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Aleman vs Puerto Montt Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 74-98
26-27 18-28 13-28 17-15
Position#6
Record-
FormWLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game72.0
ChileLNB 2· Polideportivo Aleman
Other2025-26
Meetings · Aleman v Puerto Montt
11 Jul 2025
ALEM76
PUER90
05 Apr 2025
ALEM74
PUER98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aleman winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Puerto Montt winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlemanChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAleman
Date
Competition
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
91-93
91
93
-2
80avg 64
H01/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
72-77
72
77
-5
56avg 64
H08/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
68-58
68
58
+10
56avg 64
A15/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
77-68
77
68
+9
61avg 64
H20/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
80-72
80
72
+8
71avg 64
A23/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
74-70
74
70
+4
62avg 64
H29/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
89-90
89
90
-1
77avg 64
A06/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
72-81
72
81
-9
62avg 64
H14/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
66-61
66
61
+5
57avg 64
A20/07
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
69-66
69
66
+3
65avg 64
A21/07
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
21-22
21-30
22-17
14-16
21-19
9-22
28-20
21-14
19-15
12-24
16-5
15-13
22-21
25-14
15-20
17-19
24-17
19-17
20-19
23-15
13-22
22-20
16-13
25-29
27-19
23-22
14-20
26-20
17-22
16-17
13-22
26-20
11-13
16-17
13-11
15-21
25-13
12-12
17-20
149.4Avg total
75.8Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.873.6149.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)74.073.6147.6+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)62.391.0153.3-28.70%
vs Similar (10)73.573.4146.9+0.150%
vs Weaker (10)74.766.5141.2+8.280%
This opponent (Puerto Montt) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Puerto MonttChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMontt
Date
Competition
Ancud
#3
L
70-87
70
87
-17
51avg 68
A20/04
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
63-86
63
86
-23
54avg 68
A21/04
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
75-68
75
68
+7
75avg 68
H28/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
73-85
73
85
-12
68avg 68
H29/04
LNB
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
L
65-79
65
79
-14
61avg 68
A04/05
LNB
Valdivia
#6
L
68-83
68
83
-15
62avg 68
A06/05
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
95-74
95
74
+21
85avg 68
H12/05
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
87-77
87
77
+10
89avg 68
H13/05
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
77-70
77
70
+7
63avg 68
A19/05
LNB
Regional Temuco
#18
W
94-72
94
72
+22
90avg 68
H29/03
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
15-30
13-20
25-17
13-19
15-17
15-30
20-20
21-15
21-9
17-21
16-23
14-26
18-24
15-16
26-19
22-16
9-25
19-22
15-16
20-17
12-29
13-19
23-18
25-16
19-16
25-28
26-14
19-28
23-18
21-12
24-19
11-21
25-13
18-19
23-17
23-13
26-16
16-25
29-18
154.8Avg total
76.7Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)94.072.0166.0+22.0100%
Season at home (1)94.072.0166.0+22.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.778.1154.8-1.450%
Last 5 (5)84.275.2159.4+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)67.682.6150.2-15.023%
vs Similar (7)80.677.3157.9+3.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)94.072.0166.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Aleman) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +4.6+4.6
AlemanPuerto Montt
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlemanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H01/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H08/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A15/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H20/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A23/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H29/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A06/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H14/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A20/07
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A21/07
LNB 2
78.3Avg total
40.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)37.139.176.2-2.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.038.675.6-1.643%-
Last 30 away (14)37.139.776.9-2.657%-
Last 10 (10)40.937.478.3+3.580%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.880.4+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)30.847.778.4-16.911%-
vs Similar (10)38.134.872.9+3.360%-
vs Weaker (9)42.235.477.7+6.878%-
This opponent (Puerto Montt) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Puerto MonttLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ancud
#3
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A20/04
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A21/04
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H28/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H29/04
LNB
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A04/05
LNB
Valdivia
#6
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A06/05
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H12/05
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H13/05
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A19/05
LNB
Regional Temuco
#18
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H29/03
LNB 2
75.6Avg total
36.8Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.839.875.6-4.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.838.876.6-0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)33.541.074.5-7.529%-
Last 10 (10)36.838.875.6-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.478.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)34.040.574.5-6.532%-
vs Similar (7)39.639.078.6+0.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)49.029.078.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Aleman) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alemantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aleman: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.418.7
46.3%
46.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.0
29.3%
27.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.610.2
58.0%
64.0%10.2
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Puerto Montttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Puerto Montt: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.721.1
48.3%
46.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.66.0
32.3%
27.9%18.0
🏀 Free throws21.615.5
71.8%
64.0%15.5
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aleman
WWLLWWWWLL
Puerto Montt
WWWWLLLWLL
#6
League position
#1
+2.8
Net rating
-1.8
95.5
Offensive rating
98.7
92.7
Defensive rating
100.5
45.3%
Effective FG%
48.3%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
19.8%
Turnover %
20.4%
36.3%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.3%
3-point %
32.3%
52.7%
Assist %
56.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.5 · 98.7Defence92.7 · 100.5Shooting45.3% · 48.3%3-point %29.3% · 32.3%Ball care19.8% · 20.4%Off. rebounds36.3% · 29.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Aleman   ■ Puerto Montt
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aleman wins
0
Puerto Montt wins
No previous meetings.
Alemanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/07/24AQuilpue Basquetbol69-66
20/07/24AArabe Valparaiso66-61
14/07/24HColo Colo72-81
06/07/24ALuis Matte Larrain89-90
29/06/24HBrisas74-70
23/06/24AArturo Prat San Felipe80-72
20/06/24HTruenos De Talca77-68
15/06/24AStadio Italiano68-58
08/06/24HBoston C. C.72-77
01/06/24HSergio Ceppi91-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25HRegional Temuco94-72
19/05/24AEspanol de Talca77-70
13/05/24HEspanol de Talca87-77
12/05/24HEspanol de Talca95-74
06/05/24AValdivia68-83
04/05/24ALiceo Pablo Neruda65-79
29/04/24HPuente Alto73-85
28/04/24HSportiva Italiana75-68
21/04/24ANaviera Ulloa63-86
20/04/24AAncud70-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aleman
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Puerto Montt
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game94.094.0-
Allowed / game72.072.0-
Point differential+22.0+22.0-
Avg total166.0166.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Puerto Montt110100%94.072.0+22.0
2 Stadio Italiano110100%90.069.0+21.0
3 Quilpue Basquetbol110100%75.057.0+18.0
4 Truenos De Talca110100%65.053.0+12.0
5 Boston C. C.110100%73.065.0+8.0
6 Municipal Chillan110100%71.065.0+6.0
7 Omega110100%64.061.0+3.0
8 Liceo Curico21150%65.570.5-5.0
9 Sergio Ceppi21150%72.577.5-5.0
10 CDSB Constitucion1010%76.078.0-2.0
11 CD Huachipato1010%61.064.0-3.0
12 Tinguiririca1010%65.071.0-6.0
13 Luis Matte Larrain1010%65.073.0-8.0
14 Brisas1010%65.076.0-11.0
15 Arabe Valparaiso1010%57.075.0-18.0
16 Regional Temuco1010%72.094.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aleman2618131774
Puerto Montt2728281598
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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