Almansa vs Real Murcia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 25 May 2019

Tip-off: 17:00

Scheduled

Position#2

Record24-11

FormWWWWL

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game72.5

Almansa

Real Murcia

Position#3

Record23-12

FormWLWWW

Points / game74.1

Allowed / game68.1

Segunda FEBLEB Plata - Semi-finals

Other2018-19

Meetings · Almansa v Real Murcia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Almansa win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Real Murcia win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Almansa

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Taldea

#15

90-56

+34

H16/03

Segunda FEB

Estela

#17

90-84

A23/03

Segunda FEB

Zamora

#11

74-58

+16

H30/03

Segunda FEB

Iraurgi SB

61-75

-14

H06/04

Segunda FEB

Navarra

81-78

A12/04

Segunda FEB

Peixegalego

81-62

+19

H21/04

Segunda FEB

Taldea

#15

80-76

A27/04

Segunda FEB

Estela

#17

83-77

H04/05

Segunda FEB

Zamora

#11

81-78

A11/05

Segunda FEB

Real Murcia

63-65

-2

A18/05

Segunda FEB

19-12

26-17

28-21

17-6

30-22

17-21

19-15

24-26

16-17

15-23

13-4

30-14

8-16

15-14

21-24

17-21

23-21

20-27

22-17

16-13

19-22

26-20

19-6

17-14

16-13

24-18

22-17

18-28

24-16

18-25

20-15

21-21

18-18

20-19

26-21

17-20

10-22

21-7

12-21

20-15

149.3Avg total

78.4Scored

70.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	76.5	72.5	149.0	+4.1	69%
Season at home (17)	74.6	69.4	143.9	+5.2	65%
Season away (18)	78.3	75.4	153.7	+2.9	72%
Last 10 (10)	78.4	70.9	149.3	+7.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	71.6	149.2	+6.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	82.0	87.5	169.5	-5.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	72.5	72.5	144.9	+0.0	54%
vs Weaker (15)	80.5	69.7	150.2	+10.7	93%

This opponent (Real Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Murcia Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Peixegalego

52-64

-12

H16/03

Segunda FEB

Taldea

#15

59-68

-9

A23/03

Segunda FEB

Estela

#17

83-69

+14

H30/03

Segunda FEB

Zamora

#11

81-67

+14

H06/04

Segunda FEB

Iraurgi SB

78-71

A14/04

Segunda FEB

Navarra

101-72

101

+29

H20/04

Segunda FEB

Peixegalego

71-73

-2

A27/04

Segunda FEB

Taldea

#15

92-67

+25

H04/05

Segunda FEB

Estela

#17

70-68

A11/05

Segunda FEB

Almansa

65-63

H18/05

Segunda FEB

9-10

13-15

7-15

23-24

14-8

16-17

10-23

19-20

20-24

19-15

26-16

18-14

14-19

19-14

29-23

19-11

27-17

15-14

21-19

15-21

28-15

18-17

26-21

29-19

14-16

16-11

12-24

29-22

26-11

21-19

26-11

19-26

23-22

16-16

16-15

15-15

22-10

7-21

21-12

15-20

143.4Avg total

75.2Scored

68.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	74.1	68.1	142.2	+6.1	66%
Season at home (18)	75.4	66.6	142.0	+8.8	78%
Season away (17)	72.8	69.6	142.4	+3.2	53%
Last 10 (10)	75.2	68.2	143.4	+7.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	68.6	148.4	+11.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	72.5	71.5	144.0	+1.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	70.7	66.3	137.0	+4.3	83%
vs Weaker (22)	75.2	69.9	145.0	+5.3	59%

This opponent (Almansa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlmansaReal Murcia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.0	37.7	+1.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	17.2	36.4	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	18.8	38.9	+1.4	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	17.9	36.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.2	35.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.2	18.9	37.2	-0.7	54%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.7	16.9	37.5	+3.8	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.4	15.1	33.6	+3.3	66%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	14.9	33.5	+3.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	15.4	33.6	+2.8	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	15.2	34.9	+4.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	14.8	37.4	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	12.5	32.5	+7.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.8	14.5	34.3	+5.3	83%	-
vs Weaker (21)	17.9	15.5	33.4	+2.4	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	18.2	37.1	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.1	39.3	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	17.8	39.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	21.0	39.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.9	17.0	35.9	+1.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.5	19.7	39.1	-0.2	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.3	17.7	35.0	-0.3	45%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	17.8	35.9	+0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.3	17.5	33.8	-1.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	15.9	31.9	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	16.8	32.4	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	18.0	34.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	14.5	18.7	33.2	-4.2	17%	-
vs Weaker (21)	18.2	17.3	35.6	+0.9	52%	-

AlmansaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Taldea

#15

45-29

+16

H16/03

Segunda FEB

Estela

#17

47-43

A23/03

Segunda FEB

Zamora

#11

31-40

-9

H30/03

Segunda FEB

Iraurgi SB

23-30

-7

H06/04

Segunda FEB

Navarra

43-48

-5

A12/04

Segunda FEB

Peixegalego

45-42

H21/04

Segunda FEB

Taldea

#15

40-31

A27/04

Segunda FEB

Estela

#17

42-41

H04/05

Segunda FEB

Zamora

#11

38-37

A11/05

Segunda FEB

Real Murcia

31-29

A18/05

Segunda FEB

75.5Avg total

38.5Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	36.6	75.5	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.7	36.2	74.9	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.0	37.0	76.0	+2.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	37.0	75.5	+1.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	36.0	75.2	+3.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.5	42.0	82.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	37.2	35.9	73.1	+1.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (15)	40.1	36.5	76.7	+3.6	67%	-

This opponent (Real Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Peixegalego

22-25

-3

H16/03

Segunda FEB

Taldea

#15

30-25

A23/03

Segunda FEB

Estela

#17

39-39

H30/03

Segunda FEB

Zamora

#11

33-33

H06/04

Segunda FEB

Iraurgi SB

42-31

+11

A14/04

Segunda FEB

Navarra

46-32

+14

H20/04

Segunda FEB

Peixegalego

30-27

A27/04

Segunda FEB

Taldea

#15

47-30

+17

H04/05

Segunda FEB

Estela

#17

39-38

A11/05

Segunda FEB

Almansa

29-31

-2

H18/05

Segunda FEB

66.8Avg total

35.7Scored

31.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.8	32.8	68.5	+3.0	55%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.8	32.6	69.4	+4.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	34.5	32.9	67.5	+1.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	31.1	66.8	+4.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	31.6	69.8	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	36.0	30.5	66.5	+5.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	34.3	33.2	67.5	+1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (21)	36.1	32.9	69.0	+3.3	57%	-

This opponent (Almansa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	16.9	36.5	+2.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	19.2	37.9	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	16.1	36.3	+4.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.0	35.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	26.0	47.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	17.4	20.4	37.8	-3.0	23%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.3	15.2	35.5	+5.1	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	17.3	36.4	+1.8	72%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	15.8	35.9	+4.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.9	19.2	37.1	-1.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	17.9	37.3	+1.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.6	36.8	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	18.0	37.5	+1.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.2	15.2	34.3	+4.0	83%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.0	17.9	36.9	+1.2	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.2	36.0	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.0	15.6	33.6	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	18.6	38.1	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.8	37.5	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	17.9	16.2	34.1	+1.8	69%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.4	17.7	37.1	+1.7	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	38%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	18.4	37.9	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.7	20.8	39.5	-2.2	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.4	41.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	23.0	40.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	17.2	18.0	35.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.0	19.6	39.5	+0.4	38%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	35.3	73.3	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.6	32.5	70.1	+5.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.2	37.8	76.1	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	33.9	73.8	+6.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	35.6	74.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	41.5	45.5	87.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	35.3	36.5	71.8	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (15)	39.7	32.9	72.7	+6.8	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.3	36.8	75.1	+1.5	55%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.6	34.2	73.8	+5.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.6	40.0	76.6	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	37.1	76.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	37.0	78.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	36.5	41.0	77.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	36.3	33.2	69.5	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (21)	39.0	37.4	76.4	+1.6	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Almansa wins

Real Murcia wins

Date	Game	Score
18/05/19	Real Murcia v Almansa	65-63
05/01/19	Real Murcia v Almansa	85-77
27/10/18	Almansa v Real Murcia	62-80

Almansalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/05/19	A	Real Murcia	63-65
11/05/19	A	Zamora	81-78
04/05/19	H	Estela	83-77
27/04/19	A	Taldea	80-76
21/04/19	H	Peixegalego	81-62
12/04/19	A	Navarra	81-78
06/04/19	H	Iraurgi SB	61-75
30/03/19	H	Zamora	74-58
23/03/19	A	Estela	90-84
16/03/19	H	Taldea	90-56

Real Murcialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/05/19	H	Almansa	65-63
11/05/19	A	Estela	70-68
04/05/19	H	Taldea	92-67
27/04/19	A	Peixegalego	71-73
20/04/19	H	Navarra	101-72
14/04/19	A	Iraurgi SB	78-71
06/04/19	H	Zamora	81-67
30/03/19	H	Estela	83-69
23/03/19	A	Taldea	59-68
16/03/19	H	Peixegalego	52-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Almansa

Segunda FEB 2018-19

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	69%
Home	WWLWW	65%
Away	WWWWL	72%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	17	18
Win %	69%	65%	72%
Points / game	76.5	74.6	78.3
Allowed / game	72.5	69.4	75.4
Point differential	+4.1	+5.2	+2.9
Avg total	149.0	143.9	153.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	29%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	64% (11)	33% (3)	75% (8)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

Real Murcia

Segunda FEB 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	66%
Home	WWWWW	78%
Away	LLWLW	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	18	17
Win %	66%	78%	53%
Points / game	74.1	75.4	72.8
Allowed / game	68.1	66.6	69.6
Point differential	+6.1	+8.8	+3.2
Avg total	142.2	142.0	142.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	50%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	45% (11)	75% (4)	29% (7)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Alicante	34	28	6	82%	76.6	66.3	+10.3
2	Almansa	35	24	11	69%	76.5	72.5	+4.1
3	Real Murcia	35	23	12	66%	74.1	68.1	+6.1
4	Navarra	34	22	12	65%	74.5	72.9	+1.6
5	Villarrobledo	35	22	13	63%	74.4	72.0	+2.4
6	Peixegalego	35	20	15	57%	74.2	73.8	+0.4
7	Iraurgi SB	34	19	15	56%	72.0	68.7	+3.3
8	Vive Menorca	34	18	16	53%	71.9	70.5	+1.4
9	Clavijo	34	18	16	53%	76.7	75.4	+1.4
10	Basquet Girona	34	18	16	53%	70.6	71.6	-1.1
11	Zamora	34	17	17	50%	72.9	73.1	-0.2
12	Albacete	34	17	17	50%	69.8	74.2	-4.4
13	Moron	34	16	18	47%	69.3	69.0	+0.4
14	L'Hospitalet	34	16	18	47%	72.2	73.4	-1.1
15	Taldea	34	16	18	47%	74.1	76.7	-2.6
16	Plasencia	34	15	19	44%	71.4	70.1	+1.3
17	Estela	34	15	19	44%	73.8	74.2	-0.4
18	Avila	34	15	19	44%	71.1	72.7	-1.6
19	Baskonia B	34	15	19	44%	73.4	75.3	-1.9
20	Gijon	34	14	20	41%	75.2	73.9	+1.3
21	Azuqueca	34	13	21	38%	71.9	74.9	-3.0
22	Vic	34	11	23	32%	76.2	81.6	-5.4
23	La Roda	34	10	24	29%	71.8	75.9	-4.1
24	Tormes	34	8	26	24%	69.0	77.4	-8.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Almansa vs Real Murcia Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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