+3.2
Luis Matte LarrainSergio Ceppi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Luis Matte LarrainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stadio Italiano
#8
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A23/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A24/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H29/03
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H06/04
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A13/04
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H15/04
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A20/04
LNB 2
71.4Avg total
33.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)29.239.268.3-10.026%-
Last 30 at home (9)31.634.666.1-3.044%-
Last 30 away (10)27.043.370.3-16.310%-
Last 10 (7)33.338.171.4-4.943%-
Last 5 (5)33.637.471.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)29.340.269.5-10.831%-
vs Similar (5)28.835.264.0-6.420%-
vs Weaker (1)29.046.075.0-17.00%-
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sergio CeppiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#1
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A13/08
LNB 2
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#1
L
31-64
31
64
-33
A13/08
LNB 2
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#1
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H20/08
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H30/03
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H31/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A04/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A06/04
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H13/04
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A14/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
47-20
47
20
+27
H21/04
LNB 2
78.1Avg total
36.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)35.238.073.2-2.855%-
Last 30 at home (9)36.134.670.7+1.667%-
Last 30 away (11)34.540.875.3-6.445%-
Last 10 (10)36.941.278.1-4.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.835.875.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.949.984.8-15.025%-
vs Similar (9)35.429.765.1+5.878%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)35.331.366.7+4.067%-
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Luis Matte Larraintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luis Matte Larrain: 67.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.7 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.219.3
45.8%
44.9%38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.86.0
30.3%
28.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws17.210.8
63.1%
63.6%10.8
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sergio Ceppitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sergio Ceppi: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.1 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.425.6
51.7%
44.9%51.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.34.9
26.6%
28.7%14.6
🏀 Free throws21.113.6
64.2%
63.6%13.6
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/7 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Luis Matte Larrain
LLLWWWLLWL
Sergio Ceppi
WWWLWWWLLL
#9
League position
#6
-5.5
Net rating
+13.3
89.4
Offensive rating
92.4
94.9
Defensive rating
79.0
45.7%
Effective FG%
48.5%
44.8%
Opp. effective FG%
37.3%
20.6%
Turnover %
23.4%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.3%
3-point %
26.6%
57.2%
Assist %
66.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence89.4 · 92.4Defence94.9 · 79.0Shooting45.7% · 48.5%3-point %30.3% · 26.6%Ball care20.6% · 23.4%Off. rebounds25.1% · 28.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Luis Matte Larrain   ■ Sergio Ceppi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Luis Matte Larrain wins
4
Sergio Ceppi wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24AMunicipal Chillan53-76
15/04/24HColo Colo65-78
13/04/24AArabe Valparaiso76-80
06/04/24HQuilpue Basquetbol80-76
29/03/24HBoston C. C.73-62
24/03/24ABrisas57-56
23/07/23AStadio Italiano53-74
16/07/23HSportiva Italiana52-106
15/07/23HBrisas61-35
08/07/23AArabe Valparaiso52-55
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24HBrisas91-58
14/04/24AArturo Prat San Felipe102-96 OT
13/04/24HTruenos De Talca85-73
06/04/24AStadio Italiano56-67
04/04/24ABoston C. C.78-76
31/03/24HMunicipal Chillan70-43
30/03/24HAleman72-64
20/08/23HLiceo Pablo Neruda85-95
13/08/23ALiceo Pablo Neruda70-97
13/08/23ALiceo Pablo Neruda72-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Luis Matte Larrain
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game67.372.762.0
Allowed / game71.372.070.7
Point differential-4.0+0.7-8.7
Avg total138.7144.7132.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sergio Ceppi
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game79.179.578.7
Allowed / game68.159.579.7
Point differential+11.0+20.0-1.0
Avg total147.3139.0158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo770100%82.063.4+18.6
2 Sergio Ceppi76186%79.168.1+11.0
3 Arabe Valparaiso64267%72.871.3+1.5
4 Stadio Italiano85362%66.863.8+3.0
5 Aleman53260%70.263.6+6.6
6 Boston C. C.74357%69.467.7+1.7
7 Quilpue Basquetbol74357%66.765.4+1.3
8 Luis Matte Larrain63350%67.371.3-4.0
9 Municipal Chillan83538%63.571.4-7.9
10 Truenos De Talca61517%71.773.5-1.8
11 Brisas6060%63.075.7-12.7
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe7070%67.384.4-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Luis Matte Larrain1311232774
Sergio Ceppi1015111753
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