Alkar face Donar Groningen on 3 November 2026 in the ENBL, and the Pythia model names Donar Groningen the favourite with a 78% chance of victory, reflecting their 1-2 record and 80.3 points per game compared with Alkar's 1-1 record and 87.0 points per game. Alkar have played two games this season, winning one and losing one, allowing 90.0 points per game, while Donar Groningen have played three, winning one and losing two, allowing 83.7 points per game; Donar's road record is 0-2 with 75.5 points per game and 90.0 allowed. Alkar's last five games have yielded five losses, including defeats to Dinamo Zagreb 75-85 away, Split 75-76 at home, and Cedevita Junior 78-83 away, whereas Donar's last five games include wins over Leiden 96-83 away and Voluntari 90-71 at home, and a loss to Okapi Aalst 90-114 away. Their only prior meeting ended with Donar Groningen beating Alkar 90-71 on 16 December 2025. Pythia projects a 79-87 score, a total of 165.6 points, with a 22% probability that Alkar will win and a 78% probability that Donar will win; the home line is 1.0 with a 23% chance of covering, and the over/under line is 163.0 with a 56% chance of the over, while the game has a 4% chance of overtime. The match will hinge on Donar's recent offensive output and Alkar's struggling defence.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (2) | 87.0 | 90.0 | 177.0 | -3.0 | 50% |
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away (2) | 87.0 | 90.0 | 177.0 | -3.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.6 | 86.5 | 167.1 | -5.9 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.6 | 85.0 | 161.6 | -8.4 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (21) | 71.0 | 81.0 | 152.0 | -10.0 | 19% |
| vs Similar (8) | 81.9 | 83.4 | 165.2 | -1.5 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 74.0 | 72.0 | 146.0 | +2.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 80.3 | 83.7 | 164.0 | -3.3 | 33% |
| Season at home (1) | 90.0 | 71.0 | 161.0 | +19.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 75.5 | 90.0 | 165.5 | -14.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.7 | 85.0 | 166.7 | -3.3 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.0 | 87.2 | 171.2 | -3.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 79.2 | 92.7 | 171.8 | -13.5 | 25% |
| vs Similar (14) | 85.2 | 79.9 | 165.1 | +5.4 | 64% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (4) | 90.5 | 83.0 | 173.5 | +7.5 | 75% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 81.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.9 | 40.7 | 77.6 | -3.9 | 30% | 33% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 37.1 | 38.1 | 75.2 | -0.9 | 43% | 36% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 36.6 | 43.1 | 79.7 | -6.4 | 19% | 31% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.2 | 43.4 | 83.6 | -3.2 | 30% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.8 | 45.4 | 89.2 | -1.6 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (21) | 35.2 | 40.5 | 75.8 | -5.3 | 19% | 29% |
| vs Similar (8) | 40.1 | 41.2 | 81.4 | -1.1 | 50% | 38% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 45.0 | 41.0 | 86.0 | +4.0 | 100% | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 81.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.9 | 41.0 | 83.9 | +1.9 | 53% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 42.8 | 38.4 | 81.2 | +4.4 | 69% | 56% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 42.9 | 44.0 | 86.9 | -1.1 | 36% | 64% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.0 | 41.8 | 84.8 | +1.2 | 50% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.8 | 43.6 | 85.4 | -1.8 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 40.9 | 46.2 | 87.2 | -5.3 | 25% | 75% |
| vs Similar (14) | 42.9 | 36.5 | 79.4 | +6.4 | 71% | 36% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (4) | 48.8 | 41.0 | 89.8 | +7.8 | 75% | 100% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donar Groningen +2 | 81.8% | 1.72 | 1.72 | - | - | - | - | +28.8pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen +2.5 | 82.3% | 1.50 | 1.67 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +27.6pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen +3 | 83.9% | 1.61 | 1.61 | - | - | - | - | +27.3pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen +4 | 86.0% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +26.2pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen +3.5 | 84.2% | 1.42 | 1.56 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +25.9pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen over 81 | 73.5% | 1.76 | 1.76 | - | - | - | - | +24.7pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen over 80 | 76.8% | 1.65 | 1.65 | - | - | - | - | +24.6pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen over 76.5 | 85.3% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +21.5pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen +1 | 79.1% | 1.65 | 1.72 | 1.57 | - | - | - | +21.2pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen over 81.5 | 71.1% | 1.77 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.80 | 1.56 | - | +20.9pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen +1.5 | 79.5% | 1.63 | 1.75 | 1.73 | 1.72 | 1.54 | 1.40 | +20.6pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen (regulation) | 75.2% | 1.58 | 1.58 | 1.58 | - | - | - | +18.9pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen -3 | 70.8% | 1.79 | 1.80 | 1.79 | 1.79 | - | - | +18.7pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen -1 | 77.0% | 1.73 | 1.83 | 1.76 | 1.59 | - | - | +18.7pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen -2 | 74.4% | 1.77 | 1.87 | 1.66 | - | - | - | +18.5pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen -1.5 | 75.3% | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.91 | 1.90 | 1.83 | 1.80 | +18.1pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen win | 77.6% | 1.56 | 1.67 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 1.56 | 1.56 | +17.4pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen -2.5 | 71.7% | 1.76 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 1.82 | 1.74 | 1.73 | +17.4pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen over 82 | 70.1% | 1.63 | 1.63 | - | - | - | - | +17.2pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen over 80.5 | 74.4% | 1.48 | 1.48 | - | - | - | - | +15.6pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen over 79.5 | 77.5% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +15.2pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen over 78.5 | 80.3% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +15.0pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen over 77.5 | 83.0% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +14.4pp | Won |
| Alkar under 85.5 | 75.4% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +8.4pp | Won |
| Alkar under 84.5 | 72.3% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +8.4pp | Won |
| Alkar under 86.5 | 78.2% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 96.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.6 | 21.1 | 53.5% | 42.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.4 | 8.4 | 32.5% | 25.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.4 | 13.0 | 70.7% | 13.0 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.2 | 18.9 | 53.5% | 37.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.9 | 10.6 | 32.5% | 31.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.7 | 12.1 | 70.7% | 12.1 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16/12/25 | Donar Groningen v Alkar | 90-71 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/26 | A | Dinamo Zagreb | 75-85 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Split | 75-76 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Cedevita Junior | 78-83 |
| 14/10/26 | A | Spartak Pleven | 82-93 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Skrljevo | 73-88 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Samobor | 95-91 OT |
| 30/09/26 | A | Zrinjski Mostar | 92-87 OT |
| 27/09/26 | H | Cibona | 78-84 |
| 09/05/26 | A | Dubrovnik | 70-87 |
| 01/05/26 | A | GKK Sibenka | 88-91 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | A | Leiden | 96-83 |
| 27/10/26 | H | Voluntari | 90-71 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Okapi Aalst | 90-114 |
| 14/10/26 | H | Spirou Charleroi | 63-90 |
| 06/10/26 | H | Leuven Bears | 81-78 |
| 02/10/26 | A | Kortrijk | 85-76 |
| 30/09/26 | A | Tal Tech | 70-83 |
| 24/09/26 | A | Anwil Wloclawek | 81-97 |
| 09/05/26 | H | Limburg | 71-82 |
| 06/05/26 | A | Rotterdam | 90-76 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WL | 50% |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | WL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | - | 2 |
| Win % | 50% | - | 50% |
| Points / game | 87.0 | - | 87.0 |
| Allowed / game | 90.0 | - | 90.0 |
| Point differential | -3.0 | - | -3.0 |
| Avg total | 177.0 | - | 177.0 |
| Over 163.75 | 100% | - | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | - | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 50% | - | 50% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLW | 33% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 80.3 | 90.0 | 75.5 |
| Allowed / game | 83.7 | 71.0 | 90.0 |
| Point differential | -3.3 | +19.0 | -14.5 |
| Avg total | 164.0 | 161.0 | 165.5 |
| Over 163.75 | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kapfenberg Bulls | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 101.0 | 77.0 | +24.0 |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 98.3 | 76.7 | +21.7 | |
| 3 | Tindastoll | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 84.7 | 69.3 | +15.3 |
| 4 | AEL | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 76.3 | 62.0 | +14.3 |
| 5 | Spartak Pleven | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 77.5 | 72.2 | +5.2 |
| 6 | Voluntari | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 79.3 | 83.3 | -4.0 |
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 91.5 | 84.0 | +7.5 | |
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 75.5 | 72.0 | +3.5 | |
| 9 | Tal Tech | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 79.8 | 79.5 | +0.2 |
| 10 | Alkar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 87.0 | 90.0 | -3.0 |
| 11 | Dubrava | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 83.0 | 91.5 | -8.5 |
| 12 | CIU | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 82.0 | 85.0 | -3.0 |
| 13 | Donar Groningen | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 80.3 | 83.7 | -3.3 |
| 14 | Bristol Flyers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 79.0 | 87.7 | -8.7 |
| 15 | Fyllingen | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 70.2 | 80.2 | -10.0 |
| 16 | BK Liepaja | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 76.2 | 89.8 | -13.5 |
| 17 | Zrinjski Mostar | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 77.3 | 81.3 | -4.0 |
| 18 | Lausanne Basket | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 75.0 | 90.0 | -15.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alkar | 25 | 15 | 24 | 16 | 80 |
| Donar Groningen | 22 | 28 | 25 | 17 | 92 |
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