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Al-Hilal vs Al Nasr Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 64-59
16-18 18-16 12-12 18-13
Position#1
Record18-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game99.2
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#4
Record16-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game74.9
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 22· Hall of the Ministry of Sports
Other2023-24
Meetings · Al-Hilal v Al Nasr
22 Mar 2024
AL-H64
AL N59
26 Mar 2023
AL-H86
AL N84
13 Dec 2021
AL-H98
AL N71
13 Apr 2021
AL-H71
AL N80
25 Dec 2020
AL-H82
AL N79
11 Oct 2019
AL-H75
AL N88
17 Jan 2019
AL-H66
AL N88
30 Nov 2017
AL-H79
AL N77
20 Mar 2017
AL-H72
AL N81
24 Mar 2016
AL-H86
AL N75
29 Nov 2014
AL-H61
AL N64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al-Hilal winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Nasr winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al-HilalSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Hilal
Date
Competition
Al Taawon
#12
W
114-84
114
84
+30
98avg 93
A05/01
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
101-85
101
85
+16
105avg 93
A19/01
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
86-80 OT
86
80
+6
no box
H22/01
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
91-76
91
76
+15
88avg 93
A26/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
99-85
99
85
+14
101avg 93
H02/02
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
136-90
136
90
+46
142avg 93
A05/02
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
109-68
109
68
+41
117avg 93
A08/03
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
72avg 93
H11/03
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
W
85-59
85
59
+26
82avg 93
H15/03
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
W
98-86
98
86
+12
100avg 93
A18/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
23-21
27-20
40-17
19-27
35-12
23-21
24-25
29-16
13-22
13-19
19-17
16-18
30-17
20-21
25-20
30-24
27-23
27-12
15-26
39-20
31-23
40-18
26-29
25-18
25-13
30-21
29-16
19-17
17-18
21-21
24-15
12-16
26-12
26-16
21-15
28-19
24-17
26-24
20-26
178.4Avg total
100.0Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)99.277.9177.0+21.386%
Season at home (10)96.969.2166.1+27.790%
Season away (11)101.385.7187.0+15.582%
Last 10 (10)100.078.4178.4+21.6100%
Last 5 (5)101.874.8176.6+27.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)93.087.0180.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)95.777.3173.0+18.479%
This opponent (Al Nasr) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al NasrSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNasr
Date
Competition
Al Taawon
#12
W
89-70
89
70
+19
75avg 79
H12/01
Premier League
Ohod
#5
L
93-104 OT
93
104
-11
no box
A19/01
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
77-67
77
67
+10
74avg 79
H22/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
95-75
95
75
+20
95avg 79
A26/01
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
123-84
123
84
+39
120avg 79
A29/01
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
86-77
86
77
+9
75avg 79
H02/02
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
L
71-80
71
80
-9
52avg 79
A08/03
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
79-61
79
61
+18
64avg 79
H11/03
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
58-73
58
73
-15
39avg 79
H15/03
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
L
66-90
66
90
-24
45avg 79
A18/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
23-15
31-15
20-26
19-21
24-25
29-17
14-23
20-20
21-14
20-19
16-14
18-27
30-22
21-11
26-15
29-18
23-16
34-25
37-25
25-17
20-23
20-15
21-22
14-24
26-17
16-15
15-24
20-16
13-10
24-24
22-11
14-20
10-15
15-20
19-18
17-21
14-21
19-15
16-33
161.8Avg total
83.7Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.674.9161.5+11.776%
Season at home (11)83.871.5155.3+12.482%
Season away (10)89.678.7168.3+10.970%
Last 10 (10)83.778.1161.8+5.660%
Last 5 (5)72.076.2148.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)81.485.3166.7-3.957%
vs Similar (8)75.078.6153.6-3.638%
vs Weaker (15)90.172.3162.5+17.893%
This opponent (Al-Hilal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +7.3+7.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -0.5-0.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +7.3+7.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -0.5-0.5
Al-HilalAl Nasr
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al-HilalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Taawon
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A05/01
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A19/01
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H22/01
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A26/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H02/02
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
70-43
70
43
+27
A05/02
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A08/03
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H11/03
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H15/03
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A18/03
Premier League
87.1Avg total
49.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.138.386.4+9.877%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.435.283.6+13.293%-
Last 30 away (15)47.841.589.3+6.360%-
Last 10 (10)49.237.987.1+11.390%-
Last 5 (5)49.234.683.8+14.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)46.044.590.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)48.237.986.1+10.479%-
This opponent (Al Nasr) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al NasrLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Taawon
#12
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H12/01
Premier League
Ohod
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A19/01
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H22/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A26/01
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A29/01
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H02/02
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A08/03
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H11/03
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H15/03
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A18/03
Premier League
77.1Avg total
39.5Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.779.8+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.136.076.1+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)42.041.583.5+0.533%-
Last 10 (10)39.537.677.1+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)34.636.871.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.443.182.6-3.714%-
vs Similar (8)36.539.075.5-2.525%-
vs Weaker (15)44.236.580.7+7.780%-
This opponent (Al-Hilal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al-Hilaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Hilal: 98.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.824.3
61.1%
53.6%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.312.7
39.3%
32.3%38.1
🏀 Free throws16.111.6
72.0%
68.3%11.6
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Nasrtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Nasr: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.3
48.6%
53.6%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.012.4
34.4%
32.3%37.2
🏀 Free throws17.613.2
75.0%
68.3%13.2
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al-Hilal
WWWWWWWWWW
Al Nasr
LLWLWWWWLW
#1
League position
#4
+21.2
Net rating
+12.9
120.2
Offensive rating
109.4
99.1
Defensive rating
96.5
60.1%
Effective FG%
50.1%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
15.2%
Turnover %
12.1%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.3%
3-point %
34.4%
62.7%
Assist %
52.2%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence120.2 · 109.4Defence99.1 · 96.5Shooting60.1% · 50.1%3-point %39.3% · 34.4%Ball care15.2% · 12.1%Off. rebounds26.4% · 24.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)100% · 60%
■ Al-Hilal   ■ Al Nasr
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Al-Hilal wins
5
Al Nasr wins
DateGameScore
01/01/24Al Nasr v Al-Hilal112-83
26/03/23Al-Hilal v Al Nasr86-84
28/11/22Al Nasr v Al-Hilal88-79
20/03/22Al Nasr v Al-Hilal70-78
19/03/22Al Nasr v Al-Hilal78-73
13/12/21Al-Hilal v Al Nasr98-71
13/04/21Al-Hilal v Al Nasr71-80
12/04/21Al Nasr v Al-Hilal82-76
08/03/21Al Nasr v Al-Hilal80-82 OT
25/12/20Al-Hilal v Al Nasr82-79
Al-Hilallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/24AAl Ahli98-86
15/03/24HAl Ittihad85-59
11/03/24HAl-Fateh81-71
08/03/24AAl Salam109-68
05/02/24ADbae136-90
02/02/24HAl Safa of Safwa99-85
26/01/24AAl Khaleej91-76
22/01/24HOhod86-80 OT
19/01/24AAl Wehda101-85
05/01/24AAl Taawon114-84
Al Nasrlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/24AAl Ittihad66-90
15/03/24HAl Ahli58-73
11/03/24HAl Salam79-61
08/03/24AAl-Fateh71-80
02/02/24HAl Khaleej86-77
29/01/24ADbae123-84
26/01/24AAl Safa of Safwa95-75
22/01/24HAl Wehda77-67
19/01/24AOhod93-104 OT
12/01/24HAl Taawon89-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al-Hilal
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeLWWWW90%
AwayWWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %86%90%82%
Points / game99.296.9101.3
Allowed / game77.969.285.7
Point differential+21.3+27.7+15.5
Avg total177.0166.1187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+76%80%73%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %10%10%9%
Al Nasr
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL76%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayLWWLL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %76%82%70%
Points / game86.683.889.6
Allowed / game74.971.578.7
Point differential+11.7+12.4+10.9
Avg total161.5155.3168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%55%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Hilal2118386%99.277.9+21.3
2 Al Ittihad2218482%89.277.4+11.8
3 Al Ahli2217577%88.073.8+14.1
4 Al Nasr2116576%86.674.9+11.7
5 Ohod2113862%85.981.1+4.8
6 Al-Fateh21111052%91.682.9+8.7
7 Al Wehda2191243%84.284.7-0.5
8 Al Salam2181338%73.681.0-7.4
9 Al Khaleej2171433%80.085.0-5.1
10 Al Safa of Safwa2171433%80.588.5-8.0
11 Dbae2131814%72.5100.0-27.5
12 Al Taawon210210%69.494.5-25.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al-Hilal1618121864
Al Nasr1816121359
← all games of the day
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