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Donar Groningen vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 81-78
11-13 29-17 22-23 19-25
Position#11
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#9
Record1-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game65.0
EuropeBNXT League· MartiniPlaza
Other2026-27
Meetings · Donar Groningen v Leuven Bears
06 Oct 2026
DGR81
LEUV78
11 Nov 2025
DGR82
LEUV76
26 Jan 2025
DGR82
LEUV76
02 Apr 2022
DGR68
LEUV72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Donar Groningen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#14
W
78-67
78
67
+11
77avg 79
A19/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
L
88-89
88
89
-1
78avg 79
A22/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
99-63
99
63
+36
103avg 79
H25/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
67-81
67
81
-14
56avg 79
H28/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
84-82
84
82
+2
85avg 79
H03/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
90-76
90
76
+14
94avg 79
A06/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
71-82
71
82
-11
66avg 79
H09/05
BNXT League
Anwil Wloclawek
#7
L
81-97
81
97
-16
69avg 79
A24/09
ENBL
Tal Tech
#11
L
70-83
70
83
-13
54avg 79
A30/09
ENBL
Kortrijk
#14
W
85-76
85
76
+9
80avg 79
A02/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
21-15
16-14
18-20
18-24
28-24
24-13
18-28
22-14
23-11
27-15
27-23
18-23
25-16
14-22
10-20
16-19
21-22
25-22
22-19
17-19
30-22
26-12
17-23
15-24
27-18
12-22
17-18
23-27
15-19
25-26
18-25
19-20
21-20
14-23
16-20
29-17
25-14
13-23
18-22
160.9Avg total
81.3Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.076.0161.0+9.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)85.076.0161.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.379.6160.9+1.750%
Last 5 (5)79.482.8162.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)82.891.6174.3-8.833%
vs Similar (12)83.280.3163.6+2.958%
vs Weaker (6)89.581.0170.5+8.583%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
81-87
81
87
-6
72avg 72
A01/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
91-88
91
88
+3
86avg 72
H04/04
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
L
75-85
75
85
-10
62avg 72
A10/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
88-85
88
85
+3
80avg 72
H16/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
58-66
58
66
-8
48avg 72
A19/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
69-73
69
73
-4
62avg 72
A23/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
86-97
86
97
-11
80avg 72
H02/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
69-61
69
61
+8
68avg 72
H06/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
77-65
77
65
+12
70avg 72
A09/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#3
W
69-65
69
65
+4
45avg 72
H03/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
17-24
18-16
19-25
21-27
26-17
27-18
17-26
22-15
21-26
15-25
17-19
19-22
26-14
16-21
27-28
19-22
11-18
17-11
11-15
22-15
11-16
19-16
17-26
21-25
16-28
24-23
25-21
20-17
15-16
10-10
24-18
15-11
16-18
21-15
25-21
20-15
25-17
16-18
8-15
153.5Avg total
76.3Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)69.065.0134.0+4.0100%
Season at home (1)69.065.0134.0+4.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.377.2153.5-0.950%
Last 5 (5)74.072.2146.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.983.6161.5-5.736%
vs Similar (10)75.975.1151.0+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)85.872.2158.0+13.575%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
Donar GroningenLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#14
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A19/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A22/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H25/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H28/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H03/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A06/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H09/05
BNXT League
Anwil Wloclawek
#7
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A24/09
ENBL
Tal Tech
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A30/09
ENBL
Kortrijk
#14
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A02/10
BNXT League
82.2Avg total
43.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.783.6+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.738.081.7+5.771%-
Last 30 away (16)42.243.185.3-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)43.638.682.2+5.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.084.2+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)42.845.087.8-2.233%-
vs Similar (12)41.737.078.7+4.767%-
vs Weaker (6)45.539.785.2+5.867%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A01/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H04/04
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A10/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H16/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A19/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A23/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H02/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H06/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A09/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#3
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H03/10
BNXT League
77.5Avg total
39.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.637.778.3+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.337.379.6+5.062%-
Last 30 away (14)38.638.276.8+0.464%-
Last 10 (10)39.038.577.5+0.570%-
Last 5 (5)36.235.671.8+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.542.883.4-2.336%-
vs Similar (10)38.034.972.9+3.170%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.534.679.1+9.9100%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.7
55.6%
53.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.6
35.7%
32.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws14.711.1
75.5%
71.0%11.1
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.9
55.7%
53.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.5
30.1%
32.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws21.913.2
60.3%
71.0%13.2
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Donar Groningen
WLLLWWLWLW
Leuven Bears
WWWLLLWLWL
#11
League position
#9
+4.6
Net rating
+1.5
96.4
Offensive rating
90.7
91.8
Defensive rating
89.3
54.8%
Effective FG%
51.9%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.7%
3-point %
30.1%
55.8%
Assist %
57.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.4 · 90.7Defence91.8 · 89.3Shooting54.8% · 51.9%3-point %35.7% · 30.1%Ball care16.9% · 17.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Donar Groningen   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Donar Groningen wins
4
Leuven Bears wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/26AKortrijk85-76
30/09/26ATal Tech70-83
24/09/26AAnwil Wloclawek81-97
09/05/26HLimburg71-82
06/05/26ARotterdam90-76
03/05/26HOostende84-82
28/04/26HDen Bosch67-81
25/04/26HMechelen99-63
22/04/26ALWD Basket88-89
19/04/26AZwolle78-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26HSpirou Charleroi69-65
09/05/26ABAL Weert77-65
06/05/26HZwolle69-61
02/05/26HKortrijk86-97
23/04/26ASpirou Charleroi69-73
19/04/26ADen Bosch58-66
16/04/26HDen Bosch88-85
10/04/26ARotterdam75-85
04/04/26HBelfius Mons91-88
01/04/26AAntwerp Giants81-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game85.0-85.0
Allowed / game76.0-76.0
Point differential+9.0-+9.0
Avg total161.0-161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game69.069.0-
Allowed / game65.065.0-
Point differential+4.0+4.0-
Avg total134.0134.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants110100%100.063.0+37.0
2 Zwolle110100%70.059.0+11.0
3 Donar Groningen110100%85.076.0+9.0
4 Mechelen110100%109.0100.0+9.0
5 Okapi Aalst110100%95.087.0+8.0
6 Leiden110100%76.071.0+5.0
7 Leuven Bears110100%69.065.0+4.0
8 Spirou Charleroi1010%65.069.0-4.0
9 Rotterdam1010%71.076.0-5.0
10 Oostende1010%87.095.0-8.0
11 Kortrijk1010%76.085.0-9.0
12 Limburg1010%100.0109.0-9.0
13 Den Bosch1010%59.070.0-11.0
14 Belfius Mons1010%63.0100.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Donar Groningen1129221981
Leuven Bears1317232578
← all games of the day
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