PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Aleman vs Puerto Montt Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 76-90
13-25 25-21 18-25 20-19
Position#6
Record9-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game73.1
vs
Position#1
Record12-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game68.4
ChileLNB 2LNB 2 - Semi-finals· Polideportivo Aleman
Other2025-26
Meetings · Aleman v Puerto Montt
11 Jul 2025
ALEM76
PUER90
05 Apr 2025
ALEM74
PUER98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aleman winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Puerto Montt winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlemanChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAleman
Date
Competition
Puerto Montt
#1
L
74-99
74
99
-25
59avg 68
A11/05
LNB 2
Omega
#10
L
67-72
67
72
-5
57avg 68
H17/05
LNB 2
CD Huachipato
#15
W
88-73
88
73
+15
81avg 68
H24/05
LNB 2
Regional Temuco
#18
W
90-79
90
79
+11
88avg 68
A31/05
LNB 2
Omega
#10
W
72-67 OT
72
67
+5
60avg 68
H07/06
LNB 2
Omega
#10
W
108-101 OT
108
101
+7
86avg 68
A14/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
70-68
70
68
+2
61avg 68
A21/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
60-63
60
63
-3
57avg 68
H28/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
73-69
73
69
+4
60avg 68
A29/06
LNB 2
Puerto Montt
#1
L
83-100
83
100
-17
73avg 68
A05/07
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-34
19-19
19-24
18-22
13-15
14-15
15-19
25-23
22-15
27-25
22-16
17-17
23-21
23-19
19-28
25-11
18-10
15-15
16-19
8-13
20-31
24-19
21-14
22-23
12-18
20-13
26-14
12-23
18-21
13-13
10-16
19-13
17-15
21-21
18-18
17-15
17-26
31-28
20-21
15-25
157.6Avg total
78.5Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.673.1148.7+2.464%
Season at home (6)75.772.8148.5+2.850%
Season away (8)75.573.4148.9+2.175%
Last 10 (10)78.579.1157.6-0.660%
Last 5 (5)78.880.2159.0-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)73.684.1157.8-10.525%
vs Similar (6)74.573.8148.3+0.750%
vs Weaker (16)76.267.4143.6+8.981%
This opponent (Puerto Montt) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Puerto MonttChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMontt
Date
Competition
Omega
#10
W
71-61
71
61
+10
67avg 88
A27/04
LNB 2
Regional Temuco
#18
W
107-68
107
68
+39
no box
A03/05
LNB 2
Aleman
#6
W
99-74
99
74
+25
100avg 88
H11/05
LNB 2
CD Huachipato
#15
L
73-74
73
74
-1
66avg 88
A17/05
LNB 2
Omega
#10
W
95-70
95
70
+25
73avg 88
H01/06
LNB 2
Regional Temuco
#18
W
103-60
103
60
+43
99avg 88
H07/06
LNB 2
Regional Temuco
#18
W
98-76
98
76
+22
100avg 88
A13/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#11
W
102-60
102
60
+42
99avg 88
H21/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#11
W
95-66
95
66
+29
98avg 88
A27/06
LNB 2
Aleman
#6
W
100-83
100
83
+17
89avg 88
H05/07
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
20-11
14-10
14-18
–
–
–
–
34-18
19-19
24-19
22-18
19-13
19-21
15-20
20-20
21-12
25-15
27-25
22-18
16-15
38-23
26-9
23-13
14-20
21-23
29-17
34-16
26-19
23-15
22-16
31-10
34-13
26-13
16-20
19-20
26-17
28-31
21-20
25-15
163.5Avg total
94.3Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)93.468.4161.8+25.092%
Season at home (7)96.067.1163.1+28.9100%
Season away (6)90.369.8160.2+20.583%
Last 10 (10)94.369.2163.5+25.190%
Last 5 (5)99.669.0168.6+30.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.683.9152.5-15.325%
vs Similar (5)81.877.4159.2+4.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)93.468.4161.8+25.092%
This opponent (Aleman) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +6.9+6.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +6.9+6.9
AlemanPuerto Montt
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlemanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puerto Montt
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A11/05
LNB 2
Omega
#10
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H17/05
LNB 2
CD Huachipato
#15
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H24/05
LNB 2
Regional Temuco
#18
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A31/05
LNB 2
Omega
#10
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H07/06
LNB 2
Omega
#10
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A14/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A21/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H28/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A29/06
LNB 2
Puerto Montt
#1
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A05/07
LNB 2
77.8Avg total
38.5Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)40.138.978.9+1.261%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.537.176.6+2.554%-
Last 30 away (15)40.540.480.9+0.167%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.377.8-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.641.079.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.944.582.4-6.638%-
vs Similar (6)38.735.574.2+3.267%-
vs Weaker (14)41.937.179.0+4.971%-
This opponent (Puerto Montt) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Puerto MonttLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omega
#10
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A27/04
LNB 2
Aleman
#6
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H11/05
LNB 2
CD Huachipato
#15
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A17/05
LNB 2
Omega
#10
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H01/06
LNB 2
Regional Temuco
#18
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H07/06
LNB 2
Regional Temuco
#18
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A13/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#11
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H21/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#11
W
60-26
60
26
+34
A27/06
LNB 2
Aleman
#6
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H05/07
LNB 2
83.6Avg total
48.0Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.037.978.9+3.062%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.236.880.0+6.473%-
Last 30 away (14)38.639.177.7-0.650%-
Last 10 (9)48.035.683.6+12.489%-
Last 5 (5)50.437.888.2+12.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.441.876.2-7.433%-
vs Similar (5)39.237.476.6+1.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)48.234.282.5+14.092%-
This opponent (Aleman) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alemantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aleman: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.017.8
46.8%
46.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.99.8
30.7%
27.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.312.7
62.6%
64.0%12.7
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Puerto Montttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Puerto Montt: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.223.3
59.4%
46.4%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.8
32.1%
27.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.015.1
75.5%
64.0%15.1
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jul 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aleman
LWLWWWWWLL
Puerto Montt
WWWWWWLWWW
#6
League position
#1
-1.0
Net rating
+30.1
95.6
Offensive rating
112.5
96.5
Defensive rating
82.4
46.5%
Effective FG%
54.5%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
42.0%
21.1%
Turnover %
14.6%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.7%
3-point %
32.1%
60.1%
Assist %
65.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence95.6 · 112.5Defence96.5 · 82.4Shooting46.5% · 54.5%3-point %30.7% · 32.1%Ball care21.1% · 14.6%Off. rebounds32.6% · 23.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Aleman   ■ Puerto Montt
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aleman wins
3
Puerto Montt wins
DateGameScore
05/07/25Puerto Montt v Aleman100-83
11/05/25Puerto Montt v Aleman99-74
05/04/25Aleman v Puerto Montt74-98
Alemanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/25APuerto Montt83-100
29/06/25ATruenos De Talca73-69
28/06/25HTruenos De Talca60-63
21/06/25ATruenos De Talca70-68
14/06/25AOmega108-101 OT
07/06/25HOmega72-67 OT
31/05/25ARegional Temuco90-79
24/05/25HCD Huachipato88-73
17/05/25HOmega67-72
11/05/25APuerto Montt74-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/25HAleman100-83
27/06/25AMunicipal Chillan95-66
21/06/25HMunicipal Chillan102-60
13/06/25ARegional Temuco98-76
07/06/25HRegional Temuco103-60
01/06/25HOmega95-70
17/05/25ACD Huachipato73-74
11/05/25HAleman99-74
03/05/25ARegional Temuco107-68
27/04/25AOmega71-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aleman
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL64%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %64%50%75%
Points / game75.675.775.5
Allowed / game73.172.873.4
Point differential+2.4+2.8+2.1
Avg total148.7148.5148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %14%17%12%
Puerto Montt
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game93.496.090.3
Allowed / game68.467.169.8
Point differential+25.0+28.9+20.5
Avg total161.8163.1160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+92%100%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston C. C.1413193%76.463.6+12.9
2 Puerto Montt1312192%93.468.4+25.0
3 Truenos De Talca1311285%76.265.6+10.6
4 Arabe Valparaiso1510567%71.763.5+8.2
5 Aleman149564%75.673.1+2.4
6 Luis Matte Larrain117464%75.571.2+4.4
7 Illapel127558%70.669.8+0.8
8 Liceo Curico95456%61.859.4+2.3
9 Stadio Italiano147750%70.770.3+0.4
10 Omega105550%65.169.2-4.1
11 Municipal Chillan115645%57.865.7-7.9
12 Quilpue Basquetbol104640%68.468.8-0.4
13 Arturo Prat San Felipe114736%68.979.8-10.9
14 The Sharks103730%72.074.5-2.5
15 CD Huachipato103730%65.372.8-7.5
16 CDSB Constitucion102820%72.177.3-5.2
17 Sergio Ceppi102820%64.273.0-8.8
18 Regional Temuco102820%72.686.8-14.2
19 Brisas112918%61.973.6-11.7
20 Tinguiririca101910%61.873.9-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aleman1325182076
Puerto Montt2521251990
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.