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Alvark vs Gunma Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 07:05
Final 86-90 (OT)
23-20 15-22 20-13 19-22 9-13
Position#2
Record45-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game69.6
vs
Gunma 🏆
Japan
Position#13
Record29-27
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game81.5
JapanB League· Yoyogi National Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alvark v Gunma
03 Jan 2027
ALVA v GUNM
upcoming
01 Jan 2027
ALVA v GUNM
upcoming
28 Apr 2024
ALVA80
GUNM64
27 Apr 2024
ALVA86
GUNM90
06 Dec 2023
ALVA82
GUNM91
19 Apr 2023
ALVA91
GUNM73
16 Oct 2022
ALVA82
GUNM84
15 Oct 2022
ALVA86
GUNM76
17 Apr 2022
ALVA80
GUNM72
16 Apr 2022
ALVA82
GUNM54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gunma winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#19
W
81-75
81
75
+6
75avg 76
A30/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
79-66
79
66
+13
75avg 76
A31/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
57-69
57
69
-12
49avg 76
H06/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
65-61
65
61
+4
62avg 76
H07/04
B League
Sendai
#16
W
78-68
78
68
+10
73avg 76
A10/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
88-65
88
65
+23
89avg 76
H13/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
79-67
79
67
+12
73avg 76
H14/04
B League
Chiba
#9
W
78-67
78
67
+11
73avg 76
H17/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 76
A20/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
70-61
70
61
+9
60avg 76
A21/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
16-16
15-18
27-24
21-9
27-27
12-18
19-12
18-12
11-16
15-21
13-20
27-17
14-15
13-11
11-18
25-11
21-20
16-19
16-18
28-14
23-18
23-21
14-12
19-21
21-13
21-14
18-19
25-13
17-13
24-21
12-20
19-27
23-15
16-19
18-19
20-11
15-23
16-14
19-13
143.0Avg total
75.1Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)81.269.6150.8+11.680%
Season at home (28)79.570.9150.4+8.671%
Season away (28)82.968.4151.2+14.589%
Last 10 (10)75.167.9143.0+7.280%
Last 5 (5)78.268.0146.2+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)78.576.5155.0+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)82.372.5154.8+9.781%
This opponent (Gunma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GunmaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGunma
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
86-92
86
92
-6
84avg 73
A30/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
68avg 73
A31/03
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
80avg 73
H06/04
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
76avg 73
H07/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
77-89
77
89
-12
71avg 73
A10/04
B League
Chiba
#9
L
65-96
65
96
-31
53avg 73
A13/04
B League
Chiba
#9
L
75-88
75
88
-13
66avg 73
A14/04
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
90-98
90
98
-8
80avg 73
H17/04
B League
Akita
#14
W
89-59
89
59
+30
85avg 73
H20/04
B League
Akita
#14
L
72-101
72
101
-29
55avg 73
H21/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
21-33
13-13
33-21
17-19
27-27
21-18
14-20
22-15
15-23
20-17
15-17
24-15
21-26
21-13
13-25
16-19
23-21
20-28
18-21
14-29
22-22
15-23
14-22
24-24
23-18
13-26
15-20
25-14
18-31
14-22
33-31
16-16
24-13
27-17
22-13
21-30
16-29
17-23
18-19
168.3Avg total
80.8Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)79.881.5161.3-1.752%
Season at home (28)81.482.0163.4-0.657%
Season away (28)78.381.0159.3-2.846%
Last 10 (10)80.887.5168.3-6.730%
Last 5 (5)78.288.4166.6-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)83.189.7172.8-6.625%
vs Similar (10)80.775.3156.0+5.480%
vs Weaker (8)89.480.8170.1+8.688%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.3+7.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.3+7.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
AlvarkGunma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#19
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A30/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A31/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H06/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H07/04
B League
Sendai
#16
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A10/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H13/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H14/04
B League
Chiba
#9
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H17/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A20/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A21/04
B League
74.1Avg total
41.3Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.136.978.0+4.170%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.437.078.4+4.475%-
Last 30 away (14)40.736.977.6+3.964%-
Last 10 (10)41.332.874.1+8.590%-
Last 5 (5)42.033.675.6+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)37.039.076.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.736.678.3+5.173%-
This opponent (Gunma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GunmaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A30/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A31/03
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H06/04
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H07/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A10/04
B League
Chiba
#9
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A13/04
B League
Chiba
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A14/04
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H17/04
B League
Akita
#14
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H20/04
B League
Akita
#14
L
37-59
37
59
-22
H21/04
B League
85.7Avg total
40.8Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.583.5+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.441.984.3+0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)41.541.282.7+0.340%-
Last 10 (10)40.844.985.7-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.645.285.8-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)43.745.288.9-1.642%-
vs Similar (10)39.540.379.8-0.840%-
vs Weaker (8)42.437.579.9+4.962%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.6
49.0%
50.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.6
29.5%
33.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.412.3
66.8%
72.0%12.3
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gunmatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gunma: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.8
50.0%
50.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.2
34.3%
33.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.714.6
74.1%
72.0%14.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
WLWWWWWLWW
Gunma
LWLLLLWWLL
#2
League position
#13
+10.7
Net rating
-8.8
107.8
Offensive rating
103.8
97.0
Defensive rating
112.6
47.1%
Effective FG%
50.6%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
14.6%
Turnover %
14.8%
37.5%
Off. rebound %
19.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.5%
3-point %
34.3%
65.1%
Assist %
67.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 103.8Defence97.0 · 112.6Shooting47.1% · 50.6%3-point %29.5% · 34.3%Ball care14.6% · 14.8%Off. rebounds37.5% · 19.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Alvark   ■ Gunma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Alvark wins
2
Gunma wins
DateGameScore
20/03/24Gunma v Alvark87-89
06/12/23Alvark v Gunma82-91
19/04/23Alvark v Gunma91-73
18/01/23Gunma v Alvark68-79
16/10/22Alvark v Gunma82-84
15/10/22Alvark v Gunma86-76
17/04/22Alvark v Gunma80-72
16/04/22Alvark v Gunma82-54
03/04/22Gunma v Alvark83-91
02/04/22Gunma v Alvark67-74
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24AUtsunomiya Brex70-61
20/04/24AUtsunomiya Brex76-80
17/04/24HChiba78-67
14/04/24HIbaraki Robots79-67
13/04/24HIbaraki Robots88-65
10/04/24ASendai78-68
07/04/24HSeaHorses Mikawa65-61
06/04/24HSeaHorses Mikawa57-69
31/03/24AYokohama79-66
30/03/24AYokohama81-75
Gunmalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24HAkita72-101
20/04/24HAkita89-59
17/04/24HHokkaido90-98
14/04/24AChiba75-88
13/04/24AChiba65-96
10/04/24AUtsunomiya Brex77-89
07/04/24HShinshu89-85 OT
06/04/24HShinshu86-83 OT
31/03/24AHiroshima D.79-84
30/03/24AHiroshima D.86-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWWWLW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562828
Win %80%71%89%
Points / game81.279.582.9
Allowed / game69.670.968.4
Point differential+11.6+8.6+14.5
Avg total150.8150.4151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%61%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %4%4%4%
Gunma
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL52%
HomeWWLWL57%
AwayLLLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562828
Win %52%57%46%
Points / game79.881.478.3
Allowed / game81.582.081.0
Point differential-1.7-0.6-2.8
Avg total161.3163.4159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%7%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)86% (7)0% (1)
Overtime %7%11%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex5748984%81.169.4+11.7
2 Alvark56451180%81.269.6+11.6
3 NeoPhoenix57451279%89.978.9+10.9
4 Ryukyu57401770%83.077.8+5.2
5 Diamond Dolphins57381967%84.179.6+4.5
6 Hiroshima D.57342360%79.673.7+5.9
7 SeaHorses Mikawa57342360%80.275.6+4.6
8 Chiba57342360%84.381.6+2.7
9 Shimane57322556%82.678.8+3.8
10 Brave Thunders57322556%80.278.0+2.2
11 Sun Rockers Shibuya57322556%74.874.2+0.6
12 Nagoya Fighting Eagles57312654%75.875.3+0.5
13 Gunma56292752%79.881.5-1.7
14 Saga57282949%75.274.8+0.4
15 Akita57282949%74.075.2-1.1
16 Sendai56253145%78.780.6-1.9
17 Nagasaki56243243%80.683.8-3.2
18 Yokohama57233440%77.182.2-5.1
19 Osaka56223439%79.183.2-4.1
20 Hokkaido57174030%75.882.2-6.4
21 Kyoto57164128%77.184.4-7.3
22 Ibaraki Robots56114520%76.886.3-9.6
23 Shinshu5794816%72.182.9-10.7
24 Toyama574537%72.185.8-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Alvark23152019986
Gunma202213221390
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