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Arabe Valparaiso vs Luis Matte Larrain Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 80-76
18-18 18-13 20-23 24-22
Position#10
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game63.3
Arabe Valparaiso 🏆
Chile
vs
Luis Matte Larrain
Chile
Position#9
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game64.7
ChileLNB 2· Fortín Prat
Other2024-25
Meetings · Arabe Valparaiso v Luis Matte Larrain
13 Apr 2024
ARAB80
LUIS76
08 Jul 2023
ARAB55
LUIS52
13 Nov 2022
ARAB53
LUIS69
18 Jun 2022
ARAB61
LUIS51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arabe Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Luis Matte Larrain winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arabe ValparaisoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValparaiso
Date
Competition
Luis Matte Larrain
#7
W
55-52
55
52
+3
no box
H08/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#10
W
69-61
69
61
+8
no box
H16/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
66-69
66
69
-3
no box
H23/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
W
68-55
68
55
+13
no box
A30/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
56-75
56
75
-19
no box
A30/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
70-71
70
71
-1
no box
H05/08
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
68-72
68
72
-4
no box
H06/08
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
78-74
78
74
+4
72avg 74
A23/03
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
79-65
79
65
+14
76avg 74
H30/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
73-51
73
51
+22
74avg 74
A07/04
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
16-23
15-15
21-17
14-14
16-17
19-11
11-20
22-7
13-17
17-16
12-20
14-22
24-16
8-21
24-11
14-23
12-13
10-24
19-17
27-18
16-16
17-16
14-17
31-25
23-19
19-16
15-23
22-7
18-5
18-14
22-14
15-18
132.7Avg total
68.2Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.763.3140.0+13.3100%
Season at home (1)79.065.0144.0+14.0100%
Season away (2)75.562.5138.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)68.264.5132.7+3.760%
Last 5 (5)73.666.6140.2+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)59.578.4137.8-18.918%
vs Similar ◀ (11)68.770.3139.0-1.536%
vs Weaker (8)74.061.9135.9+12.175%
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luis Matte LarrainChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarrain
Date
Competition
Stadio Italiano
#8
W
73-65
73
65
+8
no box
H28/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#10
L
63-69
63
69
-6
no box
A24/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
W
73-57
73
57
+16
no box
H02/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#6
L
52-55
52
55
-3
no box
A08/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#13
W
61-35
61
35
+26
no box
H15/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
52-106
52
106
-54
no box
H16/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#8
L
53-74
53
74
-21
no box
A23/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
57-56
57
56
+1
44avg 64
A24/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
73-62
73
62
+11
72avg 64
H29/03
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 64
H06/04
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
9-25
20-21
15-10
9-18
16-22
20-12
16-15
5-7
25-17
14-18
19-10
15-17
9-13
26-19
27-19
18-25
129.2Avg total
63.7Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.064.7134.7+5.3100%
Season at home (2)76.569.0145.5+7.5100%
Season away (1)57.056.0113.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)63.765.5129.2-1.860%
Last 5 (5)63.074.8137.8-11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)58.278.5136.8-20.225%
vs Similar ◀ (10)67.265.6132.8+1.650%
vs Weaker (4)62.260.0122.2+2.250%
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -5.0-5.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -5.0-5.0
Arabe ValparaisoLuis Matte Larrain
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Arabe ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H23/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A30/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A30/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H05/08
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
22-37
22
37
-15
H06/08
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A23/03
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H30/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
36-19
36
19
+17
A07/04
LNB 2
65.0Avg total
32.6Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)32.734.066.7-1.358%-
Last 30 at home (10)32.734.166.8-1.460%-
Last 30 away (9)32.733.966.6-1.256%-
Last 10 (8)32.632.465.0+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)33.032.065.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.835.266.0-4.456%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.632.966.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker (2)37.533.070.5+4.5100%-
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luis Matte LarrainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stadio Italiano
#8
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A23/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A24/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H29/03
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H06/04
LNB 2
71.5Avg total
34.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)28.938.767.6-9.832%-
Last 30 at home (10)31.134.265.3-3.150%-
Last 30 away (9)26.443.770.1-17.211%-
Last 10 (4)34.836.871.5-2.075%-
Last 5 (4)34.836.871.5-2.075%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)29.139.568.6-10.436%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)28.034.062.0-6.025%-
vs Weaker (1)29.046.075.0-17.00%-
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Arabe Valparaisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arabe Valparaiso: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.7 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.3
53.3%
44.9%42.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.7
32.3%
28.7%20.0
🏀 Free throws23.013.3
58.0%
63.6%13.3
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Luis Matte Larraintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luis Matte Larrain: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.719.0
44.5%
44.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.77.0
37.5%
28.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.312.0
62.1%
63.6%12.0
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Arabe Valparaiso
WWWLLLWLWW
Luis Matte Larrain
WWWLLWLWLW
#10
League position
#9
+15.2
Net rating
+7.9
93.5
Offensive rating
93.4
78.3
Defensive rating
85.5
51.6%
Effective FG%
48.1%
38.0%
Opp. effective FG%
40.0%
28.1%
Turnover %
20.7%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.3%
3-point %
37.5%
60.7%
Assist %
55.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence93.5 · 93.4Defence78.3 · 85.5Shooting51.6% · 48.1%3-point %32.3% · 37.5%Ball care28.1% · 20.7%Off. rebounds32.4% · 25.9%Free throws0.38 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Arabe Valparaiso   ■ Luis Matte Larrain
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Arabe Valparaiso wins
3
Luis Matte Larrain wins
DateGameScore
08/07/23Arabe Valparaiso v Luis Matte Larrain55-52
13/05/23Luis Matte Larrain v Arabe Valparaiso71-51
13/11/22Arabe Valparaiso v Luis Matte Larrain53-69
07/10/22Luis Matte Larrain v Arabe Valparaiso79-87 OT
21/06/22Luis Matte Larrain v Arabe Valparaiso76-71
18/06/22Arabe Valparaiso v Luis Matte Larrain61-51
Arabe Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24ABrisas73-51
30/03/24HArturo Prat San Felipe79-65
23/03/24ATruenos De Talca78-74
06/08/23HSergio Ceppi68-72
05/08/23HSergio Ceppi70-71
30/07/23ASergio Ceppi56-75
30/07/23ASergio Ceppi68-55
23/07/23HSergio Ceppi66-69
16/07/23HBoston C. C.69-61
08/07/23HLuis Matte Larrain55-52
Luis Matte Larrainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24HQuilpue Basquetbol80-76
29/03/24HBoston C. C.73-62
24/03/24ABrisas57-56
23/07/23AStadio Italiano53-74
16/07/23HSportiva Italiana52-106
15/07/23HBrisas61-35
08/07/23AArabe Valparaiso52-55
02/07/23HSergio Ceppi73-57
24/06/23ABoston C. C.63-69
28/05/23HStadio Italiano73-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arabe Valparaiso
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game76.779.075.5
Allowed / game63.365.062.5
Point differential+13.3+14.0+13.0
Avg total140.0144.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Luis Matte Larrain
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game70.076.557.0
Allowed / game64.769.056.0
Point differential+5.3+7.5+1.0
Avg total134.7145.5113.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo440100%87.070.8+16.2
2 Arabe Valparaiso330100%76.763.3+13.3
3 Luis Matte Larrain330100%70.064.7+5.3
4 Sergio Ceppi43175%69.062.5+6.5
5 Aleman32167%73.765.0+8.7
6 Quilpue Basquetbol53260%72.267.2+5.0
7 Stadio Italiano42250%67.267.8-0.5
8 Truenos De Talca31233%75.072.3+2.7
9 Boston C. C.41325%69.573.5-4.0
10 Brisas4040%63.072.2-9.2
11 Municipal Chillan4040%55.874.8-19.0
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe3030%62.087.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Arabe Valparaiso1818202480
Luis Matte Larrain1813232276
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