AlUla vs Al Nasr Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Dec 2024

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 128-96

21-11 32-20 33-30 42-35

Position#2

Record6-2

FormWWLLW

Points / game97.0

Allowed / game69.6

AlUla 🏆

Al Nasr

Position#4

Record6-2

FormLWWWL

Points / game95.8

Allowed / game80.9

Premier LeagueRound 9· Prince Nayef Sports City

Other2024-25

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AlUla winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Al Nasr winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlUla

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAlUla

Date

Competition

Al Khowildiah

#10

97-70

+27

no box

A18/10

Premier League

Al-Fateh

108-81

108

+27

98avg 93

H25/10

Premier League

Al Khaleej

85-49

+36

82avg 93

A28/10

Premier League

Ohod

144-91

144

+53

149avg 93

A02/12

Premier League

Al Safa of Safwa

110-57

110

+53

112avg 93

H06/12

Premier League

Al Ahli

80-85

-5

67avg 93

H13/12

Premier League

Al Ittihad

64-67

-3

54avg 93

A16/12

Premier League

Al Salam

88-57

+31

88avg 93

A20/12

Premier League

26-16

25-13

24-22

22-19

32-25

20-19

25-22

31-15

20-10

21-11

23-13

21-15

35-16

38-22

43-21

28-32

29-13

26-10

27-16

28-18

16-23

15-24

20-21

29-17

16-22

18-16

19-11

11-18

28-14

22-16

13-15

25-12

166.6Avg total

97.0Scored

69.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	97.0	69.6	166.6	+27.4	75%
Season at home (3)	99.3	74.3	173.7	+25.0	67%
Season away (5)	95.6	66.8	162.4	+28.8	80%
Last 10 (8)	97.0	69.6	166.6	+27.4	75%
Last 5 (5)	97.2	71.4	168.6	+25.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	97.0	69.6	166.6	+27.4	75%

This opponent (Al Nasr) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Al Nasr

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNasr

Date

Competition

Al Ittihad

66-90

-24

45avg 73

A18/03

Premier League

Al-Hilal

59-64

-5

44avg 73

A22/03

Premier League

Al Salam

105-74

105

+31

33avg 73

A18/10

Premier League

Al Khowildiah

#10

96-61

+35

97avg 73

H25/10

Premier League

Al-Fateh

92-82

+10

85avg 73

H28/10

Premier League

Al Ittihad

62-82

-20

47avg 73

A02/12

Premier League

Ohod

122-84

122

+38

111avg 73

A06/12

Premier League

Al Safa of Safwa

102-75

102

+27

92avg 73

H13/12

Premier League

Al Khaleej

84-76 OT

68avg 73

H16/12

Premier League

Al Ahli

103-113

103

113

-10

85avg 73

A20/12

Premier League

17-21

14-21

19-15

16-33

18-16

16-18

12-12

13-18

24-15

36-24

21-15

24-20

26-18

16-12

29-7

25-24

27-21

22-9

21-29

22-23

17-19

12-29

21-13

12-21

29-16

34-29

18-14

41-25

27-17

27-15

27-16

21-27

18-20

26-18

13-17

15-17

12-24

17-31

35-35

39-23

169.2Avg total

89.1Scored

80.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	95.8	80.9	176.6	+14.9	75%
Season at home (4)	93.5	73.5	167.0	+20.0	100%
Season away (4)	98.0	88.2	186.2	+9.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	89.1	80.1	169.2	+9.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	94.6	86.0	180.6	+8.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	84.0	85.5	169.5	-1.5	25%
vs Similar (6)	71.0	78.0	149.0	-7.0	33%
vs Weaker (20)	94.0	73.7	167.8	+20.3	95%

This opponent (AlUla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlUlaAl Nasr

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	25.2	17.4	42.6	+7.9	75%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	25.7	20.3	46.0	+5.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (5)	25.0	15.6	40.6	+9.4	80%	-
Last 10 (8)	25.2	17.4	42.6	+7.9	75%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	17.6	42.4	+7.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	25.2	17.4	42.6	+7.9	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.3	39.6	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	17.7	39.7	+4.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	18.9	39.5	+1.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	18.7	40.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	18.5	18.0	36.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.7	19.3	36.0	-2.7	17%	-
vs Weaker (20)	23.1	18.1	41.2	+5.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	23.1	16.4	39.5	+6.8	88%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	20.3	17.7	38.0	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (5)	24.8	15.6	40.4	+9.2	100%	-
Last 10 (8)	23.1	16.4	39.5	+6.8	88%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	17.6	41.4	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	23.1	16.4	39.5	+6.8	88%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.4	41.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	16.4	36.9	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.7	22.4	46.1	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	20.6	42.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	24.4	47.6	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.8	24.2	44.0	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.8	19.5	37.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (20)	23.8	18.4	42.2	+5.4	75%	-

AlUlaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Al Khowildiah

#10

51-29

+22

A18/10

Premier League

Al-Fateh

52-44

H25/10

Premier League

Al Khaleej

41-21

+20

A28/10

Premier League

Ohod

73-38

+35

A02/12

Premier League

Al Safa of Safwa

55-23

+32

H06/12

Premier League

Al Ahli

31-47

-16

H13/12

Premier League

Al Ittihad

34-38

-4

A16/12

Premier League

Al Salam

50-30

+20

A20/12

Premier League

82.1Avg total

48.4Scored

33.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	48.4	33.8	82.1	+14.6	75%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	46.0	38.0	84.0	+8.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (5)	49.8	31.2	81.0	+18.6	80%	-
Last 10 (8)	48.4	33.8	82.1	+14.6	75%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.6	35.2	83.8	+13.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	48.4	33.8	82.1	+14.6	75%	-

This opponent (Al Nasr) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Al NasrLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Al Ittihad

31-42

-11

A18/03

Premier League

Al-Hilal

34-34

A22/03

Premier League

Al Salam

60-39

+21

A18/10

Premier League

Al Khowildiah

#10

42-30

+12

H25/10

Premier League

Al-Fateh

49-30

+19

H28/10

Premier League

Al Ittihad

29-48

-19

A02/12

Premier League

Ohod

63-45

+18

A06/12

Premier League

Al Safa of Safwa

54-32

+22

H13/12

Premier League

Al Khaleej

44-38

H16/12

Premier League

Al Ahli

29-55

-26

A20/12

Premier League

82.8Avg total

43.5Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	37.7	81.0	+5.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.4	34.1	76.5	+8.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.2	41.3	85.5	+2.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	39.3	82.8	+4.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	43.6	87.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	38.2	42.2	80.5	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	34.5	38.8	73.3	-4.3	17%	-
vs Weaker (20)	47.0	36.5	83.5	+10.5	85%	-

This opponent (AlUla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	24.2	17.6	41.9	+6.6	75%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	24.0	19.7	43.7	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (5)	24.4	16.4	40.8	+8.0	80%	-
Last 10 (8)	24.2	17.6	41.9	+6.6	75%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	16.8	41.2	+7.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	24.2	17.6	41.9	+6.6	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	16.8	39.3	+5.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	17.5	39.5	+4.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	16.1	39.0	+6.7	87%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	17.3	38.9	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.0	41.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	23.5	21.2	44.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (20)	23.2	15.9	39.1	+7.2	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	24.4	18.2	42.6	+6.1	75%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	29.3	16.7	46.0	+12.7	100%	-
Last 30 away (5)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 10 (8)	24.4	18.2	42.6	+6.1	75%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	19.4	43.6	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	24.4	18.2	42.6	+6.1	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.8	42.6	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	21.6	43.9	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	23.1	45.9	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	22.6	48.2	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.3	22.3	39.7	-5.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (20)	22.9	20.1	43.1	+2.8	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	48.6	35.9	84.5	+12.8	100%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	53.3	36.3	89.7	+17.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (5)	45.8	35.6	81.4	+10.2	100%	-
Last 10 (8)	48.6	35.9	84.5	+12.8	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.6	36.2	84.8	+12.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	48.6	35.9	84.5	+12.8	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	37.7	81.8	+6.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.2	37.6	80.8	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.1	37.7	82.9	+7.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.4	40.4	84.8	+4.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	41.6	90.0	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	45.8	43.2	89.0	+2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	36.5	39.2	75.7	-2.7	17%	-
vs Weaker (20)	46.1	36.1	82.2	+10.0	85%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

AlUlatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AlUla: 101.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀43%

🏀12%

🏀🏀 2-pointers45.7 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 12% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game

51%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	22.8	56.1%	50.2%	45.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.2	14.5	41.2%	30.3%	43.5
🏀 Free throws	18.3	12.5	68.2%	67.8%	12.5

They take 75.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Al Nasrtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Nasr: 81.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀59%

🏀🏀🏀24%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 59% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game

51%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	52.3	24.1	46.1%	50.2%	48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	6.4	25.5%	30.3%	19.2
🏀 Free throws	20.4	14.0	68.6%	67.8%	14.0

They take 77.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	15.2	42.1%	50.2%	30.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.2	9.5	29.5%	30.3%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	17.7	10.8	61.3%	67.8%	10.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	19.9	48.9%	50.2%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	8.1	28.5%	30.3%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	20.8	13.5	64.9%	67.8%	13.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.9	20.2	50.5%	50.2%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.1	10.6	34.1%	30.3%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	19.1	13.6	71.5%	67.8%	13.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	15.2	42.1%	50.2%	30.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.2	9.5	29.5%	30.3%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	17.7	10.8	61.3%	67.8%	10.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	19.7	49.9%	50.2%	39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.5	7.6	27.8%	30.3%	22.9
🏀 Free throws	17.0	11.5	67.9%	67.8%	11.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

AlUla

WLLWWWWW

Al Nasr

LWWWLWWWLL

League position

+38.5

Net rating

+4.6

122.4

Offensive rating

98.4

83.8

Defensive rating

93.8

58.8%

Effective FG%

43.5%

43.2%

Opp. effective FG%

46.4%

16.7%

Turnover %

16.0%

34.7%

Off. rebound %

33.9%

0.24

Free-throw rate

0.26

41.2%

3-point %

25.5%

54.5%

Assist %

42.3%

75%

Form (last 8/10)

60%

Profile

■ AlUla ■ Al Nasr

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

AlUla wins

Al Nasr wins

No previous meetings.

AlUlalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/12/24	A	Al Salam	88-57
16/12/24	A	Al Ittihad	64-67
13/12/24	H	Al Ahli	80-85
06/12/24	H	Al Safa of Safwa	110-57
02/12/24	A	Ohod	144-91
28/10/24	A	Al Khaleej	85-49
25/10/24	H	Al-Fateh	108-81
18/10/24	A	Al Khowildiah	97-70

Al Nasrlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/12/24	A	Al Ahli	103-113
16/12/24	H	Al Khaleej	84-76 OT
13/12/24	H	Al Safa of Safwa	102-75
06/12/24	A	Ohod	122-84
02/12/24	A	Al Ittihad	62-82
28/10/24	H	Al-Fateh	92-82
25/10/24	H	Al Khowildiah	96-61
18/10/24	A	Al Salam	105-74
22/03/24	A	Al-Hilal	59-64
18/03/24	A	Al Ittihad	66-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AlUla

Premier League 2024-25

Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Losses (last 8)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	75%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	WWWLW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	3	5
Win %	75%	67%	80%
Points / game	97.0	99.3	95.6
Allowed / game	69.6	74.3	66.8
Point differential	+27.4	+25.0	+28.8
Avg total	166.6	173.7	162.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	75%	67%	80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Al Nasr

Premier League 2024-25

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	75%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	75%	100%	50%
Points / game	95.8	93.5	98.0
Allowed / game	80.9	73.5	88.2
Point differential	+14.9	+20.0	+9.8
Avg total	176.6	167.0	186.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	62%	75%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	12%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Al Ahli	8	8	0	100%	94.4	72.0	+22.4
2	Al Ittihad	8	8	0	100%	84.2	66.5	+17.8
3	AlUla	8	6	2	75%	97.0	69.6	+27.4
4	Al Nasr	8	6	2	75%	95.8	80.9	+14.9
5	Al Safa of Safwa	8	3	5	38%	70.4	83.2	-12.9
6	Al Salam	9	3	6	33%	78.9	80.1	-1.2
7	Al-Fateh	9	3	6	33%	77.8	82.4	-4.7
8	Al Khaleej	9	3	6	33%	69.1	78.9	-9.8
9	Ohod	9	2	7	22%	73.3	98.1	-24.8
10	Al Khowildiah	8	0	8	0%	65.2	89.2	-24.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
AlUla	21	32	33	42	128
Al Nasr	11	20	30	35	96

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AlUla vs Al Nasr Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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