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Alvark vs Kyoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 83-81 (OT)
14-18 14-17 22-20 19-14 14-12
Position#4
Record26-11
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game70.6
Alvark 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#10
Record20-17
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game79.0
JapanB League· Yoyogi National Stadium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alvark v Kyoto
02 Mar 2025
ALVA81
KYOT66
01 Mar 2025
ALVA83
KYOT81
11 Dec 2022
ALVA62
KYOT58
10 Dec 2022
ALVA86
KYOT70
07 Nov 2021
ALVA84
KYOT57
06 Nov 2021
ALVA102
KYOT80
21 Mar 2021
ALVA89
KYOT93
20 Mar 2021
ALVA84
KYOT72
20 Oct 2019
ALVA81
KYOT53
19 Oct 2019
ALVA93
KYOT100
24 Nov 2018
ALVA85
KYOT82
23 Nov 2018
ALVA85
KYOT87
13 May 2018
ALVA78
KYOT69
12 May 2018
ALVA82
KYOT75
06 May 2018
ALVA106
KYOT68
05 May 2018
ALVA78
KYOT71
11 Dec 2016
ALVA67
KYOT71
10 Dec 2016
ALVA78
KYOT75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kyoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
63-65
63
65
-2
54avg 72
H05/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
61-78
61
78
-17
53avg 72
H11/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
77-69
77
69
+8
66avg 72
H12/01
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
73avg 72
A25/01
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
78-72
78
72
+6
74avg 72
A26/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
87-65
87
65
+22
92avg 72
A29/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
87-67
87
67
+20
76avg 72
H01/02
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
58-83
58
83
-25
44avg 72
H02/02
B League
Sendai
#23
W
82-57
82
57
+25
90avg 72
A08/02
B League
Sendai
#23
W
79-64
79
64
+15
79avg 72
A09/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
14-20
14-16
15-12
21-27
10-16
15-26
15-9
23-13
14-20
19-15
21-21
19-13
19-17
15-24
18-17
17-12
26-23
15-16
20-21
15-18
22-19
31-14
19-14
22-9
26-20
26-14
13-24
23-23
14-24
12-19
9-17
21-9
26-15
25-13
10-20
17-19
21-11
19-16
22-18
145.9Avg total
75.3Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)76.770.6147.3+6.170%
Season at home (17)74.871.2146.1+3.665%
Season away (20)78.370.0148.4+8.375%
Last 10 (10)75.370.6145.9+4.760%
Last 5 (5)78.667.2145.8+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.082.0154.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)71.071.6142.6-0.643%
vs Weaker (15)80.768.3149.0+12.393%
This opponent (Kyoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKyoto
Date
Competition
Osaka
#13
L
83-94
83
94
-11
79avg 75
H05/01
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
92-76
92
76
+16
96avg 75
A11/01
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
84-68
84
68
+16
85avg 75
A12/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
75avg 75
H25/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
57-71
57
71
-14
53avg 75
H26/01
B League
Saga
#18
W
81-78
81
78
+3
82avg 75
A29/01
B League
Akita
#14
W
77-74 OT
77
74
+3
71avg 75
H01/02
B League
Akita
#14
L
67-75
67
75
-8
61avg 75
H02/02
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
82-70
82
70
+12
81avg 75
H08/02
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
94-55
94
55
+39
106avg 75
H09/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
21-22
16-25
23-23
24-17
22-22
29-17
17-20
17-12
17-15
28-22
22-19
15-20
17-22
21-8
22-25
10-16
14-21
13-20
20-14
15-20
18-22
21-20
27-16
18-16
16-17
16-17
19-19
17-13
21-18
16-30
13-14
20-26
26-7
13-19
23-18
17-19
30-17
21-6
26-13
155.3Avg total
80.2Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)81.179.0160.0+2.154%
Season at home (18)79.476.3155.7+3.156%
Season away (19)82.681.5164.1+1.253%
Last 10 (10)80.275.1155.3+5.160%
Last 5 (5)80.270.4150.6+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.389.0165.3-12.70%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.983.4163.3-3.542%
vs Weaker (15)86.376.1162.3+10.280%
This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
AlvarkKyoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H05/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H11/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H12/01
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A25/01
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A26/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A29/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H01/02
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H02/02
B League
Sendai
#23
W
47-24
47
24
+23
A08/02
B League
Sendai
#23
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A09/02
B League
73.5Avg total
39.0Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.534.672.1+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.635.874.4+2.857%-
Last 30 away (16)36.533.670.1+2.956%-
Last 10 (10)39.034.573.5+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.433.474.8+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.040.085.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.237.571.7-3.329%-
vs Weaker (15)40.031.671.6+8.480%-
This opponent (Kyoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#13
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H05/01
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A11/01
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A12/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H25/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H26/01
B League
Saga
#18
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A29/01
B League
Akita
#14
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H01/02
B League
Akita
#14
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H02/02
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H08/02
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H09/02
B League
74.4Avg total
37.8Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.181.1+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.537.877.3+1.662%-
Last 30 away (17)42.241.884.1+0.453%-
Last 10 (10)37.836.674.4+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.074.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.350.389.7-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.240.080.2+0.250%-
vs Weaker (15)42.138.180.2+3.973%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.021.8
51.9%
51.2%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.56.4
29.8%
33.4%19.2
🏀 Free throws17.611.5
65.3%
72.7%11.5
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kyototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyoto: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.5
54.2%
51.2%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.5
32.0%
33.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.515.6
76.1%
72.7%15.6
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
WWLWWWLWLL
Kyoto
WWLWWLLWWL
#4
League position
#10
+6.5
Net rating
+7.4
107.9
Offensive rating
109.3
101.3
Defensive rating
101.9
49.4%
Effective FG%
51.5%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
14.0%
Turnover %
17.6%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.8%
3-point %
32.0%
69.9%
Assist %
77.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 109.3Defence101.3 · 101.9Shooting49.4% · 51.5%3-point %29.8% · 32.0%Ball care14.0% · 17.6%Off. rebounds32.1% · 29.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Alvark   ■ Kyoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Alvark wins
2
Kyoto wins
DateGameScore
29/10/23Kyoto v Alvark59-89
28/10/23Kyoto v Alvark55-75
11/12/22Alvark v Kyoto62-58
10/12/22Alvark v Kyoto86-70
07/11/21Alvark v Kyoto84-57
06/11/21Alvark v Kyoto102-80
21/03/21Alvark v Kyoto89-93
20/03/21Alvark v Kyoto84-72
20/10/19Alvark v Kyoto81-53
19/10/19Alvark v Kyoto93-100
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25ASendai79-64
08/02/25ASendai82-57
02/02/25HRyukyu58-83
01/02/25HRyukyu87-67
29/01/25ASeaHorses Mikawa87-65
26/01/25AHokkaido78-72
25/01/25AHokkaido81-86 OT
12/01/25HDiamond Dolphins77-69
11/01/25HDiamond Dolphins61-78
05/01/25HSun Rockers Shibuya63-65
Kyotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25HYokohama94-55
08/02/25HYokohama82-70
02/02/25HAkita67-75
01/02/25HAkita77-74 OT
29/01/25ASaga81-78
26/01/25HHiroshima D.57-71
25/01/25HHiroshima D.85-90 OT
12/01/25AHokkaido84-68
11/01/25AHokkaido92-76
05/01/25HOsaka83-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeLLWWL65%
AwayLWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371720
Win %70%65%75%
Points / game76.774.878.3
Allowed / game70.671.270.0
Point differential+6.1+3.6+8.3
Avg total147.3146.1148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%41%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)75% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %8%6%10%
Kyoto
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW54%
HomeLWLWW56%
AwayLLWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %54%56%53%
Points / game81.179.482.6
Allowed / game79.076.381.5
Point differential+2.1+3.1+1.2
Avg total160.0155.7164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%28%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)67% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %8%11%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3733489%93.478.5+14.9
2 Utsunomiya Brex3731684%86.776.0+10.7
3 Gunma37271073%78.871.2+7.6
4 SeaHorses Mikawa37261170%81.674.2+7.5
5 Ryukyu37261170%83.476.1+7.3
6 Alvark37261170%76.770.6+6.1
7 Shimane38251366%80.474.4+6.0
8 Chiba37241365%81.477.2+4.1
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya38211755%74.971.6+3.4
10 Diamond Dolphins38211755%82.381.5+0.8
11 Kyoto37201754%81.179.0+2.1
12 Osaka38191950%81.882.4-0.6
13 Akita38182047%73.274.4-1.3
14 Hiroshima D.37172046%78.182.2-4.1
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles38172145%77.981.0-3.1
16 Nagasaki37162143%75.177.4-2.3
17 Yokohama38152339%74.979.5-4.6
18 Hokkaido37132435%73.278.7-5.5
19 Brave Thunders37122532%76.885.0-8.1
20 Koshigaya Alphas37112630%77.381.6-4.3
21 Saga38112729%73.978.4-4.5
22 Ibaraki Robots3782922%73.282.0-8.8
23 Sendai3782922%72.982.2-9.2
24 Shiga373348%75.889.7-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Alvark141422191483
Kyoto181720141281
← all games of the day
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