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Alvark vs Gunma Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 01 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 08:05
Scheduled
Position#4
Record14-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#6
Record12-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game73.8
JapanB League· Toyota Arena Tokyo
Other2026-27
Meetings · Alvark v Gunma
03 Jan 2027
ALVA v GUNM
upcoming
01 Jan 2027
ALVA v GUNM
upcoming
28 Apr 2024
ALVA80
GUNM64
27 Apr 2024
ALVA86
GUNM90
06 Dec 2023
ALVA82
GUNM91
19 Apr 2023
ALVA91
GUNM73
16 Oct 2022
ALVA82
GUNM84
15 Oct 2022
ALVA86
GUNM76
17 Apr 2022
ALVA80
GUNM72
16 Apr 2022
ALVA82
GUNM54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Gunma win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
66-69
66
69
-3
60avg 83
H22/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
82-91
82
91
-9
72avg 83
H24/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
112-88
112
88
+24
116avg 83
A26/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
100-90
100
90
+10
99avg 83
H31/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
106-71
106
71
+35
102avg 83
H01/11
B League
Tainan TSG GhostHawks
#8
L
85-90
85
90
-5
no box
A04/11
EASL
Sendai
#5
L
69-96
69
96
-27
no box
A06/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
88-67
88
67
+21
no box
H08/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
H11/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
99-83
99
83
+16
no box
H14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
22-21
14-15
11-14
19-23
18-21
18-15
27-32
33-13
28-17
21-30
30-28
25-20
19-26
31-18
25-26
26-15
25-10
24-31
31-15
17-15
23-17
28-27
17-31
10-24
22-19
19-22
18-31
20-16
23-17
23-14
22-20
22-24
11-16
23-20
26-13
27-17
20-24
26-22
26-20
170.7Avg total
88.9Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)92.982.3175.3+10.678%
Season at home (11)87.477.3164.6+10.173%
Season away (7)101.790.3192.0+11.486%
Last 10 (10)88.981.8170.7+7.160%
Last 5 (5)84.681.8166.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.094.5161.5-27.50%
vs Similar ◀ (6)92.892.8185.7+0.050%
vs Weaker (21)91.679.0170.5+12.681%
This opponent (Gunma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GunmaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGunma
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
72-61
72
61
+11
67avg 78
A12/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
86-100
86
100
-14
73avg 78
H17/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
L
80-83
80
83
-3
72avg 78
A19/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
85-93
85
93
-8
80avg 78
A23/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
85-74
85
74
+11
73avg 78
A26/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
93-60
93
60
+33
94avg 78
H31/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
102-60
102
60
+42
106avg 78
H01/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
W
90-83
90
83
+7
no box
A06/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H09/11
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
85-74
85
74
+11
no box
A13/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
16-12
17-17
23-17
32-33
23-19
16-25
15-23
27-16
14-21
19-19
20-27
22-11
18-33
25-23
20-26
15-21
26-15
11-21
33-17
21-7
20-19
34-10
18-24
24-15
29-20
21-13
28-12
22-14
27-15
19-23
22-31
23-18
21-16
20-25
23-17
21-16
32-20
14-21
18-17
162.9Avg total
86.5Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.873.8156.6+9.175%
Season at home (8)86.672.1158.8+14.588%
Season away (8)79.075.4154.4+3.662%
Last 10 (10)86.576.4162.9+10.170%
Last 5 (5)91.470.6162.0+20.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)82.880.7163.5+2.250%
vs Weaker (24)83.971.5155.4+12.479%
This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
AlvarkGunma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H22/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H24/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
61-30
61
30
+31
A26/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H31/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H01/11
B League
Tainan TSG GhostHawks
#8
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A04/11
EASL
Sendai
#5
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A06/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H08/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H11/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H14/11
B League
80.3Avg total
42.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.584.3+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.337.982.2+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)43.343.186.5+0.240%-
Last 10 (10)42.937.480.3+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.876.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.540.575.0-6.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)44.349.894.2-5.517%-
vs Weaker (21)44.438.583.0+5.962%-
This opponent (Gunma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GunmaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A12/10
B League
Alvark
#4
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H17/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A19/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A23/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A26/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H31/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H01/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A06/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H09/11
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A13/11
B League
80.5Avg total
44.9Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.836.679.5+6.280%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.737.080.7+6.793%-
Last 30 away (15)42.036.378.3+5.767%-
Last 10 (10)44.935.680.5+9.390%-
Last 5 (5)48.032.080.0+16.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)46.739.285.8+7.583%-
vs Weaker (24)41.936.077.9+5.979%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 94.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.6
59.0%
53.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.712.0
37.9%
32.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws23.317.1
73.4%
73.8%17.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gunmatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gunma: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.0
53.3%
53.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.7
32.7%
32.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.717.3
79.7%
73.8%17.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
WWWLLWWWLL
Gunma
WWWWWWLLLW
#4
League position
#6
+16.2
Net rating
+9.6
109.0
Offensive rating
100.4
92.8
Defensive rating
90.8
58.0%
Effective FG%
51.3%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
11.1%
Turnover %
12.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.9%
3-point %
32.7%
60.7%
Assist %
64.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 100.4Defence92.8 · 90.8Shooting58.0% · 51.3%3-point %37.9% · 32.7%Ball care11.1% · 12.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Alvark   ■ Gunma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alvark wins
6
Gunma wins
DateGameScore
17/10/26Gunma v Alvark86-100
15/03/26Gunma v Alvark78-54
14/03/26Gunma v Alvark92-66
29/12/24Gunma v Alvark80-73
28/12/24Gunma v Alvark74-62
28/04/24Alvark v Gunma80-64
27/04/24Alvark v Gunma86-90 OT
20/03/24Gunma v Alvark87-89
06/12/23Alvark v Gunma82-91
19/04/23Alvark v Gunma91-73
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HHiroshima D.99-83
11/11/26HNagasaki82-73
08/11/26HNeoPhoenix88-67
06/11/26ASendai69-96
04/11/26ATainan TSG GhostHawks85-90
01/11/26HUtsunomiya Brex106-71
31/10/26HUtsunomiya Brex100-90
26/10/26ASaga112-88
24/10/26HSeaHorses Mikawa82-91
22/10/26HIbaraki Robots66-69
Gunmalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AShinshu85-74
09/11/26HDiamond Dolphins87-76
06/11/26ASeaHorses Mikawa90-83
01/11/26HOsaka102-60
31/10/26HOsaka93-60
26/10/26AAltiri Chiba85-74
23/10/26ARyukyu85-93
19/10/26AUtsunomiya Brex80-83
17/10/26HAlvark86-100
12/10/26ASaga72-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %78%73%86%
Points / game92.987.4101.7
Allowed / game82.377.390.3
Point differential+10.6+10.1+11.4
Avg total175.3164.6192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%64%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %6%0%14%
Gunma
B League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %75%88%62%
Points / game82.886.679.0
Allowed / game73.872.175.4
Point differential+9.1+14.5+3.6
Avg total156.6158.8154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1412286%91.278.7+12.5
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1812667%90.879.9+10.9
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
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