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Aleman vs Truenos De Talca Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 60-63
18-21 13-13 10-16 19-13
Position#6
Record8-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game72.0
Aleman
Chile
vs
Truenos De Talca 🏆
Chile
Position#2
Record10-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game65.5
ChileLNB 2LNB 2 - Quarter-finals· Polideportivo Aleman
Other2025-26
Meetings · Aleman v Truenos De Talca
28 Jun 2025
ALEM60
TRUE63
20 Jun 2024
ALEM77
TRUE68
06 May 2023
ALEM72
TRUE76
15 Oct 2022
ALEM45
TRUE88
20 Jul 2022
ALEM56
TRUE77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aleman winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Truenos De Talca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlemanChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAleman
Date
Competition
Omega
#10
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A13/04
LNB 2
CD Huachipato
#15
W
86-71
86
71
+15
77avg 69
A18/04
LNB 2
Regional Temuco
#18
W
93-64
93
64
+29
86avg 69
H26/04
LNB 2
Puerto Montt
#1
L
74-99
74
99
-25
59avg 69
A11/05
LNB 2
Omega
#10
L
67-72
67
72
-5
57avg 69
H17/05
LNB 2
CD Huachipato
#15
W
88-73
88
73
+15
81avg 69
H24/05
LNB 2
Regional Temuco
#18
W
90-79
90
79
+11
88avg 69
A31/05
LNB 2
Omega
#10
W
72-67 OT
72
67
+5
60avg 69
H07/06
LNB 2
Omega
#10
W
108-101 OT
108
101
+7
86avg 69
A14/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
70-68
70
68
+2
61avg 69
A21/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
29-21
22-18
13-15
22-17
23-20
25-17
25-13
20-14
18-34
19-19
19-24
18-22
13-15
14-15
15-19
25-23
22-15
27-25
22-16
17-17
23-21
23-19
19-28
25-11
18-10
15-15
16-19
8-13
20-31
24-19
21-14
22-23
12-18
20-13
26-14
12-23
146.2Avg total
76.8Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.572.0148.5+4.573%
Season at home (5)78.874.8153.6+4.060%
Season away (6)74.769.7144.3+5.083%
Last 10 (10)76.869.4146.2+7.480%
Last 5 (5)85.677.6163.2+8.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)74.688.2162.8-13.620%
vs Similar (8)73.474.8148.1-1.450%
vs Weaker (17)76.466.6143.0+9.782%
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Truenos De TalcaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTalca
Date
Competition
Tinguiririca
#20
W
75-69
75
69
+6
58avg 65
A05/04
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#11
W
77-59
77
59
+18
67avg 65
H19/04
LNB 2
CDSB Constitucion
#16
W
87-84
87
84
+3
64avg 65
A26/04
LNB 2
Liceo Curico
#8
W
93-72
93
72
+21
81avg 65
H04/05
LNB 2
Tinguiririca
#20
W
79-59
79
59
+20
73avg 65
H10/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#11
W
76-62
76
62
+14
66avg 65
A24/05
LNB 2
CDSB Constitucion
#16
W
81-68
81
68
+13
86avg 65
H31/05
LNB 2
CDSB Constitucion
#16
W
86-57
86
57
+29
77avg 65
H07/06
LNB 2
CDSB Constitucion
#16
W
72-67
72
67
+5
56avg 65
A14/06
LNB 2
Aleman
#6
L
68-70
68
70
-2
53avg 65
H21/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
16-17
26-10
18-14
24-14
12-14
22-10
19-21
18-23
25-14
27-23
17-24
22-16
23-20
27-15
21-21
30-12
17-5
15-23
17-19
19-26
17-13
15-14
25-9
20-13
20-21
20-13
21-21
18-16
25-16
24-8
19-17
17-11
16-12
22-20
17-24
18-12
13-20
14-26
23-12
146.1Avg total
79.4Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.165.5143.5+12.691%
Season at home (6)80.764.2144.8+16.583%
Season away (5)75.067.0142.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.466.7146.1+12.790%
Last 5 (5)76.664.8141.4+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.078.0140.0-16.00%
vs Similar (2)65.568.0133.5-2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)75.764.4140.1+11.485%
This opponent (Aleman) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
AlemanTruenos De Talca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlemanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Huachipato
#15
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A18/04
LNB 2
Regional Temuco
#18
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H26/04
LNB 2
Puerto Montt
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A11/05
LNB 2
Omega
#10
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H17/05
LNB 2
CD Huachipato
#15
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H24/05
LNB 2
Regional Temuco
#18
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A31/05
LNB 2
Omega
#10
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H07/06
LNB 2
Omega
#10
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A14/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A21/06
LNB 2
79.1Avg total
40.8Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)40.637.978.5+2.764%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.436.576.9+3.957%-
Last 30 away (14)40.739.380.0+1.471%-
Last 10 (9)40.838.379.1+2.467%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.278.0+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.246.483.6-9.240%-
vs Similar (8)38.834.873.5+4.062%-
vs Weaker (15)42.736.779.4+5.973%-
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Truenos De TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tinguiririca
#20
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A05/04
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#11
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H19/04
LNB 2
CDSB Constitucion
#16
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A26/04
LNB 2
Liceo Curico
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H04/05
LNB 2
Tinguiririca
#20
W
47-17
47
17
+30
H10/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#11
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A24/05
LNB 2
CDSB Constitucion
#16
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H31/05
LNB 2
CDSB Constitucion
#16
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H07/06
LNB 2
CDSB Constitucion
#16
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A14/06
LNB 2
Aleman
#6
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H21/06
LNB 2
70.8Avg total
38.5Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.631.768.3+4.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.130.669.7+8.576%-
Last 30 away (13)33.333.266.5+0.231%-
Last 10 (10)38.532.370.8+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)36.632.068.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.034.059.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (2)31.533.565.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)37.431.568.9+5.963%-
This opponent (Aleman) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alemantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aleman: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.3
48.6%
46.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.2
31.9%
27.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.112.4
61.7%
64.0%12.4
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Truenos De Talcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Truenos De Talca: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.722.8
49.9%
46.4%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.86.8
28.6%
27.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws22.713.0
57.3%
64.0%13.0
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aleman
WWWWWLLWWW
Truenos De Talca
LWWWWWWWWW
#6
League position
#2
+3.6
Net rating
+17.3
99.1
Offensive rating
102.6
95.4
Defensive rating
85.4
48.3%
Effective FG%
47.5%
45.2%
Opp. effective FG%
44.5%
19.1%
Turnover %
16.8%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.9%
3-point %
28.6%
62.4%
Assist %
48.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 102.6Defence95.4 · 85.4Shooting48.3% · 47.5%3-point %31.9% · 28.6%Ball care19.1% · 16.8%Off. rebounds29.9% · 35.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Aleman   ■ Truenos De Talca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Aleman wins
7
Truenos De Talca wins
DateGameScore
21/06/25Truenos De Talca v Aleman68-70
20/06/24Aleman v Truenos De Talca77-68
01/05/24Truenos De Talca v Aleman77-65
01/07/23Truenos De Talca v Aleman85-56
07/05/23Aleman v Truenos De Talca72-76
19/11/22Truenos De Talca v Aleman88-57
15/10/22Aleman v Truenos De Talca45-88
21/07/22Aleman v Truenos De Talca56-77
21/05/22Truenos De Talca v Aleman78-73
Alemanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/06/25ATruenos De Talca70-68
14/06/25AOmega108-101 OT
07/06/25HOmega72-67 OT
31/05/25ARegional Temuco90-79
24/05/25HCD Huachipato88-73
17/05/25HOmega67-72
11/05/25APuerto Montt74-99
26/04/25HRegional Temuco93-64
18/04/25ACD Huachipato86-71
13/04/25AOmega20-0
Truenos De Talcalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/06/25HAleman68-70
14/06/25ACDSB Constitucion72-67
07/06/25HCDSB Constitucion86-57
31/05/25HCDSB Constitucion81-68
24/05/25AMunicipal Chillan76-62
10/05/25HTinguiririca79-59
04/05/25HLiceo Curico93-72
26/04/25ACDSB Constitucion87-84
19/04/25HMunicipal Chillan77-59
05/04/25ATinguiririca75-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aleman
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%60%83%
Points / game76.578.874.7
Allowed / game72.074.869.7
Point differential+4.5+4.0+5.0
Avg total148.5153.6144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %18%20%17%
Truenos De Talca
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL91%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %91%83%100%
Points / game78.180.775.0
Allowed / game65.564.267.0
Point differential+12.6+16.5+8.0
Avg total143.5144.8142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%83%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Puerto Montt1211192%92.867.2+25.7
2 Boston C. C.1211192%76.163.3+12.8
3 Truenos De Talca1110191%78.165.5+12.6
4 Arabe Valparaiso129375%73.662.1+11.5
5 Aleman118373%76.572.0+4.5
6 Luis Matte Larrain117464%75.571.2+4.4
7 Illapel127558%70.669.8+0.8
8 Liceo Curico95456%61.859.4+2.3
9 Stadio Italiano137654%72.270.8+1.4
10 Omega105550%65.169.2-4.1
11 Municipal Chillan115645%57.865.7-7.9
12 Quilpue Basquetbol104640%68.468.8-0.4
13 Arturo Prat San Felipe114736%68.979.8-10.9
14 The Sharks103730%72.074.5-2.5
15 CD Huachipato103730%65.372.8-7.5
16 CDSB Constitucion102820%72.177.3-5.2
17 Sergio Ceppi102820%64.273.0-8.8
18 Regional Temuco102820%72.686.8-14.2
19 Brisas112918%61.973.6-11.7
20 Tinguiririca101910%61.873.9-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aleman1813101960
Truenos De Talca2113161363
← all games of the day
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